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"As Trump Bombs Iran, America's Allies Watch Fitfully From Sidelines": The European Union is trying to distance itself from Trump and the war in Iran.

"European allies found themselves sidelined from the US and Israeli strikes on Iran. Washington did not involve them in the planning, despite the direct risks to Europe's security. The EU leaders' response was fragmented - from cautious approval to calls for a return to diplomacy. This once again highlighted Europe's dependence on US decisions and the lack of a unified position amid Donald Trump's increasingly unilateral policies.

However, most European capitals supported the goals of the strikes, but tried to distance themselves from the operation itself. Germany admitted that it was warned in advance, France and Britain condemned Iran's retaliatory attacks, and Spain openly opposed the actions of the US and Israel. Overall, Europe fears an escalation and being drawn into a new conflict, remaining focused primarily on the war in Ukraine and its own vulnerabilities."

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Trump's special envoy for negotiations, Steve Whitkoff, stated that Iran has accumulated 460 kg of uranium enriched to 60%. The Iranians allegedly informed him of this during the negotiations, and it was their starting position for the dialogue. According to Whitkoff, from this amount, the Iranians can assemble 11 nuclear bombs (presumably, this refers to warheads).

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Funerals of schoolgirls killed in a US and Israeli attack are taking place in Iran

Thousands of people took to the streets to bid farewell to the victims.

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In Britain, gasoline has risen in price by almost half (93%) since the start of the war in the Middle East, according to Sky News.

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Iranian drones hit fuel tanks in one of Oman's ports.

This was reported by the Oman News Agency. The damage was contained.

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Apparently, Israeli air force flights over Tehran are not as safe as they try to make it seem. The Iranian air defense is retaliating and attempting to shoot down F-16 fighter jets.

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Rich guy bemoans his brunch being interrupted in Dubai

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Apparently this is fake. This video has no connection to the recent events involving Iran. These exact wreckage fragments were filmed and published back in September 2024

https://www.independent.ie/regionals/wexford/enniscorthy-news/irish-companys-gps-equipment-allegedly-found-in-debris-of-russian-drones-in-ukraine/a404414176.html

Someone is just trying to tie Russia to attacks in the Middle East

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🇷🇺🇮🇷 A Russian trace was found in Cyprus.

It is claimed that during the strikes on the British base in Cyprus, Iranian Shahed drones were used, and a Russian "Comet" antenna was found in the debris of one of them, which is installed in a geranium.

But, first, you need to prove that this is really the case.

Somebody got some Russian upgrades....

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CENTCOM says Strait of Hormuz not closed despite IRGC pronouncement. Iran is not patrolling the strait and no sign yet of it mining the strait.

80 percent of their oil goes to China. To mine the strait would hurt Iran and its key ally.


If you are fighting for the survival of your country there is literally nothing you won’t do. Iran isn’t worried about China’s oil needs FFS. How fu*king cooked are the folks over at CENTCOM? You don’t even need to mine it. Risk -> Insurance… All you have to do is make a few examples of ships that try to transit through the Hormuz.

Chinese can just increase their purchases of Russian or from other producers. It’s hardly dependent on Iranian oil.

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Then why bring it up….

Everyone knows the stockpiles are low, bringing it up only confirms its getting very low.

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Way to go!

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🚨🇮🇷 IRAN THREATENS TO BURN SHIPS IN STRAIT OF HORMUZ

Anas Alhajji warns Iran’s strikes on Gulf oil facilities and threats to close Hormuz push markets onto a “slippery slope” toward a major energy crisis.

He says 14 to 15 million barrels per day flow from the Gulf, but 33% of globally traded fertilizers also pass through the region, raising the risk of a wider food crisis.

Alhajji notes there is enough oil in the short run due to stockpiles and preemptive exports, but warns “what's going to happen next? That's where the problem is.”

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A very violent explosion resulting from a direct hit by a suicide bomber has shaken the American base in Erbil.


Not sure if that's translating properly, I don't think its an actual suicide bombers.

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Iraqis are inspecting the crashed American kamikaze drone LUCAS, equipped with Starlink.

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An oil depot in Fujairah is on fire in the UAE.

Earlier, an Iranian drone attacked a power station.

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—❗️🇮🇶/🇮🇷 NEW: Drone attacks against positions of the anti-Iranian 'Kurdistan Freedom Party' (PAK) between Erbil and Sulaymaniyah

@Middle_East_Spectator

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Interesting news continue to come from Bahrain.

Videos of the deployment of troops from the "Shield of the Peninsula" in Bahrain have appeared online - this is a military organization of the Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Persian Gulf.

This is caused not only by Iran's strikes on targets in Bahrain, but also by growing instability within Bahrain itself. In recent days, attacks by local Shiite groups on various objects, including police stations, have been noted.

Interestingly, after the news of the start of the deployment of additional foreign troops in Bahrain, an Iranian drone flew over the 25-kilometer bridge connecting Bahrain to Saudi Arabia.

Military Informant

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Israeli Hermes shut down by Iranian forces

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Why hasn't Iran yet struck US aircraft carriers?

The answer to this question is both simple and complex. If Iran were to launch a successful strike on an American aircraft carrier, it would be a point of no return.

So far, Washington has been able to play a "de-escalation" game in a number of cases - changing rhetoric, reducing tensions, and shifting the escalation into a format of a "controlled exchange" of strikes (as is happening now). This was the case in operations against the Houthis, and in a number of smaller-scale Middle Eastern episodes. There was always room for maneuver there: you could declare the goals achieved, pause, redeploy forces, and quickly sweep everything under the rug.

