A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 ноября 2024 19:45

Jobless claims came in lower for the third straight week in a row. Revisions are slightly holding us back as previous numbers keep getting revised higher. The overall trend is lower however, and seeing a steady in the jobs market could be what investors are looking for.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 ноября 2024 19:42

Stops trailed :)

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 ноября 2024 19:03

Here is bitcoin's COT vs retail positioning. We can see that retail is getting increasingly long while COT is dropping their positions. This could be telling us that this current wave of price swings could be retail-led. With the introduction of more options trading on BTC ETFs, institutions and retail traders alike could be flooding the market with interest.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 ноября 2024 17:14

Bitcoin to $100,000
The reason Bitcoin's price could come up to $100k by month end is not just because it's very close to target, but because there are opportunities for the crypto to fly to $110,000. Options on crypto ETFs have been launched by Black Rock to allow and encourage further speculation in the coin's price. This could lead to short term interest and take Bitcoin past expectations, become over extended, and possibly correct. In the short term, $110,000 might be the top, with support much lower at $80,000.
-Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

20 ноября 2024 21:33

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 ноября 2024 20:55

S&P 500
The market slid this morning on Russia-Ukraine tensions. Now price is back to break even on the day as we await NVDA’s earnings after the bell on Wednesday. Walmart beat earnings this morning which was good news for the countercyclical business and may suggest higher demand in consumer defensive stocks. However, we now have perhaps the biggest earnings play of the year at 4 pm EST tomorrow. This report will likely set the tone for all of tech, especially semis and AI companies. If we do see a beat in both EPS and revenue along with an upward guidance, we will likely get the green light on indices.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 ноября 2024 19:31

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 ноября 2024 19:24

BTCUSD Daily Chart

The crypto gods are favoring us this day.

Bitcoin just became my top performing trade this year...

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

18 ноября 2024 21:16

I'm watching several charts - but I wanted to share this screenshot.

I am finding it hard to find new entries at this time, because several of the top setups ideas are currently not fully agreeing with price action.

I would like to see a technical setup + fundamental setup, and currently don't see many setups that have confluence between the two.

Staying patient, but watching!

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

18 ноября 2024 19:22

For the first week in a while, there is a clear shift away from stocks last week. SPX is the top seller at -7.09%, and the rest of the indices were sold as well. Just about everything saw a negative net positional change except, AUD, ZAR, EUR, GBP and NIKKEI.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

18 ноября 2024 17:19

Gold Daily Chart:

I'm watching cautiously here... The post election selloff in gold seems to be trying to find a bounce at these levels.

However, we recently saw a similar attempt to bounce, that was met with a strong bearish move lower.

The US dollar's recent strength, due to a robust US economy, is a major headwind I see for gold at this time.

Unless inflation begins to cool again, and US economic data slows, I remain neutral / slightly bearish on this one.

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

18 ноября 2024 15:24

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

15 ноября 2024 20:29

NASDAQ Daily Chart:

Sharp reversal here today, drastically changing this week's stock market performance.

The selloff is led lower by the technology sector and specifically the semiconductor industry stocks.

Powell's commentary yesterday seems to be spooking stock investors, who may have been hopeful for a more dovish outlook / more rate cuts next year.

Overall, I remain bullish on indices, but taking profits for the week ahead of the weekend.

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

14 ноября 2024 19:57

A higher CPI reading was expected and became the outcome on Wednesday. As long as CPI can stay below 3%, there might not be any fears of rate hikes in the future. We still have December's number to suggest where the trend could be heading for 2025.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

14 ноября 2024 18:30

A drop is not the best word to describe pre-market activity today as the S&P is only down 0.10% after PPI numbers came out. The index is now only a +2 on the EdgeFinder after all the indices were up at the top of the list earlier this week and last week. When Powell speaks today, we will likely hear him remain cautious towards inflation and may anticipate growth in the economy and jobs going into the end of the year. If we do not hear any key hawkish words from him, the market may consolidate or move higher.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 ноября 2024 19:43

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 ноября 2024 19:39

Will BTC hit 100k this week?

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 ноября 2024 18:21

NASDAQ, SPX and DOW are mixed while RUSSELL and gold are getting bought. The crowd is also getting long USOil despite the amount of oil production happening in the US. This could be a short term trade to the upside as geopolitical tensions increase in Russia-Ukraine.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

20 ноября 2024 21:48

Gold is making another attempt at the highs after geopolitical tensions swell in Ukraine/Russia. This has not really affected Bitcoin's price, but it has startled the US markets. If the metal continues to climb, price could come up to the $2,680s and form a head and shoulders pattern on the 1D timeframe. Gold had a year notching better returns than the stock market, but upside seems more limited than other assets such as stocks, bitcoin, dollar (maybe). I would imagine that when tensions fall again, so will the price of gold.
-Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

20 ноября 2024 16:11

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 ноября 2024 19:32

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 ноября 2024 19:29

This trade was alerted to members from the beginning.

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

19 ноября 2024 19:16

Gold bounced for the second day after a harsh pullback to a strong trend line. The metal may have limited upside as demand for the dollar and stocks stays high. This short term swing could be another setup to the short side after price tested resistance above $2,615. Gold had a good technical bounce off a clear support level, but it might not be enough to bring prices back to all time highs. The EF ranks gold at a -4.
- Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

18 ноября 2024 20:12

There was another change of 0.4% retail sales growth last month indicating steady rises in consumer spending. This is a good sign because investors don't want to see a surprise increase in spending and at the same time, don't want to see a decline. The economy needs to stay healthy, but not rum rampant and cause another inflationary concern.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

18 ноября 2024 18:31

Gold caught a swing back to the upside this morning which could break the 6 day losing streak falling 8% off the highs. Price came down to a significant trend line on the 1D timeframe and is now up 1.79% today. This could be a good entry for buyers this week, but we will have to see if the metal can stay above the $2,600s level. This could be a short term swing from being oversold.

-Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

18 ноября 2024 17:16

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

17 ноября 2024 19:22

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

14 ноября 2024 21:47

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

14 ноября 2024 19:39

The dollar has seen an overall decline in bullish sentiment since September. Still, it continues to climb towards last year's highs in October. What we can interpret from dollar strength is that output, jobs and inflation could rise as a response to the change in presidency and risk-on appetite. Usually the dollar is a risk-off indicator, but it also rises on growth especially if it will hold more value than other major countries that are struggling economically.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

14 ноября 2024 17:49

Gold did end up falling after breaking key support around $2,600 and is now testing support in the mid $2,500s. The metal has now closed the gap from the September highs which was the first month the Fed cut rates in this cycle. Gold might have found a bottom here if investors find this a fair level for gold's value to be. Although upside doesn't seem very optimistic, it wouldn't make much sense to see price fall back to the June lows. Additional support around $2,480 which may be the last line of defense.

-Frank