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Well, Summer 2024 is behind us and let me remind you something
What did I tell you back in May?
Quote: ’Be ready for tedious consolidation/chop thoughout the Summer.’
This Summer was flat indeed and quite choppy. We even had a mini Black Swan event in August!
So, in general, it was really tough, wasn’t it?
Now I’m telling you that soon (probably in October) #BTC will break out and make a new ATH 💯 🚀
Will I be right again? I guess I will 😏
#BTC Monthly chart
Even though August closed below $60k, I still like this Monthly candle.
As I said on August 5, it’s very reminiscent of the Covid Black Swan crash in March 2020
Same Hammer candle with a red body and a long wick
And this time we closed above the 0.618 Fib 👌
I’m still bullish! 🐂
$BTC Dominance
Bullish Divergence at the Bottom — Bearish Divergence at the Top
We’re so damn close to #Altseason...
Just a little more patience and we'll see fireworks 🚀
$ORN Macro chart
(chart request)
Tested previous major resistance line for support and bounced hard
I think eventually $ORN will break out of that 6-month Falling Wedge 📈
🎯 Target 1 - $5.65
🎯 Target 2 - $9.50
🎯 Target 3 - $18.60
$ARC 1W update
So here's the bounce that I was expecting 👌😎
+60% so far
$DOT 1W linear chart
840 Days of Accumulation. We haven’t even broken out yet!
$30-35 Zone is a Magnet 🧲
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#Altcoins | Patience pays off
$ADA is a great example of a long Accumulation at the bottom and a glorious Breakout & Uptrend 📈
Let's say you bought $ADA at $0.046 in September 2019 - it was a great spot to buy, right? (healthy correction to 0.618 Fib, near the cycle bottom).
Then in March 2020 you're in a -60% loss. Painful? Yeah
📉 35 weeks of being underwater in total since that Buy.
Some people gave up during that period. Some people just did nothing and held through it all. Some people even increased their positions.
Now if you take a look at the big picture - $ADA hit $2.5 just 1 year after! 🚀
No difference whether you bought at $0.05 $0.04 or $0.03
If you give up now you don't deserve those gains. Period
$APT/SOL chart 👀👀
Massive Bullish Divergence
Looks like #Aptos is gearing up for a serious move 📈
🎯 I think $APT/SOL can go back to 0.5 this cycle
If you’re holding $SOL consider swapping some for $APT
$IMX Macro update
Well, as you see my Buy Zone was never reached. I missed this one last year.
$IMX hit my Target 1 in February ✅
Now the price is finally in sync with my drawings 👌
IMO right now is a great opportunity to buy $IMX if you like this project and you missed it in 2023
🎯 My Target 2 & Target 3 are still valid
$ONDO Macro chart
Top #RWA project with serious backing. In Q1-Q2 it showed great price dynamic.
I think this one is a good bet for the upcoming Altseason 🚀
📍 Buy Zone: $0.7-0.5
🎯 Macro Target 1 - $6.5
🎯 Macro Target 2 - $13
So what about now? I think we have a clear Early Bird $INJ 🐦 and a potential bull market MVP $SUI ⭐️
According to my theory, $INJ will top out relatively soon, there’s not much gas left in the tank.
$SUI will significantly outperform $INJ
🐦 Early Birds ($LINK): bottom out with $BTC and take the lead - pump the hardest in the first stage of the bull market. Most of the gains are made BEFORE #BTC enters Price Discovery. Top out first.
⭐️ Bull Market MVPs ($SOL): new projects that haven’t seen the bear market yet, hit the market and catch up almost immediately. Most of the gains are made AFTER #BTC enters Price Discovery. Top out last.
The most important part is that $LINK (early bird) topped out in May 2021 while $SOL just made a Temporary Top. Later, $SOL broke that $58 top in August 2021 and went to incredible $260 by November!
In November 2021:
#Bitcoin made a Higher High (Cycle Top)
$SOL made a Higher High (Cycle Top)
$LINK made a LOWER High (Topped out in May)
💡 So, it's better to rotate out of Early Birds 🐦 ($LINK) into potential bull market MVPs ⭐️ ($SOL) when $BTC enters the Price Discovery phase 📈
$SOL Medium term scenario | Update
Well, it’s been 4 months since I posted my analysis and as you can see, so far so good - we’re still in corrective Wave 4 👌
The good news is #SOL didn’t even go below $100 during this period of chopsolidation!
