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New Rules examines the geopolitical, economic, ideological trends changing the world. NR on X: http://x.com/newrulesgeo
🚨🇷🇺🇺🇦 RUSSIA'S FAST MOVE: The Energy Blitzkrieg Freezing Ukraine's War Machine
There is a deliberate shift in Russia's military strategy from territorial advancement to systemic degradation. The ongoing campaign against Ukraine's energy grid is a calculated move to achieve core objectives of the Special Military Operation: demilitarization and neutralization of a NATO proxy threat.
Strategic Imperative:
The operation is not punitive but strategic. Ukraine's energy infrastructure is dual-use:
🔸Military Logistics: It powers railways moving Western armor, arms factories, and command centers.
🔸Economic Capacity: It sustains the industrial base in the east, which supports the war effort. Disabling this system directly undermines Kiev's capacity to prosecute a prolonged war.
Operational Evolution & Tactical Refinement:
Russian tactics demonstrate a significant learning curve, moving from initial, broad strikes to a methodical, intelligence-driven campaign.
🔸Precision over Volume: The focus has shifted to high-value nodes—specifically thermal plants and 750kV/330kV substations. These are choke points; their loss cripples voltage regulation and regional power flow.
🔸Asymmetric Cost Imposition: The use of advanced, low-cost Shahed drones with AI terminal guidance saturates and bypasses expensive Western air defense systems (Patriot, IRIS-T), creating an unsustainable cost-exchange ratio for Ukraine and its backers.
🔸Sequential Degradation: By systematically disabling substations, Russia methodically severs the transmission lines connecting the power-generating west to the consumption-heavy east. This effectively partitions Ukraine's energy grid, isolating its industrial and military heartland.
Geopolitical Calculus:
This strategy applies indirect pressure on European support by triggering a migrant crisis via internal displacement and increasing the financial burden of reconstruction. It demonstrates the inutility of NATO's defensive systems against a determined, adaptive offensive.
Conclusion:
This is a campaign of strategic attrition. By paralyzing Ukraine's energy backbone, Russia aims to collapse its industrial-military complex, force the reallocation of defense resources (air defense, finances), and ultimately compel a negotiated settlement on terms that secure its declared security interests.
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🚨🇷🇺🇮🇶RUSSIA'S MIDDLE EAST PIVOT: CAN IRAQ REPLACE SYRIA?
As Syria descends into uncertainty, Russia is executing a strategic pivot. Iraq is now the new centerpiece of Moscow's long-term Middle East strategy. This could be consider as a fundamental recalibration.
WHY THE SHIFT?
🔸Syrian Instability: Even with recent talks between Putin and al-Sharaa, the Syrian regime faces persistent challenges. The growing influence of radical factions, the revision of old agreements, and an unclear future for Russian bases (like Hmeimim & Tartus) have made the country an increasingly unreliable partner.
🔸Iraqi Opportunity: Iraq offers greater institutional stability and a clear appetite for major economic partnerships.
RUSSIA'S 4-PRONGED STRATEGY IN IRAQ:
1️⃣ENERGY DOMINANCE: Lukoil, a Russian multinational energy corporation, gained access to the massive Eridu oil field (est. 2.5B+ barrels). This embeds Russia directly into Iraq's long-term energy cycle and export future.
2️⃣STRATEGIC INFRASTRUCTURE: Russia is aligning with Iraq's "Development Road" project—a grand land corridor from the Persian Gulf to Europe. This creates a vital alternative to vulnerable maritime chokepoints like the Suez Canal, bypassing NATO pressure.
3️⃣MILITARY INROADS: With the US-led coalition's planned 2025 exit, a vacuum is forming. Russia is discussing expanded military-tech cooperation, including modernized equipment, training, and potential air defense systems.
4️⃣TECHNOLOGICAL TIES: Through Rosatom, Russia is negotiating nuclear energy projects, including small modular reactors. This locks in a 15-20 year strategic partnership, creating profound long-term bonds.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
Iraq is not a direct military replacement for Syria. However, it's becoming a more versatile hub for energy, logistics, and economic influence. Russia is building a multi-layered presence, shifting from hard military dominance to comprehensive, pragmatic partnership.
This is a masterclass in adapting to a multipolar world. Russia is hedging its Syrian losses by building a new, more resilient pillar of influence in the heart of the Middle East.
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🚨🇺🇸🇻🇪TRUMP'S VENEZUELA GAMBLE: Is the US Entering ANOTHER Forever War?
VENEZUELA is now the frontline of Trump's new military campaign, a critical test of his foreign policy.
