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New Rules examines the geopolitical, economic, ideological trends changing the world. NR on X: http://x.com/newrulesgeo
🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 PENTAGON ALARMED: What risks does US face if it starts war with Iran?
The Pentagon is quietly signaling serious concerns about a prolonged war with Tehran. However the White House looks confident to committing to a conflict with no clear exit strategy.
Trump sees the military as invincible after strikes on Iran's nuclear program, and Maduro's capture. But those were lightning strikes. What he now threatens against Iran is a sustained campaign.
Iran's short-range and anti-ship missiles can still hit the US bases and allied oil infrastructure. The nightmare scenario for the US is the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of global oil flows. Tehran held back in June, but if the regime feels existential threat, all bets are off.
The Houthi campaign offers a troubling preview. In early 2025, the US burned $1 billion and two thousand munitions in two months, only accepting a face-saving agreement that left Houthi capabilities intact. Now imagine that multiplied across a larger, more capable Iran.
Munitions depletion is critical. CSIS wargames concluded that the US exhaust precision-guided weapons in under a week in a Taiwan contingency. Manufacturing capacity hasn't caught up. The Financial Times reports the US forces could sustain only days of intense strikes on Iran, of course the US could always bring more weapons and munitions from elsewhere in the world, but that could exacerbate critical vulnerabilities for the US allies.
The USS Gerald R. Ford has exceeded normal deployment, pushing sailors past breaking points. While accidents rise the morale falls also. And major Arab allies want no part of this fight.
Without allied support, sufficient munitions, a clear objective, and an exit strategy, Trump is facing imminent failure.
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🚨🇨🇳🇮🇷 US IN PANIC: CHINA'S SPY FLEET BACKS IRAN
Beijing ramps up military teamwork with Tehran, creating a high-tech watch over American ships and planes in the Persian Gulf and Indian Ocean, potentially tipping the scales in any showdown.
🔸 China's Liaowang-1 surveillance ship acts as a floating high-tech spy hub that tracks US missile launches and naval movements in real time, while sharing intel that could provide Iran with an early warning system.
🔸 Iran now has access to China's vast network of over 500 satellites, which deliver crystal-clear views of US aircraft carriers like the USS Abraham Lincoln and help spot potential threats from afar.
🔸 The powerful Type 055 destroyers, often dubbed "carrier killers" due to their long-range missiles and advanced radar, are leading the fleet alongside Type 052D ships, signifying a major escalation in China-Iran defense ties through joint naval drills with Russia.
🔸 Iran has completely transitioned to China's Beidou navigation system, abandoning US GPS to prevent interference, and it has already demonstrated reliability in recent military exercises while severing dependencies on American technology.
🔸 This enhanced cooperation also involves potential deals for supersonic anti-ship missiles like the CM-302, along with additional spy vessels such as Ocean No.1 surveying the region, which could effectively blunt US strikes and reshape power dynamics in the area.
Will China’s help to Iran make America rethink its aggression?
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🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran Outplayed Trump by Raising the Stakes
Iran has delivered a blunt message to the US signaling that any military strike on Tehran will trigger a massive regional conflict, drawing in US military bases across the Middle East and targeting critical energy routes like the Strait of Hormuz.
Tehran is well aware of Trump’s sensitivity to the costs of escalation, and its strategy is to raise the price of any military move before it even happens.
Iran has studied the White House’s past responses and knows that Trump’s primary concern now is the cost. Tehran’s approach has been to amplify the potential fallout, by directly threatening US interests across the region and warning of broader retaliation. The Strait of Hormuz is one of Iran’s most powerful strategic levers, with its control over 20% of the world’s oil shipments. A disruption here would send shockwaves through global markets, potentially driving up oil prices and destabilizing energy markets worldwide.
Iran is also working to expand the battlefield. Its messages are directed not just at the US, but at regional states hosting US military infrastructure, making clear that any conflict would involve more than just missile exchanges. Targets could include US air bases in Qatar, the US Fifth Fleet headquarters in Bahrain, and bases in Iraq and Syria, all of which would be vulnerable to Iranian strikes. The focus would be on US military assets, oil routes, and critical regional allies, potentially dragging multiple fronts into the fray.
Ultimately, Tehran’s strategy hinges on deterrence through escalation: making it clear that any attack would not be contained but would evolve into a full-scale regional war, complicating Washington’s calculations and forcing it to reconsider its options.