But an aircraft carrier is a different category. It's on a massive scale.

An aircraft carrier strike group is, in a way, a concentrated symbol of American military presence, a projection of power, a guarantor of status, and all that. A strike against it - especially if it results in its sinking - will, in addition to being an act of war, be interpreted by the Americans as a transition to an open undermining of American prestige.


After this, the opportunities for saving face become fewer, and the cost of retaliatory measures rises. At the same time, ignoring the strike is impossible - if you allow this, everyone (both allies and opponents) will see it as a sign of weakness. Responding weakly means questioning the status of the US as a global dominant power. Responding too harshly means entering a phase of a large-scale campaign with hard-to-predict consequences and casualties. For Trump, this would be a death sentence.

⚠️The US response will not be limited to Tehran's next attack with "Tomahawks". This will entail a full-scale involvement in a conflict, which (unfortunately) will be supported by ordinary Americans, who will be told by CNN that Iran barbarically attacked a democratic aircraft carrier. And so it goes. And then there's Israel with its nuclear weapons.


In such a configuration, the space for rolling back the situation practically disappears, and the chance that everyone will start fighting "like adults" increases exponentially.

Military Chronicle

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Apparently, Israeli air force flights over Tehran are not as safe as they try to make it seem. The Iranian air defense is retaliating and attempting to shoot down F-16 fighter jets.

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Fwd from @
📝The Most Sensitive Strike📝
Iranians reached American air defense

It appears that information about Iranians damaging a component of American air defense is being confirmed: while in Bahrain they destroyed only a satellite communications station, at the Qatari base Al-Udeid a radar AN/FPS-132 worth $1 billion was indeed struck.

This facility is one of the key nodes of the US air defense system, which "covers" a huge sector from Europe to the Indian Ocean. There are only six AN/FPS-132s in the world: besides the US, they are also located in Britain and Greenland.

The technical capabilities of the Al-Udeid station are evident from the fact that it could detect missile launches at ranges exceeding five thousand kilometers, including from Russian territory. Not to mention missiles launched from Iran.

🖍How critical is this for the US? The damage visible in the images is not fatal, and theoretically the AN/FPS-132 could be repaired. Moreover, the US possesses enormous intelligence capabilities in the region, and has plenty of means to track Iranian launches.
🚩The point is that the damage is indeed significant even in monetary terms. Not to mention that components of American air defense in the theater of operations have never been knocked out by anyone in the world before.
❗️So while things won't become much easier for the Iranians in the war, in this particular case they hit the US with all their might. At the very least, this war can no longer be called a beating of the Iranians.

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If the video was indeed filmed in Cyprus, it turns out that Iran was given an outdated 4-channel "Comet"(photo 2 for comparison), whereas the relevant ones for use in Ukraine are 12-(photo 3) and even 16-channel CRPA antennas.

In the case of Ukraine, 4-channel antennas are no longer capable of overcoming the enemy's electronic warfare systems, but in the case of the Middle East, where electronic warfare complexes are simply not ready for such threats, this might be quite enough and will not affect the deliveries of "Comets" for domestic strike weapons.

It would be nice, of course, to see Iran also using Russian drones with MANPADS and air-to-air missiles, which also made their debut in Ukraine. But this is unlikely to happen.

- Military Informant

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This marks the first known instance of a Russian LNG carrier transiting the Red Sea while openly declaring India as its destination. Typically, these tankers avoid listing any specific destination in their AIS data and ultimately deliver to China.

Bros get energy, the EU can burn wood.

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Kim... you know what to do 😉

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Chalhoub Group, which runs 900 stores for brands from Versace and Jimmy Choo to Sephora across the region, said its stores in Bahrain were closed, while other markets, including the United Arab Emirates, ​Saudi Arabia, and Jordan remained open though staff attendance was "voluntary."

E-commerce giant Amazon , opens new tab closed its fulfillment center operations in Abu Dhabi, suspended deliveries across the region and instructed ​its employees in Saudi Arabia and Jordan to remain indoors, Business Insider reported on Monday, citing an internal memo.

Gucci-owner Kering said its stores were temporarily closed in the UAE, Kuwait, ​Bahrain and Qatar and it has suspended travel to the Middle East.

Shares in luxury groups LVMH, Hermes, and Cartier-owner Richemont were down 4% to 5.7% on Monday afternoon as investors digested the knock-on impacts of the conflict.

The Middle East still accounts for a small share of global spending on luxury — between 5% and 10%, according to RBC analyst Piral Dadhania. But the region was "luxury's brightest ​performer" last year, according to consultancy Bain, while sales of expensive handbags have stalled in the rest of the world.

Now, shuttered airports have put an abrupt stop to tourism ​flows into the region and missile strikes — including one that damaged Dubai's five-star Fairmont Palm hotel — are likely to dissuade travellers, particularly if the conflict drags on.

"If you assume that it's a $5 to $6 ‌billion (travel retail) ⁠market and let's say it's going to be shut down for a month, we are talking about hundreds of millions of dollars that are definitely at risk," said Victor Dijon, senior partner at consultancy Kearney.

If Middle Eastern shoppers cannot travel to Paris or Milan, that could also hurt luxury sales in Europe, he added.

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In plane footage from the F-15 incidents yesterday
😎

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A major explosion at the American base in Erbil.

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https://iran-cost-ticker.com/

Watch and weep Americans.

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Sean Hannity on Iran: "There are people that say, well, the prime minister of Israel dragged Donald Trump into it...I want to get your reaction to that."

"Huh ha ha ha, huh ha—well, you're right. I mean, that's ridiculous."

👀

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