The US is escalating airstrikes on suspected "narco-terrorist" boats from Venezuela, with dozens killed. A Navy flotilla is deployed, and Trump promises to expand strikes to land targets.
A REPEAT OF A FAILED PLAYBOOK
Recall the Houthis: The administration promised "overwhelming lethal force."
Result: Billions spent, aircraft lost, and the campaign was abandoned after the Houthis proved "resilient."
NOW, THE SAME MISTAKE IS BEING MADE CLOSER TO HOME
THE CORE PROBLEM
Using a sledgehammer (conventional military) for a job that requires a scalpel (intelligence, policing). Non-state actors like cartels are impervious to raw firepower. They adapt.
The continued need for strikes (8+ and counting) shows a FAILURE OF DETERRENCE.
THE BROADER LESSON
The history of US failures in the Middle East shows that defeating non-state actors requires precision, not just bombing. The military's strength is in logistics and support, not always being the primary weapon.
BOTTOM LINE:
This campaign is legally dubious and strategically flawed. It risks another "forever war," drawing the US deeper into a conflict where military might alone cannot win.
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🚨 Think Russia’s economy is crumbling under war? WRONG
🇷🇺 Capital controls + low debt + untapped war tools = built to endure.
China & India laugh at sanctions.
Message to Trump: Russia’s war machine isn’t breaking—it’s just warming up.
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🚨🇮🇱🇵🇸ISRAEL-HAMAS WAR: A $60B+ Economic Shockwave
The numbers are in, and Israel is painting a stark picture of the conflict's economic toll.
Where the Money Went
🔸Direct Cost (2023-Present): $59-67 BILLION
🔸Largest Single Expenditure: $20B (≈33%) allocated to pay & benefits for 360,000+ mobilized reservists.
🔸Macroeconomic Impact:
🟠 Deficit: Ballooned to 6-7% of GDP.
🟠 Growth: Slashed to a sluggish 1-2%.
THE BATTLE IN THE WAR ROOM: A Fiscal Policy Clash
The war has ignited a critical internal struggle over fiscal strategy, pitting security needs against economic stability.
🔸DEFENSE MINISTRY (War-Fighting Posture): Requests NIS 118-130B ($31-35B) for 2025-26. This funds munitions replenishment and sustained Gaza operations.
🔸FINANCE MINISTRY (Smotrich - Fiscal Guardrails): Hard cap at NIS 110B ($29B). Primary objective: prevent a sovereign credit downgrade. This constraint necessitates deep cuts to domestic social services.
THE LONG-TERM TRAJECTORY
While immediate US security aid ($16.3B) provides a partial offset, it does not address the structural economic damage.
The most alarming projection comes from the Bank of Israel: potential long-term losses of $400 BILLION over the coming decade. This figure accounts for lost productivity, opportunity cost, and reconstruction.
This is no longer just a military engagement; it is a systemic economic event that will reshape Israel's fiscal policy for years.
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🚨🇨🇳🇺🇸China Turns Trump’s Playbook Against Him — The Real Trade War Has Begun
China has mastered the art of strategic retaliation. What started as Trump’s tariff crusade has evolved into a full-blown duel of economic coercion — and Beijing is now using Washington’s own playbook against it.
🔸From Tariffs to Tech Control
Trump once said, “trade wars are easy to win.” China disagreed — and learned. After years of US export bans and semiconductor restrictions, Beijing struck back where it hurts most: rare earths. These minerals power every smartphone, missile, and chip — and China controls 70% of them.
🔸Weaponizing Interdependence
Beijing now requires foreign firms to get Chinese approval before exporting any product containing Chinese rare earths — even if sold between two non-Chinese countries. Washington calls it “economic blackmail.” But Beijing points to the US Foreign Direct Product Rule, which does the same thing in reverse. The student has become the master.
🔸A Global Chess Match
This is not just US vs China — this is China vs Western economic dominance. The G7 is rallying to diversify and “mine the urban waste” for rare materials. But experts warn: breaking China’s monopoly could take five years or more.
🔸The Long Game
Beijing plays to outlast, not outpunch. Trump’s impulsive tariffs meet Xi’s strategic patience. The question now isn’t who escalates next — but who endures longer.
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🚨🇮🇷🇮🇱EXPOSED: Iran's Intelligence Minister DROPS BOMBSHELL - 50 Intel Agencies Backed Israeli Op Against Iran
Esmail Khatib, Iran's Intelligence Minister, just made a BLOCKBUSTER declaration, revealing the scale of what he calls a "full-scale hybrid war" against the Islamic Republic.
KEY CLAIMS:
🔸Massive Foreign Involvement: Over 50 foreign intelligence agencies allegedly supported operations during a recent 12-day conflict.