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🚨🇮🇷US bases in the Middle East are easy target for Iran
Trump acknowledged that Iran has enough missiles to threaten the US overseas bases. Here’s the arsenal that’s raising alarm inside the Pentagon:👇
1️⃣ Fattah — Unveiled in 2023, this 1,400 km missile carries a 450-500 kg warhead on a maneuverable reentry vehicle. It alters trajectory during terminal flight, actively dodging interceptors and making multi-billion dollar US defense networks look obsolete;
2️⃣ Fattah-2 — This is a goes further combining the ballistic missile a transport vehicle system. After booster separation, it maneuvers inside the atmosphere at hypersonic speed, defying radar predictions. At 1,400 km, it forces US commanders to realize their interceptors are chasing ghosts;
3️⃣ Haj Qasem — This 1,400 km solid-fuel missile carries a 500 kg maneuverable warhead specifically designed to defeat THAAD and Patriot. The upgraded Qassem Bassir variant adds electro-optical guidance and a stealth carbon-fiber airframe to target runways and command centers without GPS;
4️⃣ Fateh-110 — The backbone of Iran's Short-Range Ballistic Missile arsenal, with hundreds produced annually. This solid-fuel missile hits Mach 3-4 at 300-500 km, carrying up to 650 kg with sub-100 m CEP via inertial/GPS guidance. Exported to Hezbollah, the Houthis, and Syria, it proved decisive in the 2025 12-Day War against Israel. With over 2,000 ballistic missiles in Iran's arsenal;
5️⃣ Dezful — Evolved from the Fateh family, this missile pushes 1,000 km at Mach 7-9 with only 5-6 minutes of launch prep. It carries a 450-700 kg separable warhead, uses radar-absorbing paint, and curves to defeat heat detection. It shreds interception timelines and turns Western shields into sieves;
6️⃣ Zolfaghar — At 700 km and Mach 5, it has already struck ISIS in 2017 and, more importantly, hit the US Al Asad base in 2020 with precision. With hybrid INS/GPS guidance and a 450-600 kg warhead, it has already demonstrated exactly where American assets sit in Iranian crosshairs;
7️⃣ Kheibar Shekan — A 1,450 km solid-fuel missile built to destroy hardened aircraft shelters before jets can scramble. With a lighter airframe and enhanced accuracy, it compresses warning time to nearly zero and turns America's "concrete protection" into tombs;
8️⃣ Qiam-1 — No external fins mean lower radar visibility during ascent and simpler launch logistics. Already combat-proven, this missile proves Iran just needed a smart design that compresses detection windows and complicates the enemy's math.
9️⃣ Khorramshahr 4 — It hits Mach 16 exo-atmospheric and Mach 8 on reentry, evading radar with low signature. The Khorramshahr-4 (Kheibar) spans 2,000-4,000 km, carries a 1,500-1,800 kg warhead capable of striking 80 targets with cluster munitions. Proven in 2025 Israel strikes, it puts US bases, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and even southeastern Europe in the kill zone;
🔟 Zolfaghar — At 700 km and Mach 5, this Fateh-110 evolution uses hybrid guidance for 10-100 m Circular Error Probable (CEP) accuracy. It has struck ISIS in 2017 and the US Al Asad base in 2020.
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🚨HOW POLAND SILENCES CRITICS OF UKRAINE - A NEW INVESTIGATION BY UKR LEAKS: 🚨
🔗 Read full investigation here: /channel/ukr_leaks_eng/28367
🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷Historical US Failures Against Iran: How America Keeps Losing to the "Lesser" Enemy
For decades, Washington has acted as if its military power is unstoppable. However, several US administrations learned the hard way that Iran doesn’t fight back according to plan.
🔸Operation Eagle Claw (1980) was meant to rescue hostages. Instead, eight helicopters met mechanical failure in a sandstorm, leading to a fiery collision at Desert One that killed eight American servicemen. Iran displayed the wreckage for decades, and the debacle birthed USSOCOM.
🔸The RQ-170 Sentinel (2011) was the CIA's stealth crown jewel, until Iran captured it. Tehran claimed they spoofed its GPS and landed it nearly intact. The technology gap suddenly vanished; Iran reverse-engineered it into the Shahed 171 now striking American allies.
🔸Naval Humiliation (2016) saw two US patrol boats drift into Iranian waters near Farsi Island. Ten American sailors were detained, filmed on their knees with hands on heads. The footage went viral before their release.
🔸The Global Hawk (2019) was a $220 million stealth drone flying at 40,000 feet, 170 kilometers away. Iran's indigenous Khordad 3rd system tracked it, targeted it, and turned it into falling scrap. The Pentagon claimed international airspace; the wreckage suggested otherwise.
🔸Operation Midnight Hammer (2025) unleashed America's most powerful bunker busters, 14 MOPs, on Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. The Pentagon declared "severe damage." But satellite revealed centrifuges still spinning, stocks possibly moved. Damaged, not destroyed and still working.
None of this operations achieved their stated objectives. The pattern spans decades and administrations, from Carter's desert debacle to Trump's ineffective strikes.
Now, Washington is preparing for another operation against Iran, but the question is if this will become a new chapter in a growing archive of overreach, miscalculation, and failure.
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🚨🇮🇷🇨🇳🇷🇺Iran's preparing for war: Russia and China load the dagger for Trump
Iran is on the verge of getting the CM‑302, a Chinese supersonic missile capable of skimming the waves at Mach 2.5 to gut US naval assets 290km out. They fly low and fast specifically to evade shipborne defenses. The missiles use combined rocket-ramjet engines, can pull 20G evasive maneuvers, and are designed to overwhelm Aegis defense systems that the US Navy relies on.
