Middle East Spectator – MES

20 июня 2025 23:50

George, I like you and respect you a lot. But do not talk about matters you do not understand. Nuclear tests don't take place at 13km depth.

Middle East Spectator – MES

19 июня 2025 14:01

— 🇮🇷/🇮🇱 How's the situation of Iran's ballistic missile program?

Israel claims it has now destroyed two thirds of Iran's TEL launchers capable of launching ballistic missiles towards Israel. They say this is the reason Iran has been firing less missiles on a daily basis compared to at the start.

However, in reality this likely isn't the case. We have actually seen less than 10 TEL launchers visuably confirmed to be destroyed. But then why is Iran seemingly 'unable' to launch large misile salvos at once?

Iran has a vast network of underground missile bases spread all throughout the country, with the main ones being located in Western Iran, near Tabriz, Khorammabad, and Kermanshah. These sites are located deep underground, and are practically invulnerable to conventional Israeli strikes.

However, in the opening strike on Friday, Israel managed to target some of these bases and collapse their tunnel entrances. It will take Iran days to remove the rubble and reopen the entrances, and even then, they will be vulnerable to repeated attacks due to Israeli air superiority in the West.

The majority of missiles being launched at Israel currently are originating from Central and Eastern Iran, places like Shiraz, Shahrud, or even Mashhad. This is because Israeli air superiority is much less consolidated in these areas.

However, even with the worst case scenario of only 100-200 TELs left, Iran should be able to carry out a large coordinated missile strike. So why don't they?

Carrying out a large-scale coordinated missile strike requires planning and staging. In the staging phase, launchers are taken out of their bases and prepared for launch. In areas where Israel has sufficient air superiority, they can quickly detect these launchers and preemptively strike them, potentially risking high losses.

This is why Iran is currently only using 1-2 missile bases at a time. They are carrying out 'hit-and-run' tactics: Take out 20-30 launchers, fire, and immediately withdraw back into the tunnels to avoid any losses.

When Iran feels more confident about its ability to launch large and coordinated attacks, they will do so. Because they have not run out of missiles and launchers, and won't anytime soon. But the situation at Iran's Western missile bases must first be addressed in order to proceed with this.

Over all, the vast majority of Iran's missile bases are fully intact, with the notable exception of possibly Tabriz, which we saw footage of large secondary explosions, implying that the underground structure was hit. For most of Iran's 'damaged' missile bases, it's simply a matter of time — removing the rubble from the entrance tunnels and getting back to work.

When Israel's defense systems start becoming significantly degraded, which we will likely see in the coming days, Iran will probably launch larger attacks with its less sophisticated missiles with bigger warheads. Using those now would be a waste.

@Middle_East_Spectator

Middle East Spectator – MES

18 июня 2025 21:33

It is strangely quiet.

Middle East Spectator – MES

18 июня 2025 19:17

— 🇮🇱/🇵🇸 NEW: The IDF has announced the death of Staff Sergeant Stav Halfon, 20, from the 603rd Combat Engineering Battalion of the 7th Armored Brigade, who was killed in southern Gaza.

@Middle_East_Spectator

Middle East Spectator – MES

17 июня 2025 23:07

Trump is not going to make any address (??).

Middle East Spectator – MES

17 июня 2025 12:31

🇮🇱❌🇮🇷 The last Iranian attack impacted a warehouse belonging to the Israeli intelligence unit Aman, the sign reads “welcome to Aman's logistics center”.

@TabzLIVE

Middle East Spectator – MES

16 июня 2025 20:19

—❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: The IDF will no longer allow foreign journalists to work and report in Haifa

@Middle_East_Spectator

Middle East Spectator – MES

16 июня 2025 15:06

—❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 VISUAL CONFIRMATION: In this video, taken 2 days ago from a different angle, we can see that Iranian ballistic missiles are indeed actively targeting Israeli air defense batteries, in this case an Arrow-3 of David Sling launcher in Tel Aviv

@Middle_East_Spectator

Middle East Spectator – MES

14 июня 2025 12:40

—❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: Iranian intelligence discovered another drone truck used by the Mossad

@Middle_East_Spectator

Middle East Spectator – MES

13 июня 2025 17:08

—❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: Unconfirmed reports of explosions in Tehran and Qom

@Middle_East_Spectator

Middle East Spectator – MES

13 июня 2025 09:17

According to some reports in Israeli media, including Israel's Channel 12

According to reports, the Mossad launched kamikaze drones from secret base inside Iran, which were pre-deployed and remotely activated during the attack.

They probably took out radars and air defenses which enabled israel to launch missiles, something like Ukraine

Middle East Spectator – MES

12 июня 2025 13:15

— ❗️🇮🇷/🇺🇳/🇮🇱 BREAKING: The first part of the Israeli documents seized by Iran has been published by Fars News, showing extensive communication between Rafael Grossi, the current Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), and Israeli individuals.

@Middle_East_Spectator

Middle East Spectator – MES

11 июня 2025 20:56

— NOTE: I personally don't think anything will happen before the US-Iran negotiations in Oman on Sunday.

I also don't think it'll happen before the censure resolution against Iran passes at the IAEA Board of Governors meeting in Vienna.

Before Israel strikes, they want Trump to come out openly and say that negotiations failed, and the IAEA non-compliance resolution against Iran would only strengthen the Israeli position.

So, from a diplomacy standpoint, about 5-10 days from now would be my best bet.