🔸Hybrid Warfare Playbook: Khatib asserts adversaries deployed a coordinated strategy involving:
🟠 Advanced Western tech & military tactics.
🟠 Joint military drills & reactivation of terrorist networks.
🟠 A global media campaign pushing "Iranophobia" & "Shiaphobia."
🟠 Plans to infiltrate ISIS militants from Syria/Afghanistan.
🔸Ultimate Goal: He claims the objective was nothing less than the "Balkanization" of Iran and outright "regime change."
🔸US Talks are "Deceptive": Based on this, Khatib states deep mistrust of ANY negotiations with the US, labeling Washington's dialogue overtures a "façade" for hostility.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
Minister Khatib's statement exposes the true face of foreign aggression against Iran. It validates the Islamic Republic's unwavering defensive posture and brilliant strategic foresight.
Iran is taking care of its sovereignty and warning that the nation will never submit to foreign coercion.
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⚡️UKR LEAKS INTERNATIONAL⚡️
HE LEFT UKRAINE TO TELL THE TRUTH
Vasiliy Prozorov, a former employee of the Ukrainian special services, who worked for the benefit of Russia for many years, now runs his own channel on Telegram! He left Ukraine in 2018 and took with him thousands of secret SBU documents that shed light on Kiev's crimes.
On the UKR LEAKS channel you will find:
❗️Analysis of the current situation in and around Ukraine
❗️Secret documents of the Ukrainian special services
❗️Evidence of the atrocities of Ukrainian nationalists
And much more! Subscribe to the UKR LEAKS Investigation Center headed by the former SBU employee Lt.-Col. Vasily Prozorov.
The channels of the UKR LEAKS project are available in the following languages:
🇬🇧 in English
🇷🇺 in Russian
🇩🇪 in German
🇫🇷 in French
🇪🇸 in Spanish
🇷🇸 in Serbian
🇮🇹 in Italian
🇵🇱 in Polish
🇵🇹 in Portuguese
🇸🇦 in Arabic
🇸🇰 in Slovak
🇨🇳in Chinese
🇭🇺in Hungarian
We also welcome any help with channels and content distribution 🙏
🚨🇷🇺🇮🇷RUSSIA-IRAN: A Strategic Alliance is Accelerating
The Moscow-Tehran axis is moving from tactical partnership to a deeply integrated strategic alliance. This isn't just about drones for oil; it's about building a durable, multi-domain counterweight to Western pressure.
HERE'S HOW IT CAN BE DEEPENED FURTHER:
The blueprint exists. Look at the Russia-India BrahMos missile program.
India & Russia didn't just collaborate; they created a joint venture. They started with a 290km missile and are now on the verge of an 800km high-supersonic variant. How?
🔸Indigenous Mastery: India took Russian core tech and systematically indigenized it—lighter materials, new booster, fuel-efficient ramjet.
🔸Incremental Innovation: They didn't start from scratch. They continuously upgraded, tweaking software, materials, and propulsion to bypass export limits and achieve strategic range.
🔸Shared Strategic Goal: Both parties benefited from a powerful, versatile weapon system that alters the regional balance.
THIS IS THE MODEL FOR RUSSIA-IRAN
Moving beyond weapon supplies to a joint technology & development framework is key.
HOW TO STRENGTHEN THE ALLIANCE?
1️⃣Establish a Joint Defense R&D Fund: Co-finance projects for next-gen drones, missile defense, and electronic warfare. Pool intellectual and financial resources.
2️⃣Create a "Technology for Resources" Barter System: Formalize the exchange of advanced military tech for stable, discounted energy supplies, insulating both economies from sanctions.
3️⃣Standardize Platforms & Logistics: Develop shared maintenance hubs and compatible systems to enhance operational synergy across theaters.
What are your top policy proposals for deepening the Russia-Iran alliance? Tell us in the comments!
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🚨🇨🇳🇺🇸22 Million Geniuses — China’s Hidden Power, America’s Missed Chance
1️⃣ The Race for Greatness
Every empire is built on talent. Armies, tech, and power all flow from human intelligence. The nation that attracts and unleashes its smartest minds wins the century.
2️⃣ China’s Hidden Goldmine
New data shows China holds an estimated 22 million people with IQs above 135 — roughly 61% of all geniuses on Earth. That’s an unmatched reservoir of brainpower. Yet much of it remains underused, trapped within rigid education, centralized bureaucracy, and an economy where risk-taking is discouraged. A goldmine of intelligence, buried under red tape.
