👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → How will the news affect the price?
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#XAUUSD is forming a strong bullish trend, but there are some preconditions on the chart, which in tandem with the news can form an unexpected scenario
Today is the last strong news of the year. Namely, at 13:30 GMT Initial Jobless Claims will be published. (rlinda. com) Overall, analysts are expecting 210K relative to the previous 205K. This is bad data. But a big role is played by the actual data relative to the expected data.
• If the data will be higher than expected 210K, the dollar may break the local support and continue its decline, which will strengthen the gold.
• If the data will be lower than expected 210K, then gold will catch a bearish wave on the back of dollar strength.
Support levels: 2075, 2069.3, rising line
Resistance levels: 2080, 2088, 2100.
Technically, gold is ready to continue to grow and this will continue in the medium and long term, (rlinda. com) but locally, the news can unpredictably affect the price
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Solana holders have a lot to brag about at the family gathering today as the token is up a whopping 1,000% in the past twelve months.
#BTCUSD 💰 moved slightly back on Christmas day 2023 while the up-and-coming hyper-fast blockchain Solana posted a mind-blowing run. First, the OG token retreated under the $43,000 mark but is still up a satisfactory 150% on the year, boasting an $850-billion market cap.
#SOLUSD 🪙, the main rival of #ETHUSD 🔹, pumped just in time to boost retail investors’ confidence. Today, they can brag about their crypto investments on the Christmas table. Solana is up over 60% in the past seven days and has risen 1,000% in less than a year as it crossed $100 per coin this weekend.
Amid the wild price surge, the Solana network peaked at a record for new and active addresses. Exactly one year ago, traders pummeled Solana’s price to $8 for being heavily owned by Sam Bankman-Fried and its duo of crypto companies crypto exchange FTX and trading house Alameda Research
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Inflows into crypto continue - net inflows into the market are now at a 2-year high - Glassnode data
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Number of cryptocurrency users will approach one billion in 2024 - Bitfinex prediction
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CEO of Pantera Capital in 2021 stated that there is a positive correlation between the number of BTC users and #BTC price
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On the threshold of New Year holidays, liquidity and volatility on the market are decreasing, as well as spreads are growing.
Be careful, as it is easier to manipulate the less liquid market by holders of relatively small deposits
👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → False breakdown of 2070. Rollback to the end of the year
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#XAUUSD strengthened quite actively last week. The price is retesting the resistance at 2069.8 formed in August 2020. There are reasons for further growth, but also reasons for further pullback. Let's see
In the coming week there is no news except Initial Jobless Claims, analysts are expecting an increase in claims from 205K to 210K. (rlinda . com) The GDP data weakens the dollar, the Fed's stance also suggests a possible rate cut next year, and in addition the inflation data. The overall fundamental background is unfavorable for the DXY and we see a decline in the index, which in the medium term is favorable for the gold market
Technically, there are a few days to go until the end of 2023, volatility and liquidity may decrease, but since Friday ended with a false break of resistance zones (2069.8, 2055), the current correction may last. The price may reach the support area before further growth.
It is worth paying attention to the following levels:
Resistance: 2055, 2050, 2065, 2069, 2075
Support: 2047, 2040, 2030, 2015
I advise you to study the work schedule of your brokers for Christmas and New Year holidays. (rlinda . com) Each broker determines its own regulations and therefore on these days some companies may work and others may not.
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#XAUUSD 👑
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💡 Ideas For BTCUSD🪙
📈 BTCUSD → The potential for a rise to 50K is accumulating
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In terms of technical analysis, an ascending triangle is forming on the chart. The key resistance of the pattern is the area of 44350 - 44500. (rlinda . com) This pattern can be interpreted as an active accumulation of buyers' potential for further overcoming the limit resistance formed by sellers. The price keeps testing the resistance and getting closer to the resistance.
At the moment there are two possible scenarios:
1. Retest of 43440 support, formation of a false breakdown with further retest of global pattern resistance and its breakout with further growth.
2. Deeper correction: retest of the resistance of the previously broken ascending channel with further rebound and retest of the global resistance with the aim of its breakout.
Support levels: 43440, 41664, 41200
Resistance levels: 44350, 48234
I expect that consolidation will end soon and the market will move to the phase of realization and growth to the specified target.