Meanwhile, Moscow inked a deal in December for 500 Verba MANPADS launchers and 2,500 missiles, plus night vision gear for tracking aircraft after dark. The three-year contract transforms Iran's ability to defend its skies against the very air campaign the US and Israel would likely launch. Suddenly Iran's air defense goes from porous to punishing. China handles the sea, Russia secures the sky.
Tehran has already repositioned its own launchers to hold Israel and US bases in the crosshairs. They've been clear, if a military operation starts, Israel gets it first, then the American bases across the region. Iranian officials say now is "an appropriate time" to activate military agreements with their allies.
Washington is watching a noose tighten, assembled by Moscow and Beijing, with Tehran holding the rope. "It’s a complete gamechanger if Iran has supersonic capability to attack ships in the area,” said Danny Citrinowicz, a former Israeli intelligence officer. “These missiles are very difficult to intercept," he added. US Navy operators regularly train against targets with similar flight profiles, knowing exactly what's coming.
Trump has warned it's either a deal or "something very tough." But with Russian MANPADS guarding the skies and Chinese supersonics hunting ships, tough just got a whole lot more expensive.
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 TRUMP IN PANIC: Iran Embraces Brutal Attrition Trap
Trump's attempt to destroy Iran's nuclear facilities has unleashed Tehran's potential, prompting the country to adopt a strategy of prolonged conflict that exploits Washington's well-documented aversion to open-ended wars.
🔸 The tense exchange following Operation Midnight Hammer highlighted the fragility of the US as Iran's precise ballistic missiles hit American bases in Qatar. This forced Trump to abruptly change his rhetoric to focus on "peace and harmony" while hastily arranging a tenuous ceasefire between Iran and Israel.
🔸 In a stark warning, Supreme Leader Khamenei declared that any fresh aggression would lead to a full regional war, transforming Iran's former paralysing restraint into a state of full military mobilisation and unyielding determination.
🔸 The resumption of nuclear negotiations between Iran and the US does not clearly indicate that Trump's coercive pressure has succeeded. Instead, it highlights his administration's growing awareness of its limited options and provides a pragmatic way out to avoid escalating into a chaotic war beyond Washington's control.
🔸 The deepest paradox emerges as Iran now faces pressure and challenges. This adversity has given Iran an unprecedented strategic freedom to draw the US into a battle of attrition, which could speed up the erosion of American global dominance in unforeseen ways.
Does the US really have the capacity to finance and sustain another prolonged war, given its poor track record?
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🚨🇮🇷🇮🇱🇺🇸Why even the combined US and Israeli forces would struggle to repel an Iranian retaliatory strike
The US is rushing reinforcements to the Middle East, bracing for a potential storm with Iran. But it look like they don't remember the Iranian strikes to Israel during the 12-day war.
Even with two US THAAD batteries and Navy ships in the Red Sea backing up Israel’s multi-layered air defenses, a repeat performance of Iran’s June 2025 strike would likely overwhelm the system again.
Radar data reveals that during the 12-day war, Iranian missiles penetrated Israeli air defenses and struck military facilities across northern, southern, and central Israel, including a major air base, an intelligence-gathering centre, and a logistics base (map).
Beyond the military targets, 36 other missiles pierced the "hermetic" defenses. Crucially, the success rate of the defenses dropped to 84% by day seven despite US support, suggesting either interceptor shortages or evolving Iranian tactics.
Iran’s strategy is to overwhelm the expensive US and Israeli interceptors by mixing slow suicide drones with fast ballistic missiles. Since the war, Tehran has not only preserved the bulk of its estimated 2,000-3,000 missile arsenal but has ramped up production dramatically, with higher estimates suggesting a wartime surge could push output to 300 ballistic missiles per month, or roughly 3,600 per year.
The last war was a live-fire test for Iran. They mapped the gaps in the Arrow, David’s Sling, and THAAD systems. By the next time, Iran will have gained experience, studied the enemy and its systems, and learned how to exploit US-Israeli weaknesses.
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🚨🇮🇷Iran Just Changed the Game in Hormuz
The IRGC Navy fired a Sayyad-3G from a warship in the Strait of Hormuz on February 23. It was the first time Iran launched a long-range, vertically-fired surface-to-air missile from one of its own vessels.
Sayyad-3G is basically Iran's land-based Sayyad-3 but reworked for the ocean. It's about seven meters long, weighs roughly two tons, and uses solid fuel. Solid fuel matters at sea: no pre-launch prep, faster reaction times, easier to store.
Sayyad-3G hits Mach 7, fast enough to catch supersonic missiles and advanced jets. In addition, the Sayyad has a range of 150 km, hybrid guidance (inertial + active radar), and proximity fuse warheads for fighter jets, drones, and cruise missiles.