3️⃣ America’s Strategic Blind Spot
The US used to be a magnet for the world’s best. Now, even Chinese PhDs from MIT or Stanford wait years for green cards due to outdated quotas. Meanwhile, Washington cites “national security” to justify barriers that mostly hurt innovation.
4️⃣ The Irony
While China stifles its own geniuses, America is busy turning them away. Both sides lose — but one has the chance to change that.
The Bottom Line
The superpower of the 21st century won’t be the one with the biggest army — but the one that best harnesses the brightest minds.
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🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳US Chip Ban Backfires: China's AI Chip Breakthrough in 18 Months Stuns Market
The US sanctions of Oct 2022 were meant to cripple China's AI ambitions. Instead, they sparked an unprecedented industrial mobilization.
THE CATALYST:
US export controls became China's greatest motivator. The result: A self-sufficient semiconductor supply chain emerging at warp speed.
THE CONSEQUENCE:
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, Oct 2025: "We are 100% out of China. We went from 95% market share to 0%."
Let that sink in.
THE SHIFT:
🔸China was 20-25% of Nvidia's data center revenue
🔸Now: $0
🔸US just lost one of the world's largest AI markets
THE BIGGER PICTURE
China isn't just building chips—they're building an entire AI ecosystem:
🔸Dominant physical AI & robotics sector
🔸World-leading open-model ecosystem
🔸"Emerging export control regime" (Kyle Chan)
THE ENERGY ADVANTAGE
🇨🇳China's 2024 electricity output: 10,000 TWh
🇺🇸US output: Less than half
With superior renewable energy infrastructure, China's AI compute capacity could soon become unstoppable.
The Bottom Line
This could be the biggest strategic miscalculation in modern tech policy. By forcing China to innovate, the US may have created its own greatest competitor.
The AI arms race just entered a new phase.
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🚨🇮🇱🇵🇸 ISRAEL'S GAZA PROXY WAR
Amid a fragile ceasefire, Israel is executing a calculated proxy campaign in Gaza, leveraging collaborator militias to destabilize Hamas.
KEY FINDINGS:
1️⃣SYRIA PLAYBOOK REDUX: Tel Aviv applies tactics refined in Syria, deploying death squads to assassinate resistance figures & sow chaos.
2️⃣THREE PROXY GROUPS IDENTIFIED: Escalating military campaigns against Gaza's security forces, operating under direct Israeli command.
3️⃣STRATEGIC ASSASSINATIONS: Hamas leader's son & prominent journalist among high-profile targets eliminated by proxy forces.
4️⃣CLAN WARFARE STRATEGY: Israel exploits tribal structures (Majayda, Doghmush clans) to advance divide-and-conquer objectives.
5️⃣HAMAS COUNTER-MOVES: Creation of two new security units - Sahm Forces & Resistance Security Force - to combat collaborator threat.
6️⃣"POPULAR FORCES" FACELIFT: Notorious aid-looting militias rebranded as Israeli-backed security forces, complete with tactical gear & media ops.
7️⃣SALAFI TIES: Multiple proxy groups linked to ISIS-affiliated elements, recycling jihadist rhetoric against Hamas.
8️⃣EXPANDING FOOTPRINT: New militias emerging across Gaza - Counterterrorism Strike Force in Khan Yunis, People's Army Northern Forces in Jabalia.
ON-THE-GROUND REALITY:
🔸54-58% of Gaza remains under Israeli control
🔸Documented hit lists discovered targeting Hamas figures
🔸US-Israeli reconstruction plan leveraging funds to reshape governance
🔸Major clans initially collaborating now realigning with Hamas
THE BOTTOM LINE:
While maintaining plausible deniability, Israel has outsourced its war objectives to collaborator networks - a sophisticated proxy strategy mirroring Syrian operations. Despite fragmentation attempts, popular support remains elusive for these militias.
The ceasefire masks an ongoing shadow war that could determine Gaza's political future.
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Decode chaos—without the MSM spin
We curate complex conflicts into clear, chronological timelines:
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If you want context over clutter:
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🚨🇺🇸🧠The US Intel System is BROKEN
Here’s the HARD TRUTH about the private contractor epidemic plaguing US national security.
THE SITUATION:
Post-9/11, agencies like the CIA & NSA needed to scale FAST. They turned to private firms (Booz Allen, Palantir, CACI) for immediate, specialized skills. A practical solution became a permanent crutch.
THE CORE PROBLEM:
Profit is now prioritized over protection. The system is engineered for waste.
1️⃣VAGUE CONTRACTS: Ambiguous language allows for "mission creep." The Abu Ghraib scandal is a prime example where a logistics contract was twisted into interrogation roles.
