👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Aggressive buyers... Ahead of PPI
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GOLD is testing 2500 on the background of CPI data. Bulls actively continue to hold a strong support zone. An ascending triangle is being formed, the target of which is to break the resistance and rise

After the release of CPI data in the US, the focus shifts to PPI and jobless claims data, which will give a new impetus to trading.
The CPI data has slightly cooled the increased bets on an excessive interest rate cut by the Fed next week. Despite the pullback, the gold price managed to defend a critical short-term support level around 2500 - 2505, keeping it in a three-week consolidated range.
Technically, the focus is on the SMAs, which are actively supporting the market, as well as the liquidity area of 2510, 2500, which the market may test once again on news before heading upwards.

Resistance levels: 2530
Support levels: SMA, 2510, 2500

The news may shake the market once again. Strong news may motivate the market to break resistance, but surprising PPI and Initial Jobless Claims data may trigger another sell-off attempt (to liquidity zones) before the price continues its rise. The market continues to focus on testing 2530
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US - CPI (Aug)

m/m = +0.2% (Expectation +0.2%)
y/y = +2.5% (Expectation +2.5%)

Core CPI = +3.2% y/y (Expectation +3.2%)

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U.S. bond rally continues - markets still expect Fed rate cut at Sept. 17 meeting

- Markets still expect one to two deep ( 0.5% each) rate cuts from the Fed this year - BBG

- Analysts do not expect the Fed to cut the rate in 0.5% increments

some experts believe that a Fed rate cut of 0.5% at once would be a sign of economic concern, not something good...
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 CPI ahead. High risks to renew ATH, but...
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GOLD is testing 2530 and risks a new high as each new retest increases the chances of a resistance breakout. Ahead of CPI, inflation data could set the medium-term tone for markets...

Traders are waiting for US inflation data that could confirm the size of the Fed's interest rate cut next week.
An uptick in CPI figures could trigger a rise in the dollar at the expense of gold prices (capital outflows), negating expectations of an excessive Fed rate cut.
Conversely, softer CPI data could revive bets for a 50 basis point Fed rate cut, collapsing the dollar and pushing the gold price to new lifetime highs. The 2530 area is very active in keeping the market from rising, accordingly, the accumulation of orders above 2530, if the resistance is broken, could activate a rally....

Resistance levels: 2530
Support levels: 2514, 2512, 2506

The price return to the resistance area will confirm the readiness to test 2530 for a breakout. If the bulls manage to pass this zone, we should count on growth, but the bears are holding this area quite aggressively. There is also a high probability to catch a short-squeeze and further decline to 2506-2500
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#GBPNZD Close half with +150 pips!

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#EURUSD continued to fall for a second day on Monday as forex traders increased bets on the dollar ahead of a wave of economic reports.

Inflation data from the US will show whether price pressures continue to ease. Analysts expect the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August to come in at 2.6% versus July's 2.9% annualized rate. More importantly, the data will help the Federal Reserve decide how much to cut the benchmark interest rate when officials meet on Sept. 18

The European Central Bank will decide its fate with an interest rate decision on Thursday. The old continent's central bank has already started cutting borrowing costs and is expected to cut them further to 3.65% from 4.25%
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Friends, I look forward to your activity
Comment ideas, put likes, share your opinion in tradingview:

👑 Gold Idea:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/W7gAXVye-GOLD-Liquidity-is-a-magnet-Getting-ready-to-test-2475/

🔹 Ethereum idea:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETHUSDT/8Qb8keD3-ETHUSD-Manipulating-growth-before-liquidation/

A silent audience is not interesting and frightening 😳

Your activity is a motivator for me ⚡️

Thank you

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💡 Ideas For #ETHUSD 🔷
📈 Manipulating growth before liquidation
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ETHUSDT is forming a counter-trend bounce and is aiming for strong resistance amid a bearish trend. The project is going through a rough patch, fumbling for a market bottom...

ETH faces troubles:
WisdomTree has requested the withdrawal of its ETH (Ethereum Trust) fund registration application three years after filing with the SEC. Earlier, VanEck closed its futures ETH-ETF, citing lack of demand.
Likewise, indicators suggest that Whale stopped accumulating ETH since July. Since then, they have been mostly selling.
Technically, we see the market being squeezed by strong resistance: trend lines as well as moving averages, which may negatively affect the market, keeping the coin from rising.

Resistance levels: 2375, 2460, 2510.
Support levels: 2309, 2111

The coin is heading towards the resistance and liquidity area amid a bearish trend. This can be seen as a manipulated move to capture liquidity before further testing the intermediate bottom. I expect a decline from the mentioned zones towards 2100-2000
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#BTCUSD retreated on Friday and remained under pressure over the weekend, opening the new week under the $55,000 per coin mark. The spotty NFP had a negative impact, Non-Farm Payrolls for August came in at 142,000, below the expected 164,000

This news brought new uncertainty to the already complex cryptocurrency landscape. Recession fears now loom over the digital asset space - slowing job growth suggests a shrinking economy, and that could lead to a liquidity shortage.

Spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds ended last week with a net outflow of $707 million, which is the difference between money flowing in and out of investment instruments.
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💡Ideas For GBPUSD 🇬🇧🇺🇸
📈 A change of sentiment. What happened?
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
GBPUSD is moving into a flat phase, possibly into counter-trend correction on the background of locally changed sentiment, formed by the fundamental background of Thursday / Friday, the dollar is growing on this background

The currency pair is forming a bull market wave on D1-W1. On D1, a clear transition from bear market to bull market is formed, which is confirmed by the breakdown of the structure and smooth confirmation by the subsequent impulse.
The fundamental background is (temporarily) negative, there is no news for the next two days, respectively, the sentiment from last week remains.
Technically, the zone of interest for MM is the support from D1 at 1.3044. On H1 we have a strong liquidity zone ahead, which may trigger a primary pullback to the equilibrium zone before a subsequent decline to the key support and liquidity zone.

Resistance levels: 1.314, 1.3163
Support levels: 1.3088, 1.3081, 1.3044

Buyers decided to refrain for the time being, shorts on the currency pair are increasing on the background of the dollar growth. Ahead is an important event - CPI, PPI, as well as the Fed rate meeting on September 18. By this time the market may be neutral
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#GOLD is behaving somewhat predictably.
Despite the fact that traders were waiting for warmer data, we bet that the price may still turn around.

The focus is on the resistance at 2526. The seller still holds this zone and is not ready to give up.
2500 is a key benchmark
And 2475 is a key global range support zone.

The cold data affected the price and we saw what I have been preparing you for.
A decline and a price entry beyond 2500. The fight for 2500 is still going on, but on the H1 previews we can assume that gold may test 2475 again (a false breakout is possible) before the market is interested in testing the range resistance once again :)
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💡 Ideas For #BTCUSD 🪙
📈 The fall will continue after a pullback
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BTC is strengthening after a false breakdown of the 54.5K - 55K support. Fundamentally and technically, there is no buyer motivation. Traders have moved into the waiting or selling phase...

Now BTC is accumulated mainly by wallets with balance < 1BTC... Larger wallets are not doing much. Also, judging by the statistics of various services it can be seen that the trading activity of large investors has decreased, and whales have stopped actively accumulating since August. Traders doubt the current rebound in BTC and continue to actively short it.
Technically, the coin shows negative, bearish dynamics, forming gradually declining highs without the possibility to approach the retest of local peaks.
For the last one and a half or two months a tight sideways range has been formed and MM continues to keep the price inside the flat, it is also worth paying attention to the descending resistance, which also prevents the market from going up, putting pressure together with SMA-200.

Resistance Levels: SMA200, 59600, Trend Line
Support levels: 57736, 56K, 54500

At the moment the price is consolidating in the bullish zone, which indicates a possible chance to rise to 59600. The situation may end with a short-squeeze and further decline after liquidity capture. The pressure from sellers continues and buyers are not ready yet
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August CPI came in below expectations at 2.5% versus the consensus forecast of 2.6%. Moreover, the figure was well below July's 2.9%. The fresh data confirms the Fed's intention to cut interest rates when officials come together next week

As such, traders and investors have been given an added incentive for a larger interest rate cut (and may be disappointed if they don't get one). Wall Street had previously expected a modest 25bp cut in borrowing costs before August non-farm payrolls data showed that the US economy added fewer workers than expected. But with inflation falling, the Fed may go for a bigger cut in spending - 50 bps. Or at least that's what investors want
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❗️ CPI ahead!
AT 12:30 GMT
The news has a high level of importance.
High volatility is possible!

---

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures changes in the prices of goods and services from the consumer's perspective. It is the primary way to measure changes in consumer buying trends and inflation.

A higher than expected reading should be positive for the dollar, while a lower than expected reading should be negative/bearish for the dollar.
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As for the previous idea: Despite the global bullish trend, locally on H1-H4 there were prerequisites for a decline from 2500 to 2475 in order to withdraw liquidity from the market and further continuation of growth to 2530.
BUT.
Buyers are aggressively holding gold from 2484, 2494, 2500, preventing the price from approaching these risk zones.
Therefore, the active range at the moment is 2530 - 2500

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💡 Ideas For USDJPY 🇺🇸🇯🇵
📈 Full readiness to drop to 138.0 - 136.0
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USDJPY breaks support at 141.68 and hits lows. The dollar is declining after the US election debate, but is still in consolidation ahead of CPI. The currency pair may continue to fall

Ahead of CPI, traders expect consumer inflation to fall to 2.5 for the year. This indicator will determine the interest rate cut next week, and more precisely by how much they will cut the interest rates, by 25 or 50 basis points.
Technically, everything is inclined to the further decrease of the dollar, which will be reflected on the currency pair. But, we should expect high volatility, within the framework of which, if the bears do not hold 141.68, the price may test 142.2 - 142.8 before further falling to 138 - 136.

