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Crypto earnings in a nutshell. Contact me: @WonderlandWanderer
What’s happening with the price of #BTC❓
Amid new statements about peace negotiations, Bitcoin’s price has broken through a long-term trendline and is now attempting to consolidate above it.
📊 A breakout of resistance with a daily close above it would signal a high probability of #BTC rising toward $80,000. This is also hinted at by the all-time high on the S&P 500.
In that case, I expect a local altseason similar to what we saw in January. I also think it won’t last more than a month.
💁♂️ Considering that #BTC is extremely overbought on the daily chart, as well as the lack of real positive news (aside from empty statements), it’s reasonable to assume that a breakdown in negotiations and continued military conflict could trigger an even larger sell-off.
In that scenario, after a medium-term growth phase, the market would return to a bearish trend untill autumn.
The #BTC correction is ongoing - when will bear market end?
The market is strictly cyclical, and its movements are governed by mathematical algorithms - this is the conclusion I’ve reached by analyzing Bitcoin fractals on higher timeframes.
On the chart, I’ve highlighted recurring time intervals between halvings. You can track these patterns yourselves.
▫️The Growth Impulse: In all three cycles (2016, 2020, and 2024), the active growth phase lasts exactly 1,064 days.
▫️ Correction Phase: The market decline phase following the peak lasts for 350 days.
My Forecast:
▫️ Do not expect #BTC to hit $200,000 or the start of a massive "altseason" anytime soon.
▫️ According to the fractal, the current correction will last until September 2026.
The most likely scenario - the market will steadily decline until the autumn of 2026, after which it will enter an accumulation phase before finally beginning a new growth cycle.
#SUI +90% profits on futures ⭐️
Just like we expected, the correction is rolling on. Our #SUI position has already hit all the targets and is sitting in solid profit.
I’ve fully closed the position at current levels.
If you jumped in with me — congrats on the gains! 🥂
What’s happening in the market❓
The U.S. stock market has opened in the red again. This time, #BTC followed - the price dropped below $70,000, but is still holding a local support level.
👉 If the $69,500 level is confidently broken with a close below it on the hourly chart, the bullish scenario will be invalidated. In that case, further downside can be expected. Nearest targets - $68,000 and $66,500.
The current market situation is fully dependent on the news flow. Technical analysis in such conditions helps identify key levels, but does not provide clear direction. Price movement is largely driven by news and statements from political figures.
💁♂️ I still hold my #SUI short and will notify you when I will open a new position.
#BTC — market outlook 📊
Despite the negative news backdrop and the decline in stock markets, Bitcoin continues to trade above $70,000. The altcoin market is also աճing.
💁♂️ We already saw a similar situation with a “local altseason” back in January this year - and it ended with a dump. However, this time #BTC has confidently established itself above $70,000 and continues to show signs of strong buying pressure.
If in the near term we don’t see a sharp move down with a breakdown below $69,000 and consolidation under that level, and Bitcoin manages to hold the current range for several days, then the bias shifts to the upside.
👉 Targets: $78,000 and $83,000.
Considering that the altcoin market is also showing positive momentum, in this scenario we will look to open new long positions.
#BTC - looking at the local situation 🧑💻
Buyers failed to hold above the $70,000 level for long, and the price of Bitcoin dropped back to the nearest support.
📊 Considering that #BTC has been rising amid global geopolitical tensions and moving against the stock market, it’s currently difficult to make clear price predictions. However, the overbought conditions on higher time frames suggest that sellers may attempt to break the support.
If that happens, their next target would likely be the $66,000–$65,000 range.
💁♂️ I’ve already started gradually accumulating #BTC on spot. My first buy was around ~$62,000. Anything below $60,000 for Bitcoin, I plan to buy quite aggressively.
If anyone’s interested in trading directly with me (under my guidance/control), just DM with:
- Trading experience ✅
- Deposit size ✅
Everything is strictly under my control — no emotions, no risk violations.
Funds stay with you, you don’t send me anything. Profits are split 50/50 after closing, losses are 100% on me.
@WonderlandWanderer (I never DM first).
#ARC +250% profits on futures ⭐️
Just like we expected, the correction is rolling on. Our #ARC trade is sitting in solid profit.
I’ve fully closed the position and secured profits.
#ARC is pumping again without any clear reason, and on relatively low volume. RSI has already moved into the overbought zone.
💁♂️ I’m building a SHORT position from the liquidity levels marked in red on the chart.
Make sure to follow proper risk management — the coin is highly volatile.
Assessing the mid-term outlook of the market 👨💻
Buyers failed to secure a position above $70,000, and the price has once again pulled back to the local support range.
📊 On lower timeframes, #BTC has formed a descending channel and continues to move within its boundaries. Buying volumes remain low, and every attempt to break out above the channel has so far failed.
Extreme fear in the market and oversold readings across most technical indicators suggest that the bottom for #BTC may be quite close.