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#BTCUSD 🪙
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Friends, hello everyone, have a great pre-holiday mood 😊
I want to warn you that tomorrow almost all markets, except for the cryptocurrency market, are not working.
Check your broker's working hours for the coming holidays.
Gold will not be published today, there is no sense in it.
I have prepared an analysis of BTC for you
Good luck in trading 🤩
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → The market is waiting for news. Falling or rising?
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#XAUUSD is breaking through resistances. Yesterday the US GDP was released, which showed weaker data than the market expected and this is favorable for the gold price. In part we were prepared for it.
The DXY is breaking the pattern and retesting key support. High odds are high that the decline and weakening of the index will continue. (rlinda . com) Hence, it is bullish for gold to overcome the pattern and range resistance. Gold in a bullish move breaks through the limit barrier and consolidates above the mentioned line.
Ahead of us today is the news at 13:30 GMT. I don't think they will change anything after the US GDP. Analysts expect the publication of about the same data as last period (with a slight correction). Volatility may increase in the market, be careful during trading.
Gold enters a new range of 2050 - 2070, the intermediate target is 2062.
Support levels: 2050, 2048
Resistance levels: 2062, 2075
I expect the continuation of growth even after the news, as yesterday's news defined the medium-term potential for the market. (rlinda . com) Targets are indicated on the chart. A pullback from 2062 to support before further growth is possible.
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💡Ideas For EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
📈 EURUSD → Favorable fundamentals for growth
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#EURUSD is strengthening and continues to give signs that the price will continue its rise on the back of a weaker dollar due to weaker GDP than analysts expected
On D1, the price is testing the 1.1000 resistance area (important zone). A reversal V-shaped pattern is being formed, followed by numerous retests of the line. (rlinda . com) The pre-breakdown consolidation and positive fundamental background for the euro are doing their job.
The price is making a breakout attempt. A consolidation of the price above 1.1000 will form a bullish potential, which will be a strong support for the pair.
On H4 the price is still in the range of 1.1017 - 1.0830. Another resistance retest is formed after a small correction. A breakout of the level is expected with subsequent growth to the trend resistance. Moving averages support the market.
Support levels: 1.099, 1.0965, 1.093
Resistance levels: 1.1000, 1.1017
We expect a breakthrough of the above-mentioned area and continuation of the currency pair growth in the framework of the uptrend.
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News ahead.
Expectations:
GDP may remain flat, but:
- A figure below 5.2% would weaken the dollar
- a reading above 5.2% will strengthen the dollar
On initial jobless claims, the index is expected to rise to 214K (last 202K). But:
- if the index is above 214K, the dollar will start to decline
- If the index is below 214K, the dollar may start to rise.
Accordingly:
If the data is bullish for the dollar:
Gold will decline
Forex pair X/USD - down
Forex pair USD/X - up
If the data is bearish for the dollar:
Gold will rise
Forex pair X/USD - up
Forex pair USD/X - down
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Harker (Fed):
- The Fed doesn't need to raise rates anymore
- It's important that the Fed starts cutting rates, but not immediately
- the path to a soft landing for the economy will not be easy
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💡 Ideas For THETHAUSDT 🪙
📈 THETAUSDT - The attempt to change the trend is doomed to success
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#THETAUSDT is forming another resistance retest and in fact it can be considered an attempt to change the bearish trend. The chance of success is quite high as several key patterns are forming
On the high timeframe, the coin finds a clear bottom and the triple touch pattern confirms the area. But the price still has a long way to go for a trend change, as breaking the local downside resistance is still not enough, (rlinda . com) THETA must overcome the 1.717 area to confirm a definitive trend change.
On D1, a descending wedge is forming on the background of the bearish channel, the breakout of which forms a rally to the trend resistance, where a pre-breakout consolidation in the format of an ascending triangle is turning. The strength of this consolidation is enough to break the resistance area and the level of 1.190, which will confirm the breakout and may form an impulse to 1.337 and 1.700.
SMAs are forming an interesting signal.
Support levels: 0.982
Resistance levels: trend resistance, pattern resistance, 1.190
I expect a breakout of the above zone with the subsequent formation of an upward impulse.
