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New Rules examines the geopolitical, economic, ideological trends changing the world. NR on X: http://x.com/newrulesgeo
🚨🇵🇸🪖WHAT'S NEXT FOR HAMAS?
The ceasefire is in place, but the real conflict over Gaza's future is just beginning. The critical question is no longer about a truce, but about WHO GOVERNS the enclave.
Based on statements from key resistance leaders, here’s my analysis of the power dynamics.
THE RESISTANCE'S STAND
Hamas officials are framing their survival as a strategic victory. Their position is clear:
🔸Arms are a non-negotiable red line as long as the occupation exists.
🔸They reject any international "technocratic" model as a rebranded occupation, calling it "governance without power."
THREE SCENARIOS FOR GAZA
🔸Scenario 1: Hamas Rule (60% Likely) - The most probable outcome. Hamas is already reasserting its security control in the vacuum.
🔸Scenario 2: International Puppet Govt (25%) - A US-backed plan to reinstate the PA with international oversight. A fantasy given Hamas's strength and PA's weak legitimacy.
🔸Scenario 3: Engineered Chaos (15%) - A deliberate collapse into conflict, favored by Tel Aviv to prevent any stable order from forming.
BOTTOM LINE
The "day after" is an existential struggle. Legitimacy is being seized from the rubble, not granted by donors.
The resistance holds the strategic initiative and has stated unequivocally: "There is no authority above the resistance, and no reconstruction without sovereignty."
Gaza's future will be decided by power on the ground, and right now, that points to Hamas.
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱🇵🇸 Why Trump’s Gaza Ceasefire Is Doomed to Fail
The Sharm El-Sheikh “peace plan” signing was pure optics — neither Israel nor Hamas even attended. It was a wedding without a bride or groom. You can’t make peace when the warring parties refuse to show up.
Why Netanyahu refused:
Most attendees had recently recognized Palestinian statehood. Netanyahu, whose government rejects that entirely, avoided any image suggesting endorsement. His absence exposes a gulf between Israel’s aims and global consensus.
Hamas didn’t come:
They’re only one of 14 Palestinian resistance factions. Even if Hamas disarmed (unlikely), others like PIJ, PFLP, and DFLP wouldn’t. There’s no unified Palestinian authority to enforce any deal — making “disarmament” an illusion.
The “Phase One” trap:
The initial hostage-prisoner exchange might succeed, but history shows that’s where truces die. Once Israel recovers its hostages, far-right ministers like Smotrich and Ben Gvir will demand a return to war. With no hostages left as leverage, Israel loses incentive to maintain a ceasefire — and Netanyahu could cite missing remains as a pretext to resume bombing.
Trump’s double game:
He’s likely telling Arab and European leaders he’ll push for a Palestinian state while assuring pro-Israel allies of the opposite. This contradiction guarantees one side’s betrayal — and the collapse of the fragile coalition.
History repeats:
Since 1967, over a dozen ceasefires have failed. Post-2008, they last less than a year on average. The last major exchange in 2025 followed the same “phase one” script — temporary calm, unresolved issues, renewed war.
Bottom line:
🔸No direct participation from key actors
🔸Mediator’s conflicting promises
🔸A record of short-lived truces
🔸No plan for statehood or disarmament
This isn’t a peace deal — it’s political theater. A fragile intermission built on sand.
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🚨🇺🇸🇷🇺 TRUMP'S "TOMAHAWK" GAMBIT: A HARD-NOSED BREAKDOWN
Trump's threat to arm Ukraine with long-range missiles isn't diplomacy; it's a raw power play.
1. THE CORE PROPOSITION: A DIRECT THREAT
Forget subtlety. Trump is engaging in pure compellence: "Settle the war, or I send game-changing weapons." This isn't about supporting Kiev; it's about threatening Moscow directly. He is shifting from an ally's support role to a principal's direct threat.