We can stay in this range for another month but we’re definitely going to break out soon 📈
New ATH is coming!
Green funding across the board! (negative almost everywhere - short positions prevail)
This favours the bulls actually 🐂
$ETH update
Well, that global market crash on August 5 hit $ETH badly and we lost $2.8k Support violating the parabola curve.
However, my Fib horizontals did a great job - 0.618 Fib held the body of the weekly candle & 0.5 Fib caught the wick 👌
And we have the Key Multi-year Support line that keeps me pretty bullish on $ETH 📈
💡 IMO the low is in, $2500-2100 is unbreachable Support Cluster. I still think we’re gonna have a glorious rally soon but first we may have to consolidate around the 0.618 Fib level & MA100 for a few weeks
🎯 Upside Targets remain!
$SD 1W update
Holding quite well to be honest. Still accumulating in the downward channel (Bull Flag) as expected.
Stader buybacks 286.2k $SD ($150k) off CEXs (almost 3.5% circulating supply annualised at this rate) and more Stader revenues will lead to more buybacks (20% of revenue every quarter)
🎯 Targets remain
#TOTAL2 Mid term perspective
Are you ready for what’s coming? W5 📈😏
🎯 Target - $1.8T
$ORDI Macro update
No changes, just more consolidation within the Bull Flag
My expectations have not changed. More upside is coming 📈
🎯 Macro Target 1 - $240
🎯 Macro Target 2 - $690 (Bull Market Top)
$ORDI Macro Distribution Zone : $240-690 🏁
$TIA #Celestia Macro chart
So, after a phenomenal debut $TIA pulled back to the 0.618 Fib and established a base at that level.
I think soon we’re gonna have a wave up of the same caliber as we had in Q4 2023 - Q1 2024 📈
🎯 Macro Target 1 - $43
🎯 Macro Target 2 - $83
$TIA 1W update
Well, $TIA went lower than I expected, but I was right about the correction in general.
Yes, $TIA didn’t print the Symmetric Triangle that I wanted to see but predicting the type of correction is the hardest part.
In general, this chart is still valid. However, now we need to adjust the targets since $TIA went lower than expected (new targets - $43 & $83)
#BTC 1W update
What a nice continuation to the upside!
Closed the weekly back above $64k as expected 😎
So far so good 👌
$AVAX 1W update
Wow, what a strong weekly candle! 🤩
+30% since I called it.
Great reaction 📈
$IMX 1W chart
$IMX held the orange Horizontal Support, printed a nice Falling Wedge
I think we’re in a macro parabolic advance. Soon $IMX will accelerate to the upside 📈
🎯 My macro targets remain: $8-10 & $15-19
$ARC looks pretty similar to $ONDO 🧐
Same algorithm: 3 peaks and then a sell-off 📉
Both projects are hot - $ONDO is #RWA and $ARC is #AI
Just like $ONDO, I think $ARC can break the ATH once the BTC Dominance starts dumping.
With the Reactor Mk. II upcoming release I doubt that the Aug 5 low on $ARC will be broken.
🎯 $ARC Distribution Zone: $0.32-0.77
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Let me tell you about two types of market leaders: Early Birds (🐦) & bull market MVPs (⭐️)
Here’s a great example from 2020-2021 — $LINK vs $SOL
#Bitcoin 2-Year Outlook
🐂 Bull Market Top - $95-100k
🐻 Bear Market Bottom - $23-25k
I think we’re completing Wave 4 right now, which means we’ll definitely break out of this chopsolidation and rally into the cycle top 📈
🎯 My target for Wave 5 is the confluence of 1.618 Fib & the Top of the Channel - $95-100k (December-March)
Once that target is reached, I will be waiting for Rejection and the first wave (A) of the Bear Market 📉
Temporary low should be in Summer 2025. Dead Cat Bounce (B) - September-December.
And the most painful wave - Wave C should take up the entire 2026. Target $23-25k 🎯
_
These are just my expectations. I try to be conservative here and not give you crazy $250-500k or $1M targets. This scenario may be invalidated if the macro economic picture changes dramatically and #BTC breaks out of this multi-year channel to the upside. In that case we can start talking about $170-200k #BTC
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#TOTAL3 update
No changes. Target $1T 🎯
Then we re-evaluate