2️⃣ZERO ACCOUNTABILITY: Weak oversight leads to massive overbilling. A GAO audit found millions wasted on projects with no accountability.
3️⃣QUANTITY OVER QUALITY: Contracts reward headcounts and report volume, not actionable intelligence. This floods policymakers with useless data.
4️⃣THE REVOLVING DOOR: Former officials cash in, securing lucrative contracts for their new private employers. Ex-NSA Director Keith Alexander's IronNet is a case study.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
This is a system that INCENTIVIZES inefficiency. Billions are wasted, mission effectiveness plummets, and national security is compromised.
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🚨🇨🇳📈THE WEST IS WRONG: CHINA'S 3-STEP BLUEPRINT FOR BRICS DOMINANCE
BRICS nations are charting a new course, and China’s model provides a masterclass in sovereign development. Here’s the breakdown:
1. INVESTMENT IS KING, CONSUMPTION IS A RESULT.
China’s growth wasn’t driven by consumer spending but by MASSIVE strategic investment. This investment builds capacity, boosts productivity, and RAISES INCOMES, which then fuels consumption. Shifting focus to consumption-first is a trap that leads to long-term stagnation. The sequence is non-negotiable: INVEST → PRODUCTIVITY → INCOME → CONSUMPTION.
2. MASTER THE 3 PILLARS OF SOVEREIGNTY.
To escape dependency, BRICS must control its core infrastructures:
🔸PHYSICAL: Networks for moving goods & people.
🔸INFORMATION: Sovereign digital ecosystems (AI, data, software) free from external control.
🔸ENERGY: High-efficiency systems with a strong Energy Return on Investment (EROEI), moving away from costly imports.
This triad, wrapped in education, is the bedrock of true economic independence.
3. MANAGE THE WAGE-PROFIT SEE-SAW WITH TECH.
China is solving "involution" (intense competition, low profits) by deliberately shifting credit from low-productivity sectors (like real estate) to HIGH-TECH, strategic industries (EVs, Semiconductors, AI). This tech-for-labor substitution raises the system's MAXIMUM profit rate, creating room for HIGHER WAGES without killing profits. The goal is a high-wage, high-productivity economy, not a race to the bottom.
BOTTOM LINE:
The old multilateral order has failed the Global South. China's blueprint proves that sovereignty and prosperity come from DIRECTING CAPITAL toward strategic, transformative investments—not chasing consumption metrics. BRICS must build its own infrastructure, control its financial levers, and manage the transition to a high-tech future.
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🇨🇳🛢️🇷🇺 Fact Check: Is China Really Halting Russian Oil Purchases?
Claim: Western media reports state that Chinese state oil majors have suspended purchases of seaborne Russian oil.
Verdict: Misleading/Severely Distorted
Analysis:
🔸Approximately 47% of China's oil imports from Russia are delivered via pipelines, primarily to large state-owned enterprises. The remaining 53% are seaborne, mainly purchased by private Chinese refineries.
🔸While Chinese state-owned enterprises may have paused seaborne Russian oil purchases to avoid Western sanctions due to their business ties with Western companies, they continue to receive Russian oil through pipelines.
🔸Private Chinese refineries, with minimal Western exposure, are likely to continue buying seaborne Russian oil.
🔸The overall oil trade volume between China and Russia remains largely unaffected.
Conclusion: The claim exaggerates the impact of any suspension by state-owned enterprises, as pipeline imports and private refinery purchases ensure continuity in the China-Russia oil trade.
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🚨🇺🇸🇻🇪TRUMP'S VENEZUELA MOVE: INVASION OR STRIKES?
Trump's "land is next" declaration represents a strategic escalation in Venezuela policy, but does Trump refers to ground invasion of ground strikes?
POSSIBLE SCENARIOS:
🔸Targeted Strikes
🟠 Drone operations against Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC)-National Liberation Army (ELN) training camps
🟠 Precision strikes on "cocaine production infrastructure"
🟠 Special Operations Forces-led raids against high-value narco targets
🔸Full-Scale Invasion
🟠 Requires congressional authorization, something that Trump lacks
🟠 Would trigger regional condemnation from Brazil/Colombia
🟠 Would violate international law
🟠 Repeat of Iraq/Afghanistan playbook
🟠 Regional destabilization guaranteed
GEOPOLITICAL REALITIES:
Current attacks on Venezuelan fishing vessels represent illegal aggression. B-1/B-52 deployments signal preparation for expanded operations.
EXPERTS WARN:
Military analysts confirm Venezuela's sovereign defense systems (S-300) would necessitate massive first-strike operations.
