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🐦 Early Birds ($LINK): bottom out with $BTC and take the lead - pump the hardest in the first stage of the bull market. Most of the gains are made BEFORE #BTC enters Price Discovery. Top out first.
⭐️ Bull Market MVPs ($SOL): new projects that haven’t seen the bear market yet, hit the market and catch up almost immediately. Most of the gains are made AFTER #BTC enters Price Discovery. Top out last.
The most important part is that $LINK (early bird) topped out in May 2021 while $SOL just made a Temporary Top. Later, $SOL broke that $58 top in August 2021 and went to incredible $260 by November!
In November 2021:
#Bitcoin made a Higher High (Cycle Top)
$SOL made a Higher High (Cycle Top)
$LINK made a LOWER High (Topped out in May)
💡 So, it's better to rotate out of Early Birds 🐦 ($LINK) into potential bull market MVPs ⭐️ ($SOL) when $BTC enters the Price Discovery phase 📈
$SOL Medium term scenario | Update
Well, it’s been 4 months since I posted my analysis and as you can see, so far so good - we’re still in corrective Wave 4 👌
The good news is #SOL didn’t even go below $100 during this period of chopsolidation!
We can stay in this range for another month but we’re definitely going to break out soon 📈
New ATH is coming!
Green funding across the board! (negative almost everywhere - short positions prevail)
This favours the bulls actually 🐂
$ETH update
Well, that global market crash on August 5 hit $ETH badly and we lost $2.8k Support violating the parabola curve.
However, my Fib horizontals did a great job - 0.618 Fib held the body of the weekly candle & 0.5 Fib caught the wick 👌
And we have the Key Multi-year Support line that keeps me pretty bullish on $ETH 📈
💡 IMO the low is in, $2500-2100 is unbreachable Support Cluster. I still think we’re gonna have a glorious rally soon but first we may have to consolidate around the 0.618 Fib level & MA100 for a few weeks
🎯 Upside Targets remain!
$BTC Dominance Ending Diagonal 👀
Sharp reversal on the horizon? 📉 🤔
#Altseason 🔜
$ZIG is bouncing right off the Support line, MA200 & POC of the Range Volume profile 👌
Now we have a Triangle formation. Burns going as scheduled 🔥
Target 1 - $0.19
Target 2 - $0.30
$LTC/BTC update
Yep, we’re almost there
-68% since the #Litecoin Halving so far 📉 🤫
$ZIG vs $SOL 👀
$ZIG/SOL pair looks ready to break out of this massive Ascending Triangle 📈
Which means $ZIG/USDT is gonna breakout soon and outperform $SOL/USDT
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$SUI is back above $1 🔥🔥🔥
+135% recovery from the low! 😲
I wonder where this weekly candle will close. Anything above that $1 horizontal is super bullish
#BTC 1W chart
Wow, what a monster bullish weekly candle! 👀
Long wick, green body. Strong recovery
It reminds me of that March 6, 2023 candle
💡 While I think it’s possible to test $53-55k one last time if CPI comes in hot on Wednesday, I can’t be bearish here.
$AVAX Macro update
Pulled back as expected 👌
Several weeks of correction - done ✅
What’s next? Continuation to the upside 📈
Phenomenal $SUI recovery! 🚀💪
Trading back above $0.9
Biggest gainer this week among all projects 🔥
#BTC CME Gap filled ✅
Told you guys it was a strong magnet 😉
Let me tell you about two types of market leaders: Early Birds (🐦) & bull market MVPs (⭐️)
Here’s a great example from 2020-2021 — $LINK vs $SOL
#Bitcoin 2-Year Outlook
🐂 Bull Market Top - $95-100k
🐻 Bear Market Bottom - $23-25k
I think we’re completing Wave 4 right now, which means we’ll definitely break out of this chopsolidation and rally into the cycle top 📈
🎯 My target for Wave 5 is the confluence of 1.618 Fib & the Top of the Channel - $95-100k (December-March)
Once that target is reached, I will be waiting for Rejection and the first wave (A) of the Bear Market 📉
Temporary low should be in Summer 2025. Dead Cat Bounce (B) - September-December.
And the most painful wave - Wave C should take up the entire 2026. Target $23-25k 🎯
_
These are just my expectations. I try to be conservative here and not give you crazy $250-500k or $1M targets. This scenario may be invalidated if the macro economic picture changes dramatically and #BTC breaks out of this multi-year channel to the upside. In that case we can start talking about $170-200k #BTC
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#TOTAL3 update
No changes. Target $1T 🎯
Then we re-evaluate
$TRAC Macro chart
#AI focused project, 81% of Supply in Circulation
Retested the Key Support. I think $TRAC will maintain the uptrend 📈
🎯 Target 1 - $2.5
🎯 Target 2 - $5.7
$DOT Macro update
Well, the orange Horizontal didn’t hold and $DOT tested the Fork line (prior resistance) for support
No changes in my plan, I still think this is just one big Accumulation at the bottom. However, the chances of hitting my Target 3 have decreased.
🎯 Target 1 ($24) remains (30% sell)
🎯 Target 2 ($35-45) can be the Bull Market Top (this is where I’m planning to sell most of my $DOT position)
$FET Macro update
Retested the breakout level 👌
Next wave up should take us to my $7-9 Target 🎯
$SEI Macro update
0.618 Fib held brilliantly ✅ 👌
Are you guys accumulating? 😏
🎯 Targets remain
$KDA Macro update
-81% correction from the March top.
Ideally $KDA should've made a higher low but it swept the 2023 lows 🧹
📈 I still expect a second wave up but now I think Target 2 ($8) can be the Bull Market Top
$ARC 1D chart
Nice +44% bounce so far 👌
No wonder the Support held, $0.011-0.017 is the biggest horizontal volume cluster
Targets remain
$ZIG 1W chart
Nice Bullish Hammer candle 💪
Wicked into support and closed above the mid line
🎯 Target $0.30
$AVAX 1W chart
Sitting at Key Horizontal Support 👀
Printing a reversal Dragonfly Doji candle
🎯 My next targets are $130 & $230
$CELO Macro update
Hit my Mid Term Target in March ✅
almost made it to my Mid Term Target 2 and got rejected 🔨
Tested prior Resistance line (now Support)
This -80% pullback changes nothing. It’s all just one big Accumulation
🎯 Targets remain
$MAV Macro update
So far so good! 👌😎
Major Resistance hit ✅
Aggressive Buy Zone hit ✅
Prepare for a Pump. Targets remain
Nice upward channel on $ZIG/BTC 1W 👀
$ZIG/BTC flipped the resistance and now looks ready to go to 2.618 Fib 📈
Catalysts: $ZIG Staking soon, serious backing from 45+ WEB3 Titans, ZIGChain Investment program that will bring Billions in TVL