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💡 Ideas For ETHUSD 🔷
📈 ETH → Moving from the old range to the new one. Target $3500
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Ethereum breaks the consolidation resistance and makes an attempt to enter a new wide range. The target of this maneuver, after fixing the price above the support, may become the area of $3580
The market has been forging consolidations and prolonged retests of the 2300 area for several weeks. After the formation of another set-up, which I warned you about earlier, the price breaks this area. In fact, we were ready for it.
Several support levels are important for us at the moment: (rlinda . com) 2383 and 2300. Consolidation of the price above these levels will form a big bullish potential, which in the medium term will determine for us the further priority and further path. But in the priority we expect the price growth to continue, as ETH has a positive fundamental and technical background. The medium-term target for us is 2650. There are also chances that the price may test this zone this year and reach the upper boundary of the mentioned range next year.
Support levels: 2383, 2300, 2340
Resistance levels: 2445
Moving averages support the market
We expect the growth to continue as we have a favorable fundamental and technical background.
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The Japanese yen has been favored by FX traders in December with the currency rising 4%. Quiet trading pushed the pair further to the downside.
The #USDJPY 🇺🇸🇯🇵 drifted modestly lower on Monday as traders and investors were looking to get a break from dealmaking. The pair slipped to levels near ¥142.00 as low trading volume pressured the dollar just enough for it to slip under the 200-day moving average.
The bearish momentum has taken the pair to a 4% decline in December as markets are rotating out of the US dollar. The latest confirmation arrived Friday when the US revealed that PCE inflation - the Fed’s preferred measure - came in at 3.2% for November, shooting under analysts’ consensus
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → Trading inside the range 2050 - 2075
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#XAUUSD has been strengthening since the opening of the session. Friday's sell-offs formed local support at 2050 (retest) after which a new range is likely to be formed
For gold we have a favorable fundamental background, which may have a positive impact on the price. (rlinda . com) While the DXY is declining, the gold is testing new highs.
As there are a few days left before the New Year holidays, liquidity in the market is decreasing. Against this background, the price may end the trading session within the existing range of 2050 - 2075. I would advise to focus on the range trading strategy.
On the chart we can see the key support lines: rising line, 2055, 2051, 2050.
There is a chance (rlinda . com) that the price may test these lines.
The level of 2062, 2069, 2075 plays the role of key resistance.
Pay attention to the schedule of your broker, so as not to open trades before the closing of the trading session. The volumes on the market are decreasing and in all likelihood the price may get stuck in the mentioned range. On Thursday, strong news is published, but until that day, gold may trade inside 2075 - 2050.
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#XAUUSD 👑
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💡Ideas For GBPUSD 🇬🇧🇺🇸
📈 GBPUSD → Favorable environment for further growth
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#GBPUSD is forging a correction within the local range after a retest of trend resistance. Most likely, a "flag" pattern is forming, which implies further trend continuation
On D1 we see that the price is overcoming the downside resistance and consolidating above the key support at 1.26525. The next year may start with the strengthening of the pound sterling on the back of favorable fundamental environment regarding the DXY, which intends to decline.
From a TA perspective, (rlinda . com) the currency pair may form two scenarios:
1) Breakout of the flag resistance, price consolidation above 1.2715 and growth towards the target.
2) Continuation of correction to support, further rebound and growth to the target
Support levels: 1.2615, 1.2506
Resistance levels: 1.2715, 1.2784
The global trend will continue but after a small technical correction.
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#GBPUSD 🇬🇧/🇺🇸
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Merry Christmas! 😀
May Christmas bring faith in a wonderful future, may every home be filled with the atmosphere of love, joy and optimism.
I wish us, as traders, to achieve maximum goals and a productive new period.
Now is the time to rest, to reflect on how the whole trading session of the 2023 season went. Make goals and plans for the future, do not stop on your way. At some point, those who have not yet realized, will realize that our fate depends only on ourselves. I wish everyone to take the right path and follow what his heart advises him!
Happy Holidays! 🤩
With love, R. Linda 🫶
💡 Ideas For BTCUSD🪙
📈 BTCUSD → The potential for a rise to 50K is accumulating
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#BTCUSD is forming a good potential and prerequisites for further growth. The key resistance is the level of 44350, and the price continues to actively test this area.