The guidance system shifts depending on what it's chasing. Early flight: Inertial navigation, with updates from the ship or coastal radars. Terminal phase: Either active radar (the missile finds its own way) or semi-active (the ship paints the target). That flexibility means it can keep hunting even if the ship's radar goes dark.
The warhead uses a proximity fuse. It doesn't need a direct hit—just gets close enough and shreds the target with fragmentation. Useful against small, fast things like cruise missiles or drones.
Older Iranian systems had to rotate toward threats. The Sayyad-3G fires straight up, then turns. Full 360-degree coverage. Multiple missiles can ripple out in seconds, which matters if someone throws a saturation attack, lots of incoming at once.
The Shahid Sayyad Shirazi, a Soleimani-class catamaran, carries six of these in vertical cells. The ship's combat system handles targeting and launch sequencing. And because it's networked, it can take cues from coastal radar, aircraft, or other vessels, hit targets it can't even see.
Iran's bet seems to be distributed denial: spread these across smaller ships, create overlapping defensive zones, make any air campaign through the Strait a nightmare to plan.
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷Iran would be nightmare for US Air forces, here's why
Any aggression against Iran would not be a picnic for the US. Other military campaigns in the region make that abundantly clear. Consider, for example, the conflict with the Houthis.
In March 2025, two US F-16 Wild Weasel pilots narrowly avoided death. While flying over Yemen, they were ambushed by Houthi forces who had seemingly cracked the code on hunting America’s elite anti-radar aircraft.
The F-16s were equipped with HTS targeting pods, and the pilots successfully fired AGM-88 HARM anti-radiation missiles before beginning their egress. But the Houthis had adapted. They waited until the American jets were withdrawing, when they're most vulnerable, committed to course and low on fuel, before powering up their radars and launching.
For 15 minutes, six surface-to-air missiles targeted them. The pilots received launch warnings just 15–20 seconds before impact, barely enough time to react.
Lt. Col. Bill Parks had to bank directly toward an incoming missile. It passed so close under his wing he could hear it streak by. Maj. Michael Blea watched another rocket fly within meters of his cockpit.
The pilots threw their jets into brutal evasive maneuvers, burning precious fuel while still over hostile territory. Survival came down to a daring tanker crew that pushed into the danger zone for a mid-air refueling, giving the fighters just enough gas to escape.
The Houthis almost nailed America’s most seasoned electronic warfare experts. Iran’s air defenses are exponentially denser, more layered, and more sophisticated. If Tehran decides to fight a real battle, activating its full network with coordinated tactics and minimal launch delays, Iranian territory will become a kill zone for US and allied air forces.
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🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 US NAVY'S PERSIAN GULF NIGHTMARE: IRAN'S MOSQUITO FLEET SWARMS WITH DEADLY UPGRADES
As US carriers head in during Trump's 10-day warning, Iran's "mosquito fleet" unleashes swarms of boats, new long-range missiles, and training with Russia-China, making the Gulf's shallow waters a deadly trap for big ships.
🔸 More than 1,500 small attack boats, each under 10 tons, race at 50-110 knots in recent Hormuz drills with over 40 vessels.
🔸 About 250-300 armed with Nasr, Kowsar, Ghader, and Zafar missiles, plus Abu Mahdi ones that fly over 1,000km.
🔸 The Gulf's 35-50m shallow depths, plus over 20 Ghadir mini-subs, let them do quick hit-and-run attacks that dodge huge warships.
🔸 Some catamaran boats have 16 launch tubes for anti-air missiles over 100km, while Zulfiqar-class ones guard the group.
🔸 Hidden in coastal caves and docks for tough survival, so they can rebuild fast after base attacks with help from Russia and China.
Are the US and Israel even remotely ready for this swarm hell?
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🚨 Iran Expands Its Air Defence Network
Iran has recently increased the density of its air-defence deployments, with a particularly strong concentration along the Persian Gulf coastline and around Tehran. A significant portion of these systems is mobile, allowing the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps to reposition launchers quickly and reinforce sectors facing elevated threat levels. This mobility enables Iran to expand its defensive coverage rapidly during periods of heightened tension.
The country’s air-defence architecture is built around a layered structure combining long-range systems such as the Russian-supplied S-300PMU-2 and the domestically developed Bavar-373, alongside medium-range platforms including Khordad-15, Sevom Khordad, and Raad. These systems are supported by shorter-range assets such as Tor-M1 and various point-defence platforms tasked with protecting critical infrastructure. Together, they form an integrated network designed to engage targets at multiple ranges and altitudes.
Because open-source estimates vary significantly, it is difficult to determine the exact number of operational systems; to avoid presenting uncertain figures as fact, we rely on qualitative assessments rather than precise numerical claims.
