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Charles Edwards thinks Bitcoin has real downside the market is completely ignoring, from a risk almost nobody's pricing: quantum.
He also breaks down why 200+ treasury companies are a "ball and chain" on crypto, why the four-year cycle might be a coincidence this time, and why Saylor's 12% yield model is structurally broken.
Unbiased Ep. 3 is out now.
Watch Now on YouTube
Also listen on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and more.
@cryptoquant_official
Bitcoin Demand Staged One of Its Sharpest Recoveries This Year
“Historically, the strongest and most sustainable rallies begin when both futures and spot demand move higher together.” – Read More
By IT Tech | @cryptoquant_official
40% of Altcoins Are Trading Around Their All Time Low
“The altcoin market has now reached an extreme level of underperformance… It’s now essential to carefully select the projects you choose to be exposed to, and stay highly selective.” – Read More
By Darkfost | @cryptoquant_official
Crypto Liquidity Continues To Dry Up
“USDC and USDT market cap are down -3.6% and -2% respectively over the past 30 days. Overall, we can see that this slowdown has now been in place since November 2025.” – Read More
By Darkfost | @cryptoquant_official
Altcoin Sell Pressure Broke to a Fresh Multi-Year Low
“The cumulative buy/sell volume diff (alts ex BTC/ETH) hit a 5-year extreme in June. Now it's gone even lower.” – Read More
By IT Tech | @cryptoquant_official
CeFi lending had its first contraction since Q3 2024, down 6% QoQ to $ 23.3B.
Tether still owns 68% of the market despite a 7% pullback. Nexo, Maple, and Coinbase were the only lenders that actually grew.
Galaxy (-21%) and Ledn (-19%) took the brunt of the deleverage.
👉 Full report.
@cryptoquant_official
100,000 BTC Leave the ETFs
“In terms of drawdown, this is the largest ETFs have ever experienced. It’s estimated at over $11B in losses, a historic record.” – Read More
By Darkfost | @cryptoquant_official
Strategy's preferred stock hit a record 17.5% discount to par.
Here's why Bitcoin's bear market is now a balance sheet problem
👉 Full analysis.
@cryptoquant_official
STH Realized Price YoY Momentum Declines Further to -24%
“The deterioration that began in March has intensified, but the current reading remains less severe than in prior deep-reset zones.” – Read More
By Zizcrypto | @cryptoquant_official
Strategy’s annualized dividend obligations have nearly quadrupled to $1.2B, while its cash reserve has fallen 38% in 2026.
Dividend coverage collapsed from 7+ years to just 14 months.
The company needs to stop buying Bitcoin and rebuild cash.
👉 Full details in our report.
@cryptoquant_official
Bitcoin Cycle Momentum Indicates the Bear Market is Not Over Yet
“Historically, this range (-30) has formed the main support levels for BTC. However, to confirm a trend reversal, the price must form a bullish pattern with the indicator breaking above the Neutral zone.” – Read More
By Gaah | @cryptoquant_official
The Final Flush Before Bitcoin Finds Its Bottom?
“The key question now is whether BTC can stabilize while realized losses continue to decline, or whether one last downside wave is needed to complete the capitulation process.” – Read More
By MorenoDV_ | @cryptoquant_official
Binance Is Pricing Bearish While Retail Buys the Dip — 4 Signals to Watch
“Binance funding rate is running 370bps below the 3-exchange median — bottom 2.8% of all readings since 2021.” – Read More
By Crazzyblockk | @cryptoquant_official
New on the CryptoQuant API 👀
10 Bitcoin signals built as queries are now API endpoints.
The same metrics traders and analysts monitor on charts can now be pulled directly into bots, alerts, dashboards, workflows, and models with a single API call.
Here are 3 worth watching closely 👇
1. Apparent Demand
Tracks Bitcoin spot demand changes over 30 days and 1 year.
Useful for identifying when demand is accelerating, weakening, or reversing direction.
Endpoint:GET /v2/community/bitcoin-apparent-demand
2. Trader Realized Price
Shows the realized price of Bitcoin held for 1–3 months, including max, upper, lower, and min price bands.
Useful for tracking where recent market participants may be in profit, under pressure, or nearing capitulation.
Endpoint:GET /v2/community/bitcoin-trader-realized-price
3. Bull-Bear Market Indicator
A cycle momentum signal based on the gap between the PnL Index and its 365-day moving average.
Helpful for identifying whether the market environment is bullish, bearish, recovering, or overheating.
Endpoint:GET /v2/community/bitcoin-bull-bear-indicator
The bigger shift:
Less “open chart → check metric → copy signal.”
More “call endpoint → pipe into workflow → act faster.”