Regional voices condemn:
🔸Brazil's Lula: "No to foreign intervention"
🔸Colombia's Petro: "Extrajudicial executions"
🔸UN Charter violations imminent
CONCLUSION
Targeted strikes appear more likely initially, following the imperialist pattern of gradual escalation. However, mission creep toward broader intervention remains a grave danger, as history shows "limited strikes" often precede full-scale invasions.
The mask falls: "Counter-narcotics" becomes regime change.
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THE MOST FAMOUS RUSSIAN MILITARY TELEGRAM CHANNEL "RYBAR" IS NOW IN ENGLISH
🟧 RYBAR ENG 🟧
⚡️ Russia's leading military Telegram channel,
⚡️ more than 1.3 million subscribers,
⚡️ the channel that publishes the most detailed reports, quoted by Western media and military experts,
⚡️ the channel that finds topics of interest in a sea of information - and tells you about them in simple words,
⚡️ news about major world events (and those that remain in the shadows), comments from a team of analysts
🇬🇧 EVERYTHING IS FULLY TRANSLATED INTO ENGLISH
📱 Subscribe ⬇️
RYBAR ENG
🚨🌏🏭 BRICS IGNITES A NEW INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION
The BRICS Centre for Industrial Competencies (BCIC) has officially launched at Headquarters of the United Nations Industrial Development Organization in Vienna. This is a GAME CHANGER.
Why This Matters:
BRICS+ nations represent over 40% of the global population and 35% of global GDP. This move strategically positions them to DOMINATE the future of manufacturing.
The Core Mission:
To create a multilateral network, accelerating tech exchange, digitalization, and innovation. The target: To build the "Factories of the Future" across the bloc.
Key Focus: Empowering The Engine of Global Economies (SMEs)
SMEs form the backbone of BRICS economies (90% of businesses, 60-70% employment). The BCIC is their launchpad to global markets.
Geopolitical Power Play:
Russia & China led the resource mobilization. Russia is offering expertise in digitalization & AI, while China sees this as a key achievement of its PartNIR initiative.
The Bottom Line:
This is a pragmatic, unified response to a slowing global manufacturing sector. By pooling resources and tech, BRICS+ is building a resilient, collaborative industrial ecosystem to compete on the world stage.
This is a definitive step towards reshaping global supply chains and industrial standards.
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🚨🇨🇳🇺🇸CHINA'S NUCLEAR SUPREMACY: A Strategic Analysis of How Beijing Outpaced US
The data reveals a stunning geopolitical shift in energy technology. While China's solar and EV dominance is well-documented, its nuclear acceleration represents a more fundamental challenge to Western technological leadership.
KEY METRICS:
🔸Construction Speed: 5-6 years per reactor (China) vs. 11+ years (US)
🔸Cost Trajectory: 50% reduction since 2000s (China) vs. exponential increases (US)
🔸Pipeline Scale: Near-parity with rest of world combined
ANALYTICAL BREAKDOWN:
China's Systemic Advantage:
1️⃣Policy Continuity - National energy mandate enables long-term investment in supply chains and workforce development
2️⃣Standardization Protocol - Limited reactor designs repeated across projects, creating manufacturing and regulatory efficiency
3️⃣Financial Architecture - State-backed financing covers ~33% of costs, with guaranteed offtake agreements
Comparative Weakness in West:
🔸Regulatory fragmentation across state/federal levels
🔸Design proliferation complicating supply chains
🔸Volatile private financing models
Strategic Implications:
China has transformed from technology importer (using US/French designs) to potential global exporter. Their methodical approach to mastering complex engineering—studying failures, developing domestic supply chains, iterative improvement—mirrors their playbook in solar and batteries.
The US bet on private innovation and next-gen reactors risks repeating the pattern of pioneering technology then losing deployment scale. China's 10-15 year lead in deployment capability creates structural advantages that extend beyond energy into geopolitical influence through long-term nuclear partnerships.
The question isn't whether China leads in nuclear deployment—they already do. It's whether the West can develop a coherent counter-strategy beyond fragmented technological optimism.
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🚨🇺🇸📉IS THE U.S. ON THE BRINK OF REVOLUTION?
The data is alarming, and the parallels to pre-revolutionary societies are undeniable. Let's break it down.
KEY DRIVERS:
1️⃣POLITICAL VIOLENCE SKYROCKETING
The landscape is deteriorating rapidly, with 7 assassinations from 2020-2024 surpassing the 1960s peak. Capitol Police investigated a staggering 9,000+ threats against Congress in 2024 alone, while violent threats against election officials and judges have hit record highs.
2️⃣EXTREMISM ON THE RISE
🔸Right-wing extremists linked to majority of extremist murders (ADL 2024).