Support levels: 140.75, 140.25
Resistance levels: 141.68, 142.2, 142.8

Global and local trends are under bearish pressure. Important news is ahead, which may strengthen the fall, or temporarily squeeze the price in the range. Consolidation of the price below 141.68 will be a good sign for the continuation of the fall
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#GOLD prices were holding on to the flat line early Tuesday after a dull session on Monday when prices weren't moving anywhere. But there's a good reason for that. Traders are shifting their attention to a key economic report - the last major report before the Federal Reserve meets to decide how much to cut interest rates.

This week's focus will be on U.S. inflation data. The consumer price index (CPI) will be released on Wednesday. Inflation for August is expected to fall to 2.6% from 2.9% in July. If this is indeed the case, a softening in price growth would reinforce investors' belief in the need for a larger rate cut of 50 bps rather than 25 bps.

The decline in inflation has been unusually favorable for gold, which is considered a hedge against inflation. This is largely because low inflation can lead to more interest rate cuts. And gold is sensitive to lower rates because it reduces the opportunity cost of owning a non-income producing precious metal
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#AUDCAD Close part with +70 pips!

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💰 Bitcoin is lagging behind the average price trajectory after halving.

If the dynamics of previous cycles repeat, bitcoin will reach $140k - $4.5m But it's too early to tell.

In terms of adoption, bitcoin exchange-traded funds ended last week with a net outflow of $707 million, which is the difference between money poured in and money poured out of investment instruments. Ethereum, the second largest token, also underperformed.
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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Liquidity is a magnet. Getting ready to test 2475
———————————————
GOLD like the DXY is going up, only the currency has a reason, and gold forms this movement based on manipulation. The price is at a strong resistance and a double top, which forms the prerequisites for a decline towards 2490-2475

The dollar is strengthening on the background of a weak report on the U.S. labor market, as well as due to the Asian market, where fears of a slowdown in the Chinese economy are growing, despite the fact that traders expect lower interest rates next week. The theme of a “hard landing” for the U.S. economy is still on a high tone.... The reason for gold's rise since the beginning of the trading session on Monday is behind the decline in US Treasury bond yields
All eyes are still on the US inflation data due to be released on Wednesday... There is no reason for the price to move out of the range, accordingly, gold will continue to form a sideways (neutral) market direction.

Resistance levels: 2507, 2516
Support levels: 2500, 2494, 2484, 2475

Technically, the price is bouncing off 0.5 fibo, forming a double top with no opportunity to reach the upper boundary of the range as there is no interest for MM. The key liquidity is hidden in the lower part of the range, where, most likely, the price will seek in the near future on the background of the dollar growth
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There was an interesting bounce in the market yesterday:

the stock market, cryptocurrencies, and futures strengthened, but not currencies...

The dollar index is rising at this time. And many are wondering (especially in private messages): what exactly is going on?

There is no news from Monday through Wednesday, and no one spoke yesterday. The cold data from the USA at the end of last week formed a medium-term fundamental background.

The movement that happened looks like market manipulation to me, as the intraday movements looked very difficult and unmotivated. Most likely it could be like a “deceptive maneuver”
Be careful! 😳
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“U.S. recession risk is rising”...

Bloomberg:

After recovering from a swoon in early August, traders are succumbing to fears over discouraging U.S. economic data, especially the labor market

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👑 Ideas For #XAUUSD / #GOLD
📈 Area of Interest 2475. What's next? 2450 or 2500?
———————————————
GOLD is shedding downward on the background of unexpected NFP, which was published on Friday. The dollar is rising, which is generally negative for the metal. But, globally, gold is still strongly bullish...

The first half of the week should be extremely quiet, as important news will not start to arrive until Wednesday. Traders are waiting for CPI, PPI, as well as the Fed meeting scheduled for September 18, where they are expected to make a decision on interest rate cuts. A rate cut makes currencies cheaper, which only increases the interest in gold.
Technically, the price of gold can't consolidate above 2500 and is trading below the critical level of 2494, indicating buyer weakness, which goes into the accumulation or waiting phase....

Resistance levels: 2493, 2500
Support levels: 2485, 2475, 2450

Technically, it is worth considering a decline and a retest of 2475, as after the upward rally from below there is a huge pool of liquidity that attracts the market. Further, further scenario will depend on the market reaction to the range support: False breakdown may give a chance for growth to 2500, and breakdown and consolidation below 2475 may provoke longsqueeze to 2450
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Hi! A new trading week is starting, stop resting, it's time to make money! 😎

The dollar starts the trading session with a northward movement, the reason for this is the fundamental background formed on Thursday / Friday. (It is most likely a manipulated background, but no matter)

There is resistance ahead, overall the market has the potential to overcome it and strengthen to 102.0.
This is a negative background for the market (dollar growth), but, in many instruments a global flat range has been formed and most likely, until September 18, when the issue of Fed interest rates will be decided, the market may trade in a neutral direction
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#USDJPY is finally reaching our target!

❗️ +765 pips ⚡️

For almost 3 weeks we have been going for it and watched the buyers trying to resist it.

But general market actions (Japanese Central Bank, US, geopolitics, economic data) determined the whole situation.
Slowly but gradually the currency pair reached its target.

By the way, Friday's close hints that the 142.2 support will be broken and the price may head towards 140.0
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