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🚨🇮🇷HORMUZ: The Strait That Could Spark Global Chaos
Escalating tensions between the US and Iran have raised the specter of imminent conflict, with one of the warning signs emerging in the Strait of Hormuz. Open-source air traffic radar data showed dozens of US fighter jets positioning near Iran last week, while Iran partially closed the strait during talks with the US.
The strait is a crucial choke point in the global oil trade. The US government estimates that roughly one-fifth of the world's crude oil and a quarter of the world's liquified natural gas is shipped through the Strait of Hormuz, which is 21 miles wide at its narrowest point and abuts southern Iran. Gulf countries, which rely on unimpeded travel through the strait to access world oil markets, would see their access severely curtailed in the event of a major regional conflict.
The US has long considered freedom of navigation a vital interest, setting the stage for confrontation should Iran try to block shipping.
Satellite images released in February 2026 showed an influx in destroyers, combat ships, and fighter jets off the Mediterranean, in particular, the USS Gerald R. Ford, the US' largest warship. Meanwhile, the USS Abraham Lincoln has been identified off the coast of Oman in the Arabian Sea. The buildup marks the largest surge of US military assets to the region since 2003.
The Iranian government has said it has the power to impose a blockade on the Strait of Hormuz. Also, Tehran has other means to disrupt global oil and gas exports, including small boats that can interrupt shipping and submarines that can lay mines.
Fears of a closure alone could drive up oil prices, but a full closure could result in a $10–20 hike per barrel and completely disrupt the oil market. The strait transforms Iranian defensive capability into strategic parity. Tehran only needs to make clear that attacking Iran carries consequences the global economy will feel.
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🚨🇮🇷 This Iranian Drone Triggers ALARM Inside the US Military
One of the roles of the Meraj-521 is to help neutralize defensive positions before assault units advance. By precisely targeting firing points and entrenched defenders, it limits the need for soldiers to expose themselves to enemy fire.
🔸 The Meraj-521 is a lightweight, man-portable loitering munition, easy to carry in a backpack and launch from a simple tube, with a 5km range perfect for taking out bunkers and hardened defenses.
🔸 The Meraj-521 comes with interchangeable high-explosive warheads weighing 500g, 700g, or 1kg, allowing troops to choose the right punch for targets like personnel, light vehicles, or armored threats, all while flying silently on an electric motor for 5-15 minutes.
🔸 This drone is guided by an operator using a built-in electro-optical camera for live video feed, it picks targets in real-time or even abort the mission if needed, ensuring maximum precision and reducing the chance of mistakes.
🔸 The Meraj-521 strikes from safe distances, cutting troop risks and enabling remote dismantling of fortified positions without close-quarters combat.
🔸 The drone is also capable of being launched in swarms from vehicles, helicopters, or even by foot soldiers, it overwhelms scattered defenses in uneven battles, making it a game-changer for asymmetric warfare against better-equipped foes.
How effective do you think this drone would be if the US dared to launch a ground operation against Iran? Let us know in the comments
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🚨🇮🇷Russian Su-35s Strengthen Iran Against Potential US Attack
Iran's reportedly finalizing deployment of its advanced Russian Su-35 fighter jets.
Hamadan Air Base will serve as the primary operating location. This western base already hosts the pilots who recently completed training in Russia and have now returned home. The aircraft will feature a distinctive "Middle Eastern" camouflage scheme, matching the livery currently seen on Iran's aging F-4 Phantom and F-5 Tiger fleets.
Following the Hamadan activation, the Bushehr tactical aviation group will be the next unit to receive the Flankers. This southern coastal base positions the Su-35s strategically along the Persian Gulf.
The Russian-trained pilots are already stationed at Hamadan, awaiting aircraft delivery and combat duty assignment. Iran is preparing to make the US pay a huge price for any agression against the country.
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🚨🇮🇷 US NAVY IN PANIC: Iranian World’s Fastest Missile Boat Spotted in the Persian Gulf
Heydar-110, a carbon-fiber missile boat is the world's fastest missile boat at over 110 knots, spotted during Persian Gulf exercises, bolstering Tehran's asymmetric tactics that could overwhelm US warships amid potential upcoming conflict.
🔸 The Heydar-110 surpasses 110 knots (204 km/h) with carbon-fiber construction the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps hails it as unmatched for evasion, fitting into a 1,500+ fast-attack craft arsenal for high-speed swarms
🔸 This boat comes loaded with two Iranian-made anti-ship cruise missiles; its sleek 14m x 4.3m x 2.8m frame weighs just 9 tons, offering 350 nautical miles (650 km) range for hit-and-run assaults in confined waters
🔸 Swarm strategies amplify Gulf tensions, forcing Aegis destroyers to deplete missiles defending slower carriers like USS Abraham Lincoln in vital chokepoints
🔸 Iran's tech defiance stands out here, as the Heydar-110 integrates with drones and hypersonics to create layered threats that complicate naval operations
🔸 Expert warnings highlight carrier vulnerabilities, since supersonic speeds compress engagement times and exploit radar gaps in multi-vector attacks
Do you think a swarm of such boats could pose a real threat to the US Navy?