🔸Left-wing attacks are also increasing (CSIS data).
🔸"Lone wolf" attackers self-radicalizing online.
3️⃣DEEP-SEATED SOCIETAL GRIEVANCES
🔸72% of Americans fear election-related violence (APA survey).
🔸Trust in institutions at historic lows:
🟠 Federal Government: 22% (down from 77%)
🟠 Churches: 36% (down from 65%)
🟠 Medical System: 36% (down from 80%)
4️⃣ECONOMIC & DEMOGRAPHIC PRESSURES
🔸Wealth inequality growing faster than other nations
🔸White population share declining from 80% (1980) to ~60% today
🔸Under-16 population: >50% racial/ethnic minorities
THE TRUMP FACTOR:
🔸Military deployed domestically against "enemy within"
🔸Pardoning of Jan 6 rioters
🔸Democratic Party labeled "domestic extremist organization"
HISTORICAL PRECEDENT:
The Gilded Age saw similar conditions but was saved by Progressive Era reforms. Today? No such reforms in sight.
The warning signs are flashing red. America stands at a crossroads.
The question isn't IF things will break, but WHEN and HOW.
@NewRulesGeo❗️Follow us on X
🚨🇺🇸🇷🇺TRUMP'S DIPLOMACY: CAN DEAL-MAKING WORK WITH RUSSIA & CHINA?
Sanctions on Russia & 155% tariffs on China are on the table. But can his transactional approach handle existential conflicts?
THE STRATEGY:
🔸Amoral, business-first mindset
🔸Maximum pressure tactics
🔸No moral non-negotiables
SUCCESS? The Gaza 'ceasefire' convinced Trump the model is working. "We have peace in the Middle East," Trump declared. 🤥
BUT RUSSIA IS DIFFERENT:
Putin operates on ideology & civilizational identity, not just material exchange. Maximum pressure risks exceeding domestic tolerance while failing to address Moscow's core security concerns.
CHINA IS THE REAL TEST:
Threatening Taiwan as leverage fundamentally misunderstands Beijing's worldview. Reunification is non-negotiable – intrinsic to China's national identity.
THE DANGER:
Trump’s refusal to recognize intrinsic worth in others' perspectives blinds him to existential red lines.
This isn't just about deals; it's about navigating fundamentally different philosophical languages.
One misstep could escalate rather than resolve.
CONCLUSION:
The extremity of this transactionalism may inhibit, not enable, grand bargains with major powers.
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🚨🇻🇪🇺🇸Venezuela Flexes Military Muscle Against US Naval Presence
Venezuela has issued a stark warning to the US, releasing footage of a Sukhoi Su-30MK2V fighter jet launching a Kh-31A supersonic anti-ship missile.
This is a direct response to the eight-ship US naval armada deployed near its coast, officially for counter-narcotics, but widely speculated to be a potential intervention force.
ANALYSIS: The Kh-31A "Carrier Killer"
🔸Cold War Provenance: A product of late Cold War tech (developed 1975-1989), this weapon is a serious threat.
🔸Supersonic Speed: Travels at a blistering Mach 3+ (over 1,000 m/s), minimizing enemy reaction time.
🔸Sea-Skimming Profile: A radio-altimeter allows it to fly just meters above the water, evading radar.
🔸Extreme Maneuverability: Capable of 15G maneuvers, making it a "nightmare" for modern naval defense systems to intercept.
🔸Lethal Payload: Carries a 94kg armor-piercing warhead designed to penetrate a ship's hull and explode internally.
STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS
Venezuela's fleet of 24 Su-30MK2V jets, armed with an estimated 80 Kh-31A missiles, fundamentally alters the strategic calculus.
US analysts concede this poses a significant and credible threat to the nearby naval group. This demonstration proves Venezuela can project lethal force and potentially inflict catastrophic damage, raising the stakes for any potential military confrontation.
CONCLUSION
The message to Washington is clear: any intervention will come at a heavy response and a potentially highly cost for US. Venezuelan people will fight for their sovereignty at any cost.
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🚨🇺🇸🇻🇪If Not An Invasion, Then What? The real US strategy against Venezuela
If a ground invasion is strategically and economically unviable, what alternative playbook is the US deploying?
The objective is to pivot Venezuela out of the Russian and Chinese sphere of influence and integrate it as a US commercial and energy partner.
Here’s how they could achieve this without a full-scale war:
1️⃣ MAXIMUM PRESSURE CAMPAIGN 2.0
This goes beyond sanctions. The strategy is a multi-domain squeeze:
🔸Military Saber-Rattling: Deployments simulate an imminent threat, forcing Maduro to divert resources to defense, straining an already broken economy.