On the high timeframe we see the formation of a global range. The potential target from the point of view of technical analysis at the moment is the upper boundary of the range 65K - 70K, where a huge pool of liquidity is hidden.
Fundamentally, bitcoin is doing quite well, as the SEC has recently been actively cooperating with companies that have applied for a spot ETF. (rlinda . com) Analysts expect the first BTC-ETF to be approved in early January 2024: some sources have indicated that recent indications from SEC officials are that the green light is likely to be given by January 10.
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💡 Ideas For XRPUSDT 🪙
📈 XRP → Why is Ripple standing still and when to expect growth?
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#XRPUSDT is underperforming across the board, although fundamentals, are relatively positive. The coin is forming a consolidation. What should we expect from this situation?
XRP is forming a weak, but still bullish trend. On the chart, we see the formation of a sideways movement within a symmetrical triangle. (rlinda . com) Consolidation inside the ascending price channel.
The price movement is due to the conflict related to the SEC and securities. The crypto community expected the settlement of the conflict or some key news on November 30, but it did not happen. The trial has been postponed to spring 2024, where it is likely to be settled, but there is no clear understanding whose side will win in this situation. If we ignore the SEC, Ripple continues to actively expand and enter into contracts with large companies. Technically, the altcoin market looks very bullish and the more we see the gap between TOTAL and XRP, the tenser the situation becomes.
Support levels: 0.585, 0.493
Resistance levels: 0.648, 0.7325
Until the issue with the regulation of the dispute between Ripple and SEC is over, the coin will continue trading inside the price channel. (rlinda . com) We expect the price to decline towards the trend support area followed by a rebound towards 0.7325.
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BlackRock is almost finalized with all the details of its spot BTC-ETF, has appointed a chief executive agent to buy/sell the ETF. Analysts expect the spot ETF to be approved in early January 2024
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FOX sources have previously indicated that recent guidance from SEC officials is that the green light will likely be given by January 10, 2024
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Ahead of us today is CTGO, PCE at 13:30 GMT. It will not play a special role after GDP. Analysts expect the publication of roughly the same data as in the last period (with a slight correction). Indicators higher than expected will positively influence the dollar, while weaker data will strengthen the fall of $
Читать полностью…US - GDP (3Q 2023Y) = +4.9% QoQ (expected +5.2% / previously +2.1%)
US - Initial Jobless Claims = 205k (expected 214k / previously 202k)
US - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Dec) = -10.5 (expected -3 / previously -5.9)
Amid BlackRock's frequent year-end meetings with the SEC, the market is once again seeing an increase in optimism about crypto in general. In previous times, the growth of optimism about spot BTC-ETFs led to the growth of the BTC rate - Santiment
after 2 weeks of light sales, large wallets with 100+ BTC balances started to accumulate the coin again - Santiment
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👑 Ideas For XAUUSD / GOLD
📈 GOLD → The market is waiting for news. Falling or rising?
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#XAUUSD has been standing still for a few days, as well as the DXY. The market is waiting for today's news related to GDP and unemployment. What is the difficulty in determining the future direction of the price?
Let's start with the fact that since last week the Fed destroyed the adequate price behavior for the medium term. The dollar, based on data, not rumors, should rise, gold should fall, but that is not the case. There is a possibility that this manipulation by the market maker to take more favorable positions before further movement in one direction or another.
Today the US GDP (rlinda . com) and unemployment are published. Analysts expect GDP to remain flat at 5.2% and Initial Jobless Claims to rise from 202K to 214K (a generally bearish scenario for the dollar). If:
• GDP comes out lower than expected and Initial Jobless Claims higher than expected, the dollar could fall.
• Accordingly, if GDP rises and unemployment falls, the dollar will probably go up. The movement of the indices will affect the gold accordingly
Resistance levels: 2038, 2050
Support levels: 2030, 2020
From the TA + fundamentals point of view, the market is confused, hence a sideways flat, which can be interpreted as neutral forces (obviously). (rlinda . com) There is a high probability that the dollar could still get stronger. In this case gold may test the resistance before further falling. But news is always unpredictable!
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