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Thanks for jumping into the cryptoverse! This is the place to learn about macro-level moves in the cryptocurrency markets using data science, and better understand how to build a portfolio to match your own risk/reward goals.

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Into The Cryptoverse

I see this will not change into the future. Simply because the halvings are fixedly programmed in the btc.

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Into The Cryptoverse

Many friends wont like me for posting this lol. Ok let's see how eth will do in 2025

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Into The Cryptoverse

The dynamics of the 4y cycle is not because the people investing in it dump all their coins let’s say late 2025 now, then don’t buy or not much for 2 years, then pump btc to the moon and later on alts

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Into The Cryptoverse

Super bearllish. Congratulations you created a new word today. I will call Oxford dictionary guys to include that word lol

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Into The Cryptoverse

Anyone knows Tone Vays?

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Into The Cryptoverse

Not at all.. they dont care

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Into The Cryptoverse

The 4 year cycle has been caused by the supply shocks due to halvings.

If the hyperbitcoinization theory is coming true, it's gonna be wild.

But i wouldn’t bet on that now.
Let's talk about that again when btc hits 150k

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Into The Cryptoverse

If 200k is the peak and drawdown to 100k, that's still expensive af

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Into The Cryptoverse

There will be draw down but i doubt it will be more than 60%

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Into The Cryptoverse

I have many years til my kids turn into adults. And i want to mentor them to become an astute investors themselves outside btc. Easy money won't do them any good.

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Into The Cryptoverse

Just ignore the euphoria that people will preaching btc will hit 1 m or 500k by 2025. Extremely unlikely .

The past price trajectory would not support that.

Take the profit and go home friends. 2025 gonna be a crazy year.

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Into The Cryptoverse

Probably. 280k would be maximum, of course the probability would be higher in the 120-180k range.

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Into The Cryptoverse

I think 180k-200k , risk where risk metric is

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Into The Cryptoverse

Most friends suggest $280k maximum top this cycle. This might happen along 2025 or by end of 2025.

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Into The Cryptoverse

Mathematically impossible

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Into The Cryptoverse

Membership 26k, still waiting to see it climb, that'll be the signal for the start of alt season.

Fresh meat.

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Into The Cryptoverse

Tbh i am a btc maxi now.
And i am bearish on eth.
I mean Sol, xlm and xrp and new stuffs like Kaspa have better tech than eth

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Into The Cryptoverse

Neologisms are bullish

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Into The Cryptoverse

Everyone ignores him

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Into The Cryptoverse

Still my giga black swan plan

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Into The Cryptoverse

But people will admire you for buying at 98k, when btc hits 500k. I think 2029 btc will hit 500k.

It will take time.

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Into The Cryptoverse

How nice could be a 110k BTC with a 0.05 eth, nice and very close 😀

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Into The Cryptoverse

We all know that the moment ETH confirms the trend change and starts going up, everyone will FOMO in, as EVERYONE who’s been here for a while knows where this is heading. We need to be ready, with knife and fork in hand.

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Into The Cryptoverse

Let's say the draw down reduced to 50%

You can assume the peak. Then assume the next cycle bottom.

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Into The Cryptoverse

Btc reserve will create a consistent buy pressure on the price, so no matter how much people dump, the downward is reduced. Also with etf, some ppl just set auto dca with their money, that's why you don't see much volatility with s&p 500?
I hope I'm wrong, I still want 70% draw downs so I can buy btc at a disocunt

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Into The Cryptoverse

lets say those predictions come close, how do you guys plan to pass your btc to you kids?

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Into The Cryptoverse

But with a btc and crypto pro government, the 4 year thesis is invalidated?

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Into The Cryptoverse

Dont take this to the bank. You have to manage your risks a.k.a never selling your house to buy btc, nor throwing all your life savings into btc.

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Into The Cryptoverse

Also the adoption will definitely take its sweet time.

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Into The Cryptoverse

how about $3m btc this cycle so you don't have to quit

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