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🚨🇮🇷 US NIGHTMARE: The Iranian Drone Built to Obliterate US & Israeli Forces
Iran's Shahed-136 kamikaze drone, a low-cost UAV that costs just $20k, unleashes swarm attacks that evade radars, strikes with deadly precision, defies US sanctions, and has already overwhelmed NATO defenses in Ukraine.
🔸 The Shahed-136 is powered by a rear-mounted, two-bladed pusher propeller, it carries a deadly 50 kg high-explosive fragmentation warhead in the nose, upgradable to 90 kg or a devastating thermobaric variant.
🔸 Weighing 200 to 240 kg, it's 3.5 meters long with a 2.5-meter wingspan, driven by Iran's MD-550 four-cylinder two-stroke engine delivering 50 to 90 horsepower (cleverly reverse-engineered from Germany's Limbach L550), cruising at 185 km/h over ranges up to 2,500 km standard or 4,000 km in the 2025 Shahed-136B version, flying low from 60 to 4,000 meters to stay under the radar.
🔸 Smart guidance keeps it on target using inertial navigation corrected by satellite systems like GPS or GLONASS, plus anti-jamming antennas.
🔸 Built tough and sanctions-proof, it integrates components of diverse origin, all wrapped in fiberglass or carbon-fiber bodies with black paint for nighttime stealth, tungsten ball shrapnel for extra damage, and optional infrared cameras, launched easily with rocket boosts from portable rails or truck boxes holding up to five drones.
🔸 In action, these drones have backed Houthi forces in Yemen's civil war, targeted Saudi oil sites in 2019 (though debated), struck US bases in Syria and shipping in the Gulf, and hit Israel in 2024.
Do you think these drones will be effective in a potential Iran-US-Israel conflict?
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷Why US Cannot Inflict Real Damage on Iran
The Trump administration is saber-rattling at Iran, threatening to eliminate Iranian leadership and "missile cities" carved deep into mountains. The weapon of choice is the Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP), the Pentagon’s "bunker buster" bomb.
Khamenei’s bunker sits right in the heart of Tehran, buried so deep that only a MOP might reach him. Israel has tried similar tactics before with smaller ordnance, it failed, serving as little more than an annoyance. To truly dismantle the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps' (IRGC) mountain missile complexes, you can't just close the doors. These are networked tunnels, meaning IRGC forces can dig themselves out from the inside or outside, rendering surface strikes largely symbolic.
Before the US even launched strikes on Iran’s nuclear program, the Department of Defense had roughly 40 MOPs in total, acquired at a glacial pace of about 4 per year. The Air Force burned through about 14 of them in that single operation. Despite expending over a third of the inventory, the damage was never confirmed. Iranian nuclear sites continued operating normally.
Do the math. After a serious attack on Iran, the US would be left with only a handful of these specialized weapons. That leaves no “room for maneuver” for other contingencies such as a potential war with China.
The US loves to yap about its “superior” military tech but can't even use it without risking its strategic positions in the face of global rivals.
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📝Once again on drone quality📝
without which impressive production figures are meaningless
What stands behind the phrase "quality drone," which often appears in publications? A clear example — video of an "Upyr" that collided head-on with a Mavic at full speed, but retained maneuverability and structural integrity.
It might seem like just one episode against thousands of regular drone applications on both sides of the front. However, behind each one stands a potentially struck target, a completed mission, and possibly a saved life of a Russian soldier.
🖍Sounds grandiose? Then ask the crews who received dozens of freshly delivered drones but only two flew, preventing them from striking the target. Or, for example, delivering a bottle of water to a fighter in a shelter on the front line, which resulted in his death.
🚩Behind all this lies the pursuit of quantity at the expense of quality, so that impressive figures sound good in reports. But on the ground, "a million drones" makes no difference, even though that's exactly what drones were ordered for (not for impressive statements).
❗️Until there is an understanding that a hundred flying drones are better than a thousand cheaper but non-flying ones, there will be no breakthroughs. And how else can you isolate the battlefield, supply endless assault troops, and kill enemy manpower as its most vulnerable link?
Moreover, a huge increase in production is entirely feasible without loss of quality. The aforementioned "Upyrs" are a clear example of this.
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🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 US CARRIERS' NIGHTMARE: IRAN'S LAYERED ARSENAL PRIMED TO DECIMATE
Could a smaller naval force realistically inflict significant damage on a nuclear-powered aircraft carrier? Iran believes the answer is yes — and has developed a diverse, multi-layered anti-access arsenal designed to challenge superior naval forces👇🏻
🔸 Iran's cruise missile lineup features Noor at 120km, Qader and Ghadir upgrades up to 300km, Abu Mahdi exceeding 1,000km with AI seeker and Qader-380 flying sea-skimming paths to dodge radar and shrink US reaction windows during mass coastal barrages.