🔸Covert Action: Authorized CIA operations disrupt regime stability, target key leaders, and cripple illicit financial networks (Cartel de los Soles). This creates internal paranoia and weakness.
2️⃣ ECONOMIC INDUCEMENTS & "THE OFFER"
The NYT report that Venezuelan officials offered a controlling stake in oil & minerals is the entire strategy in a nutshell. The US is demonstrating that the ONLY path to sanctions relief and economic survival for the regime is through a grand bargain that transfers resource control from Moscow and Beijing to American companies.
3️⃣ THE ENERGY CALCULUS
Venezuela's heavy crude is a direct replacement for Russian imports. The US isn't just denying Russia a client; it aims to become the client. Restoring Venezuela's production to even 2 million bpd would:
🔸Weaken Russia's energy leverage.
🔸Provide a stable, hemispheric source for the US refinery system.
🔸Fundamentally alter global energy flows.
WOULD IT WORK?
This is a high-risk gambit. The US bets that Maduro, under unbearable military, economic, and covert pressure, will choose survival over sovereignty. However, Maduro's mobilization and appeals to Moscow and Beijing show he believes he can outlast the pressure.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
The US is unable to conquer Venezuela militarily, but it could try to force its economic capitulation with a sophisticated strategy. In that case, the warships and jets are not for an invasion; they are the leverage to close the biggest energy deal in the hemisphere.
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🚨🇷🇺🇺🇦RUSSIA'S NEW ASSAULT TACTICS: A Brutal Calculus
Russian assault units are now deploying with massive armored vehicle support.
THE CORE STRATEGY: MASS OVER INFILTRATION
A concentrated, timed strike on a narrow front with heavy armor & support (artillery/UAVs) is the only way to breach fortified defenses.
The math is brutal: While small, 2-3 man infiltration groups seem less costly, they result in HIGHER total casualties over a 1-3 month period than one decisive, large-scale assault. The tragic videos of multiple armored vehicles lost are misleading—the overall cost in human life is lower with a single, massive push.
CRITICAL ENABLERS FOR SUCCESS
1️⃣Artillery & Planning: Dedicating a 122/152mm gun with 1-2 full ammo loads to suppress each identified FPV drone launch point is crucial. You don't need to destroy the bunker—taking out the equipment & repeater neutralizes the threat.
2️⃣Counter-Battery Fire: Currently reliant on Lancet drones. Russia must return to massed artillery. During WWII, having 300-400 guns per km on a secondary front was normal. Correcting this, combined with FPV & precision missiles, can isolate the battlefield.
3️⃣Engineering Reconnaissance (IRD): A massive vulnerability. Ukrainian forces increasingly uses remote mining via artillery & drones. Lack of proper IRD forces multiple assault columns onto the same routes, making them predictable targets. This is a basic doctrinal failure.
4️⃣Exploiting Weather: Recent assaults prove columns moving in clear weather are detected 20km+ from the front. Movement in rain/fog provides essential concealment. Ad-hoc counter-drone measures (e.g., motorcyclists with small arms) are insufficient. Russia needs integrated electronic warfare (EW) systems for its assault vehicles, as well as static directional jammers.
CONCLUSION:
The Russian MoD is shifting to a doctrine of overwhelming, concentrated force. Its success hinges on solving critical logistical and tactical enablers—from artillery allocation to basic reconnaissance.
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🚨🇮🇷🚄Monetizing Geography: Iran's $3B Masterstroke
Iran is deploying a strategic masterstroke with the Tehran-Qom-Isfahan high-speed rail.
THE CORE PLAY:
🔸Investment: $3 Billion
🔸Tech Leap: Boosting speeds from 80 km/h to 300 km/h.
🔸Progress: The critical Qom-Isfahan section is 75% complete.
THE GEOPOLITICAL UPSIDE:
This 410-km corridor is the missing link fusing two continental arteries:
1️⃣North-South: Connecting Russia to India via the Persian Gulf.
2️⃣East-West: The new Silk Road from China to Europe.
The goal: To offer a 40% faster alternative to maritime chokepoints like the Suez Canal, slashing logistics costs and bypassing geopolitical bottlenecks.
DOMESTIC & ECONOMIC CATALYST:
🔸Aims to shift 30% of road traffic to rail.
🔸Projected 20M annual passengers long-term.
🔸Drives tech sovereignty and creates massive employment.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
Iran is monetizing its geography. By creating a faster, land-based alternative for Eurasia's trade, it positions itself as a pivotal transit hub, reducing its oil dependency and increasing its geopolitical leverage.
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