A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

14 декабря 2023 16:33

Yesterday's FOMC meeting brought up the discussion of interest rate cuts from the Fed in 2024 sparking an immediate surge in demand for risk-on assets. The dollar fell harshly as a result while gold and indices rose. Talks of a 75 basis point cut at some point next year will likely happen, and some investors think it will happen earlier than we think. -Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

13 декабря 2023 21:56

Up $48,000 on S&P... Trying to stay cool. Trail stops & chill! - Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

13 декабря 2023 17:10

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

12 декабря 2023 21:25

The Dow still remains at a strong bullish score despite the higher core CPI number. Price is looking overextended to the upside which may spark a pullback in the index. However, investors still may brush off the slightly higher CPI number due to the overall downward decline in inflation numbers over the past year. Additionally, there is not much telling investors that the Fed will hike rates again as most believe the hikes are over. -Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

12 декабря 2023 19:28

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

12 декабря 2023 14:58

COT suggests heavy buying in the risk-on category assets. Seeing US30, GBP, AUD and NZD in the top four most bought shows that investors are not anticipating dollar strength. USOil and Platinum are the top sells from smart money as well suggesting that inflation is not going to run as rampant as feared. - Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

11 декабря 2023 21:31

Gold, daily chart
Price action looking bearish...

However - tomorrow is CPI, and could cause a reversal if inflation continues to cool.

Why?

That could suggest that the fed will start rate cuts sooner. Historically, a disinflationary period is bullish for gold!

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 ноября 2023 21:16

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 ноября 2023 16:54

GBPJPY is falling back onto support on the 1D timeframe and catching a slight bounce. The pair is now a bullish score on the EdgeFinder after flipping from a bearish score on November 14. There is additional support underneath this level around a rising trend line should price fall lower. This month is historically the most bullish month for GJ, but COT is showing bearish sentiment for the week. -Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 ноября 2023 14:55

Smart money decreased a good bit of their positions on indices in last week's report. This seems normal after a steep run to the upside on the stock market, but the bullish sentiment is likely not over. Metals saw an increase in short positions for the week indicating the same idea in the stock markets. EUR is the second-most bought asset on the weekly basis, and CAD was marginally more bullish. The positional bias chart shows the most bullish positioning on the EURCAD pair since June. -Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

20 ноября 2023 21:30

Officially out of drawdown 🙌🙏 - Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

20 ноября 2023 19:37

EURCAD is no longer a strong bullish reading on the EdgeFinder, but there is some potential for further upside. The economy, labor market, and interest rate scores are at a stalemate at 0. If we take a look at sentiment and seasonality, we'll see something different.

COT is buying up EUR, and retail is majority short this pair. Next, month is also expected to be a wild ride for the pair as it is historically the most bullish month of the year for the past 10 years. EUR PMI is expected to come in hotter than last month which would add to the bullishness of the euro and this pair.

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

20 ноября 2023 18:06

The SPX500 and US indices are no longer strong buys on the EdgeFinder due to the labor market score holding the overall score under +7. Right now, the index is at +4, seeing little activity on the COT side who have marginally increased long positions.

Retail is majority short the S&P which adds to the promising upside on the index. Price has broken above a strong resistance level and is now heading towards its next target around $4541. This highs from August are a long term target which is at the $4612 level. -Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

20 ноября 2023 12:44

Oof! You win some you lose some! 🙏🤷‍♂️
- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

17 ноября 2023 21:48

If UJ closes under this trend line on the 1D timeframe, it could indicate further lows on the pair. 149.24 is the current support level, but price needs to close in the 150.5s to keep a strong bullish bias. The 2 year yield is up 1.4% on the day suggesting that there could be some dollar strength to close out the week.
-Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

14 декабря 2023 14:46

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

13 декабря 2023 19:25

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

13 декабря 2023 15:22

In the wake of the Federal funds rate decision, Dow Jones and US indices are up premarket. Expectations of an unchanged interest rate are high, but the statement as always is going to be the most important factor in play for price action. Investors are anticipating rate cuts at some point, and hoping to hear about that this time around. However, it is unlikely Powell will mention that as a consideration right now. But investors will be listening for clues about future rate cuts next year. Although price is overextended, the index may be looking to retest the highs of January 2022 at $36,950s again. -Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

12 декабря 2023 20:08

What was once a strong bullish reading on the EdgeFinder is no longer after today’s CPI report came out. The benchmark came out lower, but Core and CPI m/m were higher than last month. The Fed keeps their eyes on Core to use as their main forecast for inflation. Seeing a higher number is concerning for risk-on investors as price of gold is now down 7.5% from the all time highs. The last volume spike on this asset was a heavy selling pressure likely from institutions, and it looks like price wants to come down to test support on a trend line on the 1D timeframe. -Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

12 декабря 2023 15:42

VIP Signal Update!

- We had a decent pop following CPI today, which showed continued cooling in inflation.
- Despite this, we have extended very far, and I am looking to trail more profit on this trade!
- This trade has been my biggest runner of the year, and while I'd hate to see it end - I think it is important to continue following the rules and exit on a key break of structure.

- Nick

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

11 декабря 2023 22:34

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

11 декабря 2023 21:27

Retail is strongly short bias on indices and mixed dollar. Gold is also mixed as well. The contrarian signal suggests that indices are going to see some more upside, however. -Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 ноября 2023 19:34

SPX500
The S&P has seen a decent amount of pullback on the 4H timeframe. Price has support around $4525 if the selloff continues lower. Retail earnings have caused some pullback in the markets, and investors have anticipation for the latest NVDA earnings after the bell today. The market is reacting extremely negative for the day.

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

21 ноября 2023 15:01

US PMI data suggests strength in the economy as purchasing managers hit 50 last month which means expansionary sentiment overall. Manufacturing PMI is expected to be 49.9 this Friday, however. and Services is expected to drop from 50.6 to 50.4.

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

20 ноября 2023 21:57

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

20 ноября 2023 19:41

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

20 ноября 2023 19:22

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

20 ноября 2023 17:33

GBPCAD is now a +7 on the EdgeFinder as we wait for CPI news in Canada tomorrow and PMI data in the UK on Thursday. The score flipped happened earlier this month as the bearish reading jumped from a -3 to a +2 in a matter of days.

COT and retail are in agreement for the latest positional reports which were short bias on the pound. Canada CPI is expected to come in higher on a month-to-month basis while GBP's is forecasted higher for the month. Lower PMI would suggest weakness in the pound, but higher CPI in Canada could act as a balance between the potential pound weakness. -Frank

A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

17 ноября 2023 22:52

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A1 TRADING | Forex & Futures

17 ноября 2023 18:59

Still long SPX500 and have a bullish bias. However, it's starting to look like we need a pullback before a continuation. The indices have hit significant resistance levels which leads me to believe it's time for some profit taking. Price is consolidating around the $4516 level with two 1D candles suggesting lower moves. Hopefully we do get a pullback to the $4420s so I can get back in the rally -Frank