Explore the new Alpha endpoints ⤵️
CryptoQuant Alpha Indicators
@cryptoquant_official
Binance Futures Trading Reaches $800T, Fueled by Recent Speculation
“The recent surge in trading activity likely contributed to the formation of a local bottom. However, caution remains warranted, as a market structure driven primarily by leverage is generally less resilient than one supported by strong spot demand.” – Read More
By DarkFost | @cryptoquant_official
Strategy's Cost Basis vs. Binance's: Who's really underwater on Bitcoin?
“By comparison, all the BTC sitting on Binance carries an estimated realized price of around $60 900, a level well below Strategy's [$75,476] own.” – Read More
By Darkfost | @cryptoquant_official
Bitcoin tends to rally in July, even in bear markets.
In 2018 and 2022, BTC gained +20% and +17% in July despite weak broader trends.
With Bitcoin entering this July fresh off a $57.7K bear-market low, seasonality now skews near-term risk toward more upside
👉 See the details.
@cryptoquant_official
Four Bitcoin Bottoms, One Signal: the 100-Day NUPL Below Zero
“Either the 100-day EMA crosses zero as it did at every prior bottom, or this becomes the first cycle to bottom without it, which would fit the shallower-each-time trend.” – Read More
By thechessONCHAIN | @cryptoquant_official
One exchange did $53.8B in TradFi equity perps last month. 80% of the entire market.
Binance built it on SpaceX perps, now the most-traded TradFi contract on any crypto exchange.
Pre-IPO access, 24/7, no broker in the way.
👉 See the research.
@cryptoquant_official
Bitcoin is testing $60K support, and exchange deposits are flashing warning signs.
BTC inflows jumped above 50K/day, ETH inflows spiked above 1.25M, and altcoin deposits hit a two-month high.
Whales appear to be leading the move.
Incoming volatility.
👉 Get the data.
@cryptoquant_official
Vibe Quants is out now 🟢
We built a community for people building trading agents on CryptoQuant data.
Instead of watching charts, our builders wire on-chain data into AI agents that monitor the market, read regime shifts, and surface signals. Vibe Quant is where they share setups, strategies, and code.
What's inside:
• Community + market discussion, open to everyone
• Vibe trading fundamentals to get started
• Gated Builder Zone for Pro/Premium: API & MCP peer help, strategy sharing, early endpoint access
Run /verify after joining and your role connects automatically.
Join now.
@cryptoquant_official
No Dry Powder, No Real Rally
“In this kind of environment, any bounce that does appear is more likely a short-term technical reaction than the beginning of a trend reversal.” – Read More
By Sunny Mom | @cryptoquant_official
Bitcoin’s First Bottoming Flag Has Appeared
“BTC is finally showing evidence of a meaningful internal clean-up. But if history is a guide, the market may still need to absorb more stress before the bearish phase can fully exhaust itself.” – Read More
By MorenoDV_ | @cryptoquant_official
Smart Money Leaves a Footprint Before Price Moves
“Historically, large expansions in spot or derivative volume have emerged around zones where Bitcoin was about to enter a new volatility regime.” – Read More
By MorenoDV_ | @cryptoquant_official
OG Selling Slows to Its Lowest Level Since Late 2024
“Today, the 90-day average of BTC spent by these OGs has dropped below 1 000, sitting at 962, its lowest level since November 2024.” – Read More
By DarkFost | @cryptoquant_official
Unbiased Ep. 2 is live with Julio Moreno, Ben Sizelove, and special guest TXMC.
We discuss K-shaped macro, BTC bottom signals, why treasury companies are mostly unprofitable businesses with great PR, and why Ethereum's stablecoin market cap crossover should worry ETH bulls.
Watch now.
@cryptoquant_official
Bitcoin network activity is surging.
Micro-transactions below 0.01 BTC now make up ~80% of all BTC transactions, up from under 50% in 2023, while OP_RETURN usage nears record highs driven by Runes, Ordinals, and inscriptions.
The surge is activity-driven, not value-driven.
👉 Read the full report.
@cryptoquant_official
Altcoin Sell Pressure Hit a 5-Year Extreme
“This is not a dip. It’s 15 months of continuous net selling on Spot Exchanges. Cumulative buy/sell volume diff (alts excluded BTC/ETH): deepest negative reading since data began in 2020.” – Read More
By IT Tech | @cryptoquant_official
Users are now trading pre-IPO companies on crypto exchanges before they even list on traditional markets.
Pre-IPO perpetual volume went from $2M in March to $12B so far in June.
Binance alone now controls ~83% of the market.
👉 Track TradFi trading on crypto exchanges.
@cryptoquant_official
Whales Complete Selling & Trigger $65.7K Rebound (Whale Supply U-Turn)
“Whales have locked in the $60,000–$61,500 range as a rock-solid floor. With exchange reserves depleted, the path of least resistance for Bitcoin is now firmly upward.” – Read More
By Woominkyu | @cryptoquant_official