💁♂️ However, before starting to accumulate #BTC on spot and considering new long positions, I plan to wait for clear reversal patterns to form - the market remains highly unstable, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see another wick below $60,000 within the next month.
Although the overall market trend is bearish, some altcoins are still randomly pumping (#UNI, #STG). While waiting for a broader #BTC reversal, a reasonable strategy could be shorting such altcoins with low leverage.
#XAUT +105% profits ✅✅
While most traders are panicking over the current market, we’re locking in massive gains on our long – +100% in just couple days.
I’ve fully closed the position and secured profits.
#XAUT - first TP done ✅
The trade played out exactly as planned - #XAUT continued its recovery and is currently bringing us around +40% profit.
I’ve closed part of the position and moved the stop to breakeven.
Is it time to start buying #BTC❓
The market continues to move lower - Bitcoin is already trading below $70,000, and most altcoins are also deep in drawdown.
📊 Historically, the high of the previous cycle has often acted as an approximate bottom of the next one. After reaching $69,000 in 2021, Bitcoin pulled back to the previous cycle high - around $20,000 (the 2017 high).
If this pattern repeats, the bottom of the current cycle could form in the $69,000–$55,000 range. I’ve marked this zone on the chart.
For now, I’m not rushing to buy #BTC and am waiting for clear reversal patterns. Once I see selling volume starting to decline, I’ll begin accumulating spot positions.
💁♂️ Also worth noting: during the current cycle, the weekly RSI never rose above 70 - the bull market was relatively weak. That suggests the bear phase may also be shorter than usual. After a move below $60,000, we could see a fairly quick return to the highs, possibly within a few months.
#BTC - broken below the weekly MA100 📉
This is a strong bearish signal that has historically appeared quite rarely - roughly once every four years. In previous cycles, it consistently marked the end of a growth phase and the beginning of a bearish market.
📊 Buyers failed to confidently hold the price above the weekly MA100. Moreover, #BTC is now trading below this key level. If we don’t see an aggressive buy-back in the near term, the market may enter a phase of prolonged downside lasting several months.
On lower timeframes, RSI is in oversold territory, so I am not shorting #BTC at current levels. I’m waiting for a pullback and a retest of the broken level, from which I plan to build a short position.
💁♂️ There are currently many analysts who deny the cyclical nature of #BTC price action and talk about the beginning of a so-called “supercycle,” predicting an imminent rally. However, as long as Bitcoin is trading below the weekly MA100, I do not consider this scenario.
#BTC back above $97,000. What’s next❓
After a small pullback, the market resumed its growth - most coins are trading above local resistance levels.
💁♂️ Considering that a significant part of the market is still bearish and sells assets on every rally, a local correction can be expected after such an impulse. The nearest support level is $95,000.
I’m still waiting for a retest of the weekly MA (~$101,000), so a move below $95,000 would be considered an opportunity to build long positions.
I’ve already spotted a couple of new setups and will soon share entry points with you. To avoid missing the next trade, turn on notifications and pin the channel 🔔
What to expect from the market this week ❓
As expected, the talks between Iran and the U.S. failed. On the back of that, the market has pulled back to key support levels once again.
With #BTC still looking overbought on the daily, and equities showing a weak premarket, I’m expecting a near-term retest of the MA50 from above.
▫️ A clean break and hold below the moving average would confirm the bearish scenario.
▫️ A bounce off support would open the door for a move above $72,000.
For now, I’m still leaning bearish. If we get consolidation below the MA50, I’ll be looking to open multiple short positions.
Make sure notifications are on and pin the channel so you don’t miss the next update 🔔
‼️ $USDT stablecoin just lost 45% of its value!! It’s de-pegging now!
Читать полностью…
#SUI +65% profits ✅
I waited quite a while for this position to play out - nevertheless, with the market drop, #SUI also moved into a solid profit.
Closed half of the position at current levels.
👉 As a reminder, I trade on ByBit. If you trade on ByBit using my link, I refund you up to 75% of the fees you pay to the exchange (you basically get paid for trading).
For details DM me - @WonderlandWanderer
#BTC - below $72,000. What’s next? ❓
Bitcoin has dropped to the support range I highlighted in yesterday’s review and is currently trading around $71,000.
I’m watching how price reacts at this level - it should indicate the next direction:
▫️ A bounce from support would signal a continuation of the move upward toward $80,000.
▫️ A breakdown below this level would signal a deeper correction, potentially down to $68,000.
Considering that the Fed’s interest rate decision is scheduled for today, making firm price predictions is quite difficult. Let’s wait for the reassess based on the news flow.
#SUI - SHORT 📈
The coin is moving within descending channel and has already rejected form its upper bounary on the hourly chart. I expect that after a retest, the downtrend will continue - the next medium-term target for buyers is around $0.85.
TP1: $0.91
TP2: $0.88
TP3: $0.85
❗️Remember the risks of futures trading — avoid overleveraging trade with a fraction of a deposit.
As a reminder, I trade on Bybit. Get $500 and access to my private channel when you register. Referrals who trade through my Bybit link also receive regular commission cashback.