@Middle_East_Spectator

Middle East Spectator – MES

11 июня 2025 16:19

— 🇮🇱/🇵🇸 NEW: Israeli helicopters evacuate IDF casualties to 'Rabin' (Beilinson) and 'Sheba' (Tel HaShomer) hospitals in Tel Aviv

@Middle_East_Spectator

Middle East Spectator – MES

10 июня 2025 09:24

— 🇾🇪/🇵🇸 NEW: A few days ago, the Chief of Staff of the Yemeni Armed Forces sent a letter to the leadership and fighters of the Al-Qassam Brigades, congratulating them on the occasion of Eid Al-Adha and reaffirming support for Palestinian factions.

@Middle_East_Spectator

Middle East Spectator – MES

20 июня 2025 16:09

— ❗️🇮🇷/🇪🇺 NEW: Iran's Foreign Minister, Abbas Araqchi, arrives in Vienna to meet with the E3 (Germany, France and the UK)

@Middle_East_Spectator

Middle East Spectator – MES

18 июня 2025 22:32

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@Middle_East_Spectator

Middle East Spectator – MES

18 июня 2025 20:41

Read more analysis on the Iran-Israel war on our partner’s channel, @geopolitics_live.

Middle East Spectator – MES

18 июня 2025 12:14

—❗️🇮🇷 One of Iran's very influential Islamic scholars, Grand Ayatollah Noori Hamedani, issued a statement in support of the leadership:

– The criminal President of America, who has nothing in his black record except murder, plunder, and assassination, and who has consistently supported the crimes of the brutal Zionist regime, has dared to make a foolish comment regarding the position of authority and leadership of the Islamic Revolution, His Eminence Ayatollah Khamenei (may Allah protect him).

– This great figure is the flag-bearer of the dignity of Islam and the cry for help for the oppressed of the Islamic Ummah in the present era.

– The enmity of the leaders of the West, despite this supposedly noble nature, is not due to power, but rather due to their extreme helplessness and fear of the spread of Islamic awakening and the influence of the resistance axis throughout the world.

– We declare that any attack on the great authority and leadership of the Islamic nation (Khamenei) will be considered an attack on the very foundation of Islam and the lives of all Muslims and will be met with a harsh and crushing response from the faithful Iranian nation and all free people of the world

– America and its oppressive rulers should know that these threats will not only not disrupt the will of our nation, but will also further strengthen the ranks of the Islamic nation.

– Everyone should know that the promise of God Almighty is unbreakable.

@Middle_East_Spectator

Middle East Spectator – MES

17 июня 2025 17:48

—❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: Iranian air defenses shot down 28 drones in the past hour, including a Hermes drone

@Middle_East_Spectator

Middle East Spectator – MES

17 июня 2025 04:44

—❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: Three airstrikes in North Eastern Tehran

@Middle_East_Spectator

Middle East Spectator – MES

16 июня 2025 18:12

Didn't even notice, my guy has blood on his hands, he's injured, yet immediately continued.

What a legend.

Middle East Spectator – MES

15 июня 2025 22:38

(In fact, We hurl the truth against falsehood, leaving it crushed, and it quickly vanishes. And woe be to you for what you claim!) - Al-Anbyaa 18

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Middle East Spectator – MES

13 июня 2025 18:19

UPDATE: Seven Israeli UAVs were intercepted by the Air Defense Force of the Artesh

Middle East Spectator – MES

13 июня 2025 16:18

— ❗️NOTE: All of the commanders killed by Israel were killed this morning, most of them were killed at an underground bunker during an IRGC Aerospace Force meeting.

The others, like Mohammad Baqeri and Gholam-Ali Rashid, were killed during an attack on the General Staff Headquarters in Tehran.

IRGC Commander-in-Chief Hossein Salami was killed at his home, including most of the scientists, they were also killed at their homes.

The important part: Since morning, no new assassinations have taken place. Only these two locations were targeted.

@Middle_East_Spectator

Middle East Spectator – MES

12 июня 2025 19:36

— For in-depth analysis and comprehensive coverage of Middle East events we highly recommend our partners @geopolitics_live

Middle East Spectator – MES

11 июня 2025 22:51

— 🇮🇷/🇷🇺 NEW: For the first time, Russian 'Pantsir-S1' air defence systems are confirmed to be in service with the Iranian military, spotted on satellite imagery from northern Tehran province

Via @BasedIMINT

@Middle_East_Spectator

Middle East Spectator – MES

11 июня 2025 16:20

— Dear subscribers

You have all probably heard of Geopolitics Live. Many of our friends and associates have shared them in the past, as their coverage is quite good, and they are reliable.

They attempt to change the media sphere by presenting things in a neutral way to appeal to a wider audience, while at the same time working with pro-Palestinian and Resistance Axis channels to share the truth and show important news that the mainstream doesn't cover.

Go ahead and check them out!
—> @geopolitics_live

Middle East Spectator – MES

11 июня 2025 14:14

—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 President Trump: 'I used to believe we'd make a deal with Iran, but I was more optimistic a few weeks ago than now. I think they're delaying, and that's a shame. Something happened with Iran, I'm much less confident about a deal now.'

@Middle_East_SpectTor

Middle East Spectator – MES

07 июня 2025 23:06

— 🇮🇱/🇵🇸 NEW: The IDF has announced the deaths of Sergeant First Class Tom Rotstein, 23, and Sergeant Uri Yhonatan Cohen, 20, both from the 'Yahalom' Special Operations Unit, who were killed in southern Gaza

In a separate incident, a soldier from the 646th Paratroopers Brigade was injured in Shuja'iyya, eastern Gaza.

@Middle_East_Spectator