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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

The US30 is a strong buy on the EdgeFinder now after yesterday's dovish Fed comments. At +7, the index is our strongest bullish score of the big three in the US. Blue chips are happy with yesterday's news since Powell remained optimistic on economic growth while not being worried about inflation.

This suggests that the central bank will not take any action to fight inflation other than keeping rates where they are. Another notable thing Powell mentioned yesterday was that rate cuts are still on the table this year, and we are still likely to expect what they have already forecasted.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

📈 Gold VIP signals flying high! Happy FOMC - Nick

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

Fed: "Interest rates remain unchanged"
Markets: 📈📉💣💥

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

I'm still hanging onto my gold position...

Waiting patiently for FOMC!

If price drops, I will take profits. If it runs higher - time to trail stops further!

let's see what we get... - Nick

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

If you answered "not at all" or "I understand a little", what can we help you with?

❓What fundamental concepts do you struggle with?

💬 Send a message to @emily_a1trading to let us know what concepts you struggle with so we can share relevant resources & content!

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

I'll be sitting on my hands tomorrow at 2PM EST. Hbu?

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

AUDJPY's interest rate score is now at -1 after Australia decides to keep their cash rate unchanged at 4.35% while the BOJ increased theirs to +0.10% which marks the first time Japan has been out of the negative interest rate territory in over a decade. The monetary policy shift could affect all currencies trading against the yen now as the BOJ is now in a tightening phase while the rest of the world is waiting to start rate cuts.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

Gold is down on the day but still holds itself above the previous all-time highs at $2,148. Although the dollar is strong, it appears that demand for gold hasn’t faded yet. If price can hold itself above support after FOMC, the uptrend may continue. It all depends on what the Fed is going to say tomorrow regarding economic strength, inflation and interest rate projections.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

CAD is down today after reporting cooler inflation numbers across the board. This made the UC pair more bullish on the news as the Bank of Canada may be more likely to cut rates before others. The dollar is stronger overall today as we approach tomorrow’s FOMC which will probably result in a more hawkish Fed after higher CPI in the US. -Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

CAD CPI y/y came in lower this morning to 2.8%. Expectations were above 3% which suggests that Canada is lowering inflation at a quicker rate than most countries. In the race to be the first to cut, Canada may take that place. This could be potentially dovish news for CAD if their central bank does decide to start easing again. -Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

"Great tool for fundamental analysis. It really helps me with my trading and i love the visual representation of the COT data."

Thanks for the review Monastirski! We're so happy to hear that the EdgeFinder has improved your fundamental analysis.
❤️ The A1 Trading Team

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

Japan released their rate statement today which remained unchanged for the quarter at -0.10%. Forecasts still have rates moving higher throughout 2024 however. Expectations go as high as 0.37% by the end of the year.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

NZDUSD ticked up one point today but is still in the bearish territory. Retail sentiment is now under 60% long, COT suggests dollar bullishness and kiwi bearishness, and the score flip from March 14 suggests further moves lower.

Investors might be gearing for a stronger dollar this week as the Fed may want to keep rates higher for a while. New Zealand also releases their GDP numbers on Wednesday which is expected to come in higher than last month.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

And don't forget Silver longs! - Nick

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

AUDUSD is the strongest bearish score on the EdgeFinder today at -7. Price has flipped further into bearish territory this morning as price tests support on a rising trendline on the 1D timeframe. After keeping rates unchanged in Australia, investors wait for the FOMC decision which will likely remain at 5.5% in the US. What people are looking for now are key phrases to see how concerned the Fed is about the recent rise in inflation and what they might do from here. If they deliver a hawkish tone, it might lead to lower prices for AU.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

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Unlock more powerful market data with the EdgeFinder! Use code TGVIP at checkout for 10% off the EdgeFinder!

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

BOJ’s surprise rate hike was actually bearish news for the yen as other currencies trading against it catch more demand. Despite the rate hike to take Japan out of negative interest territory for the first time since 2007, the yen still appears weak. This is likely due to Japan’s inflation rate reaching 2.2%. Falling inflation is good for a currency, but the economy will need to start picking up from here.
-Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

Watch out for CADJPY after today's CPI in Canada and BOJ's surprise rate hike. If Canada gives any indication of rate cuts in their next bank statement, we could be looking at a flip in monetary policy. Japan has just begun raising their interest rate.
-Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

It’s not personal, we promise. 😂

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

Cryptos are now the most bought assets in the retail crowd. They also seem to be majority dollar short, index short, and oil mixed.

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

Gold is still holding itself above support on the previous all time highs around $2,148. With today's candle showing rejection from the lows and a possible bullish hammer, the metal may be able to hold itself above support.

Although the dollar is rising today, gold is also up. After a meteoric run to new highs, the metal may be ready to take a break for a while before the FOMC. Traders are looking out for the potential weakness in gold's market if the Fed does not show any concerns around inflation. -Frank

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

USOil remains in the bullish camp according to EdgeFinder analysis. At +6, the commodity is back above a significant resistance level on the 1D timeframe. The score moved up 2 points today on retail sentiment leaning more towards neutrality and a higher trend reading.

What we will likely see from the Fed on Wednesday are unchanged interest rates as inflation may start to be more of a threat to monetary policy. This will likely either mean high rates for longer and a delay on the rate cuts. It seems pretty improbable for the Fed to hike at this time now.
-Frank

Data from the A1 EdgeFinder

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