👉 Register on Bybit – [link]
#BTC - back below $64,000 🩸
Another geopolitical escalation - and markets are bleeding again. While #BTC is down roughly 3%, most alts are already pushing to fresh local lows.
📊 Key support sits at $62,000. A retest of that level looks likely within the next few days. With the start of the trading week, a confirmed breakdown and acceptance below support becomes a realistic scenario.
If that plays out, my previous downside target at $58,000 comes into focus - without a liquidity sweep above the $70,000 local high.
💁♂️ A sustained move below $60,000 would be a strong spot accumulation opportunity for me. I’ll be scaling into spot positions aggressively on any deviation under that level.
#BTC – Reviewing the Local Situation 👨💻
Buyers failed to set a new local high and continue the recovery. From the $70,000 level, the price was rejected once again.
On the 4-hour chart, #BTC. has formed a wedge pattern. A breakout and consolidation beyond the formation’s boundaries will help better forecast the next directional move:
▫️ A breakout and consolidation above the pattern would allow buyers to once again test the $70,000 level.
▫️ A 4H close below the formation would signal a deeper correction. In that case, I expect a sweep into the $58,000–$55,000 area over the next few weeks.
Given the current weakness from buyers, I’m prioritizing a downside move. I plan to use a potential correction into this range to build a spot position in #BTC. When I start buying the market, I’ll be sure to announce it in the channel.
#ARC +150% profits ✅✅
Closed half of the position at current levels.
If you jumped in with me — congrats on the gains! 🥂
#TON – breakout from the downtrend ⬆️
#TON had been trading in a downtrend since the end of last year. However, after sellers failed to hold the price below the $1.30 level, the coin bounced and has now broken above the trendline resistance.
📊 Considering the overbought RSI conditions, a short-term retest of the broken trendline from above is likely. If the diagonal support holds and pushes the price higher, we could see a continuation of the recovery in the mid-term.
In that case, I’ll be looking to open a low-leverage long position on #TON, targeting the $1.70 area.
Waiting for confirmation of the setup before entering the trade. To avoid missing the next signal, turn on notifications and pin the channel 🔔
If anyone’s interested in trading directly with me (under my guidance/control), just DM with:
- Trading experience ✅
- Deposit size ✅
Everything is strictly under my control — no emotions, no risk violations.
Funds stay with you, you don’t send me anything. Profits are split 50/50 after closing, losses are 100% on me.
@WonderlandWanderer (I never DM first).
#XAUT +65% profit with 25x leverage ⭐️
Another trade executed perfectly. Our gold position keeps climbing and has now almost reached the second take-profit target.
I’ve closed most of the position at current levels and moved the stop higher.
#XAUT - LONG 📈
Gold has bounced off the support range and already broken the local downtrend, consolidating above it on the lower timeframes. In the near term, I expect an attempt to extend the recovery.
Reminder: gold can be traded via futures on Bybit.
TP1: $4920
TP2: $5000
TP3: $5200
👉 Register on Bybit – [link]
🩸 Are You Really Safe in Today’s Markets?
Yesterday reminded us of a hard truth: there’s no safety for your money in the financial world anymore.
• Crypto keeps falling. Altcoin investors are deep in losses.
• Gold, despite high demand and strong trends, dropped 10% in a single day twice over the past three months. The window for systematic buying has passed, and speculative trades are punished harshly.
• Yesterday saw one of the strongest stock market sell-offs of the past three years.
• The dollar is at 4-year lows. Keeping deposits in USD no longer makes sense.
• Bank deposits offer laughable 10% yields, and Japanese liquidity is returning home.
Yet people keep gambling blindly. Speculation and the dream of 200x gains in a single trade only fuel further corrections - or trigger shocks like yesterday’s gold crash.
💁♂️ There is no safe harbor for your money in traditional markets.
2025 was tough - no doubt about it. 2026 promises to be even tougher.
Still, in 2026, my partners are trading confidently, not fearing market swings, because we are not gambling, but using a strategy built for long-term profits, predictability, and strict risk control.
If you want to trade smartly, protecting your money while multiplying it, I’m waiting for you in my DMs 🤝
@WonderlandWanderer (I never DM first.)
$BTC — $88,000. What’s next❓
Bitcoin broke above the upper boundary of the support range; however, due to a large cluster of orders within the range, the price quickly recovered.
At this point, further price movement depends on whether the support range can withstand selling pressure:
▫️ Holding above the upper boundary ($87,500) would allow the recovery to continue.
▫️ A move below the range would give sellers access to the $80,000 level.
Divergence and oversold conditions on the 4-hour timeframe suggest a high probability of a rebound. I expect a move toward the short-term MA, where I will be watching the market reaction.
#BTC +125% profits on futures ⭐️
Just like we expected, the rally is rolling on. Our #BTC position has already hit all the targets and is sitting in solid profit.
I’ve fully closed the position at current levels.
If you jumped in with me — congrats on the gains! 🥂