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#Altcoins | Patience pays off
$ADA is a great example of a long Accumulation at the bottom and a glorious Breakout & Uptrend 📈
Let's say you bought $ADA at $0.046 in September 2019 - it was a great spot to buy, right? (healthy correction to 0.618 Fib, near the cycle bottom).
Then in March 2020 you're in a -60% loss. Painful? Yeah
📉 35 weeks of being underwater in total since that Buy.
Some people gave up during that period. Some people just did nothing and held through it all. Some people even increased their positions.
Now if you take a look at the big picture - $ADA hit $2.5 just 1 year after! 🚀
No difference whether you bought at $0.05 $0.04 or $0.03
If you give up now you don't deserve those gains. Period
$APT/SOL chart 👀👀
Massive Bullish Divergence
Looks like #Aptos is gearing up for a serious move 📈
🎯 I think $APT/SOL can go back to 0.5 this cycle
If you’re holding $SOL consider swapping some for $APT
$IMX Macro update
Well, as you see my Buy Zone was never reached. I missed this one last year.
$IMX hit my Target 1 in February ✅
Now the price is finally in sync with my drawings 👌
IMO right now is a great opportunity to buy $IMX if you like this project and you missed it in 2023
🎯 My Target 2 & Target 3 are still valid
$ONDO Macro chart
Top #RWA project with serious backing. In Q1-Q2 it showed great price dynamic.
I think this one is a good bet for the upcoming Altseason 🚀
📍 Buy Zone: $0.7-0.5
🎯 Macro Target 1 - $6.5
🎯 Macro Target 2 - $13
So what about now? I think we have a clear Early Bird $INJ 🐦 and a potential bull market MVP $SUI ⭐️
According to my theory, $INJ will top out relatively soon, there’s not much gas left in the tank.
$SUI will significantly outperform $INJ
🐦 Early Birds ($LINK): bottom out with $BTC and take the lead - pump the hardest in the first stage of the bull market. Most of the gains are made BEFORE #BTC enters Price Discovery. Top out first.
⭐️ Bull Market MVPs ($SOL): new projects that haven’t seen the bear market yet, hit the market and catch up almost immediately. Most of the gains are made AFTER #BTC enters Price Discovery. Top out last.
The most important part is that $LINK (early bird) topped out in May 2021 while $SOL just made a Temporary Top. Later, $SOL broke that $58 top in August 2021 and went to incredible $260 by November!
In November 2021:
#Bitcoin made a Higher High (Cycle Top)
$SOL made a Higher High (Cycle Top)
$LINK made a LOWER High (Topped out in May)
💡 So, it's better to rotate out of Early Birds 🐦 ($LINK) into potential bull market MVPs ⭐️ ($SOL) when $BTC enters the Price Discovery phase 📈
$SOL Medium term scenario | Update
Well, it’s been 4 months since I posted my analysis and as you can see, so far so good - we’re still in corrective Wave 4 👌
The good news is #SOL didn’t even go below $100 during this period of chopsolidation!
We can stay in this range for another month but we’re definitely going to break out soon 📈
New ATH is coming!
Green funding across the board! (negative almost everywhere - short positions prevail)
This favours the bulls actually 🐂
$ETH update
Well, that global market crash on August 5 hit $ETH badly and we lost $2.8k Support violating the parabola curve.
However, my Fib horizontals did a great job - 0.618 Fib held the body of the weekly candle & 0.5 Fib caught the wick 👌
And we have the Key Multi-year Support line that keeps me pretty bullish on $ETH 📈
💡 IMO the low is in, $2500-2100 is unbreachable Support Cluster. I still think we’re gonna have a glorious rally soon but first we may have to consolidate around the 0.618 Fib level & MA100 for a few weeks
🎯 Upside Targets remain!
$BTC Dominance Ending Diagonal 👀
Sharp reversal on the horizon? 📉 🤔
#Altseason 🔜
$ZIG is bouncing right off the Support line, MA200 & POC of the Range Volume profile 👌
Now we have a Triangle formation. Burns going as scheduled 🔥
Target 1 - $0.19
Target 2 - $0.30
$LTC/BTC update
Yep, we’re almost there
-68% since the #Litecoin Halving so far 📉 🤫
$ZIG vs $SOL 👀
$ZIG/SOL pair looks ready to break out of this massive Ascending Triangle 📈
Which means $ZIG/USDT is gonna breakout soon and outperform $SOL/USDT
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$AVAX 1W update
Wow, what a strong weekly candle! 🤩
+30% since I called it.
Great reaction 📈
$IMX 1W chart
$IMX held the orange Horizontal Support, printed a nice Falling Wedge
I think we’re in a macro parabolic advance. Soon $IMX will accelerate to the upside 📈
🎯 My macro targets remain: $8-10 & $15-19
$ARC looks pretty similar to $ONDO 🧐
Same algorithm: 3 peaks and then a sell-off 📉
Both projects are hot - $ONDO is #RWA and $ARC is #AI
Just like $ONDO, I think $ARC can break the ATH once the BTC Dominance starts dumping.
With the Reactor Mk. II upcoming release I doubt that the Aug 5 low on $ARC will be broken.
🎯 $ARC Distribution Zone: $0.32-0.77
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Let me tell you about two types of market leaders: Early Birds (🐦) & bull market MVPs (⭐️)
Here’s a great example from 2020-2021 — $LINK vs $SOL
#Bitcoin 2-Year Outlook
🐂 Bull Market Top - $95-100k
🐻 Bear Market Bottom - $23-25k
I think we’re completing Wave 4 right now, which means we’ll definitely break out of this chopsolidation and rally into the cycle top 📈
🎯 My target for Wave 5 is the confluence of 1.618 Fib & the Top of the Channel - $95-100k (December-March)
Once that target is reached, I will be waiting for Rejection and the first wave (A) of the Bear Market 📉
Temporary low should be in Summer 2025. Dead Cat Bounce (B) - September-December.
And the most painful wave - Wave C should take up the entire 2026. Target $23-25k 🎯
_
These are just my expectations. I try to be conservative here and not give you crazy $250-500k or $1M targets. This scenario may be invalidated if the macro economic picture changes dramatically and #BTC breaks out of this multi-year channel to the upside. In that case we can start talking about $170-200k #BTC
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#TOTAL3 update
No changes. Target $1T 🎯
Then we re-evaluate
$TRAC Macro chart
#AI focused project, 81% of Supply in Circulation
Retested the Key Support. I think $TRAC will maintain the uptrend 📈
🎯 Target 1 - $2.5
🎯 Target 2 - $5.7
$DOT Macro update
Well, the orange Horizontal didn’t hold and $DOT tested the Fork line (prior resistance) for support
No changes in my plan, I still think this is just one big Accumulation at the bottom. However, the chances of hitting my Target 3 have decreased.
🎯 Target 1 ($24) remains (30% sell)
🎯 Target 2 ($35-45) can be the Bull Market Top (this is where I’m planning to sell most of my $DOT position)
$FET Macro update
Retested the breakout level 👌
Next wave up should take us to my $7-9 Target 🎯
$SEI Macro update
0.618 Fib held brilliantly ✅ 👌
Are you guys accumulating? 😏
🎯 Targets remain
$KDA Macro update
-81% correction from the March top.
Ideally $KDA should've made a higher low but it swept the 2023 lows 🧹
📈 I still expect a second wave up but now I think Target 2 ($8) can be the Bull Market Top
$ARC 1D chart
Nice +44% bounce so far 👌
No wonder the Support held, $0.011-0.017 is the biggest horizontal volume cluster
Targets remain