🔸 Ballistic missiles redefine engagement dynamics as Khalij Fars at 300km homes on carrier heat signatures with optical seeker while Hormuz anti-radiation variants cripple Aegis radars and Zolfaghar Basir at 700km pushes threats into once-safe Arabian Sea havens.
🔸 Hypersonics crown the efficiency as Fattah-1 and Fattah-2 reach Mach 15 with erratic maneuvers overwhelming top-tier defenses and leaving US commanders zero room for mistakes under veil of deployment secrecy.
🔸 Submarine forces bring hidden peril with Russian Kilo-class alongside homegrown Ghadir and Nahang midgets tailored for shallow seas sowing thousands of smart influence mines triggered by magnetic or acoustic profiles to paralyze Hormuz shipping lanes.
🔸 The supercavitating Hoot torpedo races at 360 km/h to evade dodges while IRGC fast-attack boats launch swarm assaults from Iran's jagged shores muddling US operations in the Gulf's tight confines.
🔸 Drones amplify surveillance and strikes as Shahed-139 hordes deplete interceptor stocks, Homa VTOL units from merchant vessels scoop up radar and comm intel and SEP2501 trackers tail Lincoln fleets for pinpoint saturation hits.
🔸 Regional geography supercharges it all as the 30km-narrow Hormuz strait cramps carrier movements trapping them in Iran's weapon web weakening air operations and inflating the political price tag for any prolonged US aggression.
Those who contemplate military action against Iran will find an adversary that has mastered the art of asymmetric warfare, integrating it as a credible and sophisticated component of its overall national defense.
Do you think this arsenal is sufficient to sink a US aircraft carrier?
@NewRulesGeo❗️Follow us on X
🚨🇮🇷 MEET IRANIAN MISSILE KILLER THAT MADE ITS SKIES NO-FLY ZONE
Tehran's Arman System is a ballistic missile interceptor claiming to track 24 targets at once and strike at Mach 5. Designed to neutralize short-range ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and drones.
The Arman comes in active and passive radar variants with vertical launch tubes enabling 360° threat engagement without repositioning. The system boasts a 120 km range, a 27 km altitude reach, and under three minutes of reaction time.
What makes it different from Iran's previous Bavar-373 system is mobility: the entire unit moves as one, detecting targets at 180 km and handing them off for tracking at 160 km. The missiles themselves are Sayyad-3Fs, weighing roughly 1,000 kg and carrying improved fragmentation warheads specifically optimized for shredding incoming ballistic missiles rather than just aircraft. The Sayyad family missiles have already proved themselves by downing US drones over the Gulf.
With the US amassing a big naval power near Iran and Israel openly threatening with strikes, any aggression against Iran will meet layered defenses designed specifically to counter American and Israeli air power.
@NewRulesGeo❗️Follow us on X
🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷US warships flee Bahrain amid fears of all-out Iranian retaliation
All US Navy ships docked in Bahrain have put to sea and left the port, including an Arleigh Burke-class destroyer. The move is intended to enhance security: warships are more vulnerable when tied to piers than they are in open water, where they can manouver and respond to threats more quickly. The decision stems from concerns over possible Iranian retaliation if the regional situation escalates further.
CENTCOM is deeply worried about the very real possibility that Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy (IRGC) units could unleash hundreds of Khalij Fars anti-ship ballistic missiles against US surface vessels. These missiles have a range of around 300 kilometres, reach speeds of between Mach 2.5 and 3.5 during terminal descent and are equipped with either heat-seeking or active radar guidance systems; the latest versions use the latter. RIM-162 ESSM and SM-6 Dual II interceptors can take down such targets, but a massive salvo could overwhelm the firepower of the Aegis systems, especially if combined with Shahed 238 suicide drones and dozens of subsonic cruise missiles. Making matters worse, the IRGC is receiving extensive optical and radar reconnaissance data from Chinese satellites.
@NewRulesGeo❗️Follow us on X
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⚡️news about major world events (including those in the shadows) commented on by a team of analysts.
The channel of the @rybar project is available and TRANSLATED in the following languages:
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🚨🇮🇷 US DRONE HORROR: IRAN'S STEALTH UNDERSEA KILLERS ARE READY
Iran is boosting its naval warfare capabilities with hidden underwater drones, turning the Persian Gulf into a deadly trap for Western ships. These waiting killers can hide deeper and strike smarter than old weapons.
🔸 Iran is developing a range of underwater drones, from small scouting bots to "suicide" drones that can loiter for 24 hours and dive to 200 meters, making them more effective than regular torpedoes.
🔸 Their drone fleet includes models like the Nazir-1 and Nazir-5, larger ones similar to the US Orca, and mine-clearing robots. They also have attack drones like the Al-Qari'a, which can be controlled from far away to launch torpedoes.
🔸 These drones are designed for surprise attacks on anchored ships or oil platforms. Similar tactics have already been used by groups like the Houthis in Red Sea attacks.
