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EURCHF saw a score flip from -2 to +2 on the EdgeFinder. This is helpful because price just bounced from a long term support level from September and October of last year. Price is coming up to resistance on the 1D timeframe around 0.95100s.
A break in this zone could lead price back up to the long term falling trend line. Thursday's decision is expected to be unchanged at 4.50%. The current policy is similar to the Fed's which is keeping rates higher for longer in hopes of compliance from inflation. -Frank
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Based on the votes, here is where we stand so far:
Most Interested to Least Interested
1. USD + Major crosses
2. GOLD
3. NASDAQ
4. DOW JONES
5. OIL
6. S&P500
7. BITCOIN/ETHEREUM
8. Individual stocks
Thank you guys for your feedback. Because of your votes, we will focus most on the top 3 in this list! (USD pairs, Gold, and Nasdaq)
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New Zealand is reporting their quarterly number on inflation tonight. It's a similar story to Canada as CPI is expected to drop. If this comes true, we may see some weakness from the kiwi. And vice versa for a higher CPI number.
If we do see a drop in CPI, price may go back under this strong supportive trend line on the 1D timeframe. And a beat in expectations could help price back up to the highs again. The trend line has served as strong support since April of this year.
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UJ on the 1W timeframe closes below last week's high. Signs of buyer exhaustion could be here as price could not seem to break higher. Yields, however, remain elevated above 5% which could be adding to dollar strength. COT showed wavering confidence in the dollar as well despite the hotter than expected inflation numbers, jobs and PMI
Читать полностью…USD (DXY) 1 Day chart
Price looks very close to trying to breakout higher, after stronger than expected PMI numbers this morning.
If price is able to break this downward short term trend, it could lead to a push back to previous highs.
- Nick
NAS100 1D Chart:
Coming into earnings today, I am still long. Stops below market structure lows.
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If you trade NASDAQ, DOW, S&P, or individual stocks, today may be the biggest day of earnings season.
After the bell, we have earnings from $MSFT & $GOOGL , both incredibly important in deciding the next move for stocks.
Full disclosure, I'm long $NASDAQ today. - Nick
EURUSD is no long a strong bearish reading on the EdgeFinder. From -12 to -3, it seems that the pair is about to undergo another score flip. Retail is mixed likely due to uncertainty around the Fed and dollar strength, but this week could change things for the pair.
Smart money, however, has sold the USD and kept a bullish bias on EUR. Seasonality still suggests lower moves in the month of November, so this will be something to consider. Seeing the score go from a negative to a positive score might be a sign that the downtrend for EU is over. -frank
EJ is a top bullish rating on our setups page. At +9, it is the strongest reading currently on the EdgeFinder. With a helpful confirmation from COT and retail, the pair looks decisively bullish for the week. EUR beats JPY in just about every category except GDP growth which was stronger in Japan this quarter.
It is a different story for Japan, however, due to the differences in monetary policy. The ECB's ultra restrictive rate path has taken a toll on the economy in hopes for a stronger euro. And investors are seeing that when paired with the yen.
NASDAQ, Daily chart
- It's megatech earnings week!
- AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, MSFT all reporting their earnings
- Longer term support
- Stops below lows...
Let's see how this goes. Willing to stop out for a small loss if necessary!
Heart this post if you'd like updates.
- Nick
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Still holding NASDAQ longs!
Note: the nasdaq is made up of powerhouse companies like Google, Apple, Miscrosoft, and Tesla.
All of these companies look strong to me, despite the elevated interest rates environment.
Why? Because they have more cash, and are less reliant on debt than other companies. They also are positioned for plenty of growth.
Support seems to be holding well. Stop loss has been tightened. Floating 2:1 RR on this signal so far.
- Nick
This Friday, the UK will announce their latest update on CPI. Canada's situation is much better as the score reflects a strong CAD lean. And if the numbers comes out lower than expected, it will likely further weaken the pair.
Fundamental factors like inflation and jobs are heavily pointing towards CAD strength which is doing better economically. The pair is -4 right now which isn't a strong bearish score. The pair has been in a down trend since July, but seasonality suggests higher moves for the remainder of the year.
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CADJPY is still a strong bullish reading on the EdgeFinder at +6. Although there isn't much of a bias from the smart money retail side, several other factors point to a higher price move for the month. Take seasonality for example for October; we are expecting one of the most bullish months of the year.
Fundamental factors also take precedent for the pair. Right now there is a strong reading towards CAD on inflation which is currently helping prop up the score. If CPI comes in as expected or lower, however, the pair will lose some of the bullish strength on the inflation reading.
SPX500 fell for the second day amid tensions in the Middle East. Price is near support around the $4310s and has been holding up so far. Earnings season is upon us once again and the banks have led the start. More volatility is expected in the new week. If price can hold above this level of support, it may use this bounce to retest the falling trend line above
Читать полностью…Gold is up against resistance on the 1D timeframe. Price broke a strong falling trend line and came up to test the 200 DMA. Conflicts in the Middle East have caused extraordinary volatility as the metal jumped over 3% in a day. COT reported to have another majority change to the short side on the metal for the second straight week.
Читать полностью…