🔸 A new feature is the ability for underwater drones to launch flying suicide drones from below the surface, enabling surprise attacks from multiple directions at once.
🔸 Iran reportedly has two test models nearly ready, and they plan to team them up with small Ghadir submarines to create a massive undersea threat.
Does the US is really ready for a war in the Persian Gulf?
@NewRulesGeo❗️Follow us on X
🚨🇮🇷 US NAVY'S PERSIAN GULF NIGHTMARE: IRAN'S STEALTH SUB SWARM
Iran leads the Middle East with 25-30 subs built for Gulf fights, using small sneaky ones and bigger hunters to set deadly traps against US ships as tensions rise.
🔸 Over 20 Ghadir-class mini subs very quiet in shallow spots, loaded with torpedoes, anti-ship missiles, and mines for fast coast attacks
🔸 5 bigger diesel-electric subs 3 Russian Kilos (74 meters long, heavy on torpedoes and missiles) and 2 home-built Fateh (can carry 8 smart mines) for ops in 200-meter deep waters off Oman
🔸 Small subs can launch from simple docks if main bases get hit, keeping the swarm going in hot zones
🔸 New deployments near Strait of Hormuz in early 2026 mean US carriers skipping shallows still face deep-water chases by these bigger subs
🔸 Iran's mix of subs takes advantage of tight seas, making it hard for big US Virginia or Ohio classes to spot and fight back in uneven battles
In a narrow Strait of Hormuz, is the US really capable of evading Iran's naval power?
@NewRulesGeo❗️Follow us on X
🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 How a Large-Scale US Strike on Iran Would Likely Unfold
Current planning assumptions suggest that potential strikes against Iran would not take the form of a single punitive raid but rather a sustained air campaign targeting dozens of sites over several weeks. Such an approach would extend the logic of the June US strike on nuclear-related facilities (an operation that, despite its scale, did not deliver a decisive strategic outcome).
🔸 In any campaign of this magnitude, the immediate priority would be the suppression and destruction of Iranian air defences. This follows a well-established operational pattern seen in major Western air operations such as Operation Desert Storm, Allied Force, Shock and Awe, and Midnight Hammer, where air superiority was secured before broader strategic objectives were pursued.
🔸 To that end, the US has reportedly deployed not only F-35 fighter aircraft but also EA-18 Growler electronic warfare aircraft and 24 specialised F-16CJ “Wild Weasel” platforms. The Wild Weasel mission is explicitly designed for the suppression of enemy air defences (SEAD), targeting radar systems and surface-to-air missile networks.
🔸 These aircraft are drawn from multiple fighter wings, including units based in South Carolina, Japan and Germany, and would likely operate in coordination with F-35s to clear access corridors for follow-on strike assets.
🔸 Once Iranian air-defence networks are degraded, the first wave of strategic targets would reportedly focus on major oil refineries. Disrupting refining capacity would constrain Iran’s ability to process crude oil domestically and would exert significant pressure on the national economy.
🔸 Potential targets could include refineries in Abadan, Isfahan, Tehran and Arak, the Persian Gulf Star complex alongside Bandar Abbas facilities, the Kharg Island export terminal and key maritime ports.
Taken together, these preparations point to a campaign structure designed for sustained operational pressure across military and economic domains.
@NewRulesGeo❗️Follow us on X
🚨 How Russian Mi-28 Helicopters Can Help Iran Hunt Down Israeli Drones
Russian Mi-28 “Havoc” attack helicopters reportedly have entered service with Iran, strengthening its ability to counter Israeli loitering munitions and one-way attack drones.
🔸 A key feature of the Iranian variant is the N025M mast-mounted radar, a capability previously limited to Russian service. This radar significantly improves the helicopter’s ability to detect small, low-observable aerial targets flying at low altitude or using terrain masking.
🔸 The Mi-28 combines this radar with a high-speed interception capability, allowing it to reposition rapidly and engage incoming drones once cued by ground-based sensors or visual observers. This creates an active interception layer capable of responding dynamically to incoming threats rather than relying solely on static air-defence systems.
🔸 The helicopter’s 30 mm cannon provides a cost-effective interception tool, particularly against individual drones. In saturation scenarios involving multiple targets, the platform can escalate to guided missile engagements. This layered response improves Iran’s ability to handle both limited and large-scale drone incursions.
🔸 The Iranian Mi-28 variant is also equipped with the President-S self-protection suite, enhancing survivability against infrared-guided missiles and allowing safer operation in contested environments.
🔸 Even a small number of Mi-28 helicopters, strategically positioned around Tehran, could establish a persistent aerial counter-drone presence, complicating Israeli drone attack planning and reducing the overall effectiveness of such operations.
Their deployment is a part of Iran’s broader effort to strengthen its air-defence network by integrating mobile, radar-equipped interception platforms capable of responding quickly to emerging aerial threats.
Do you still believe Israel could escalate against Iran without paying a meaningful military price?
@NewRulesGeo❗️Follow us on X