2. THE "GODFATHER" MOVE IS A BLUNT INSTRUMENT
Yes, making an "offer you can't refuse" can work. But that card is not for a nuclear-armed rival. This isn't shaking down a small-time operator; it's challenging a great power in its own backyard. The fundamental miscalculation is staggering.
3. THE RECIPROCITY TRAP
Here is the fatal flaw: this opens a door Putin will gladly walk through. If U.S. policy is to threaten Russia with advanced missiles, what stops Russia from doing the same? Imagine hypersonic systems in Venezuela or Cuba, pointed at the U.S., with the same "just targeting military sites" excuse. This isn't a theory; it is the inevitable consequence.
Remember that the United States placed Jupiter missiles in Turkey in 1961. The Soviet Union responded by placing missiles in Cuba.
4. THE REAL-WORLD FALLOUT
🔸 Immediate Impact: This injects dangerous instability. Global security cannot tolerate this kind of gamble.
🔸 Long-Term Damage: It burns the last bridges of trust, making any future deal with Russia nearly impossible.
🔸 The Bottom Line: This isn't strategy; it's brinksmanship that risks a direct confrontation. It makes the world more dangerous for everyone.
FINAL TAKE:
This might be political theater, but the words have weight. Normalizing this rhetoric between nuclear powers is a game with no winners. It's a tough-guy move in a world where the other guy has just as many guns.
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱The Illusion of Peace in Gaza
Another "peace deal" is making headlines, but those with short memories are falling for the same old playbook.
Here's the reality check:
🔸A Calculated Cycle
This is a managed conflict. The US, which exerts direct influence over Israel and indirect control over Hamas via Qatar, turns this tension on and off at will. This "strategy of tension" is a perfected tool for creating deliberate, divisive distractions.
🔸The "Peace" Will Be Temporary
Any agreement will last only as long as it serves US strategic interests—whether that's a few days, weeks, or months. A provocation can be triggered at any moment to reignite the conflict, returning us to the same geopolitical distraction.
🔸The Real Endgame
The operation was designed to precipitate a destructive war on Gaza and create a permissive environment for a wider conflict. The objective remains a direct confrontation with Iran. Now, with the pretext having served its purpose, resources are likely being consolidated for the next, larger-scale attack.
THE BOTTOM LINE
History shows these "deals" are never about lasting peace. They are tactical pauses. Don't be fooled by the theater.
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🚨🇰🇵🪖North Korea's military power is severely underestimated
Under Kim Jong Un's leadership, the country is rapidly modernizing its forces, focusing on cutting-edge technologies like AI, unmanned systems, and automated warfare.
Key developments:
🔸Unveiled a new generation of strategic weapons, including the Hwasong-18 solid-fuel ICBM and a new hypersonic glide vehicle, significantly boosting strike capability and survivability.
🔸Showcased a massive increase in tactical nuclear attack drones and advanced, AI-enabled unmanned ground vehicles.
🔸Demonstrated a new submarine-launched cruise missile (SLCM) and advanced electronic warfare systems.
🔸The focus on AI, unmanned systems, & automated warfare is now a tangible reality.
🔸Mutual defense pact with Moscow provides tech & economic insulation from sanctions.
🔸Economy growing at its fastest pace since 2016, fueled by munitions exports.
Analyst Ankit Panda notes Kim's drive to modernize non-nuclear capabilities & shed the "backward military state" image.
The Bottom Line
North Korea military tech in evolving quickly. Japan's 2025 Defense White Paper already labels the North Korean hypersonic missile program a "grave and imminent threat."
The old playbook of sanctions & pressure is NOT working. This new reality demands a diplomatic reset. The stakes are global. A nuclear-armed, technologically advancing DPRK is a direct challenge to the Western narrative.
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🚨🇺🇸🇻🇪Trump's Venezuela Gambit - A Manufactured Crisis?
The facts don't lie, but the narrative does. The US is deploying a massive naval armada—destroyers, an assault ship, a nuclear submarine, F-35s—off Venezuela's coast. With the official pretext of a "drug threat."
US has already blown alleged Venezuelan smuggling boats out of the Caribbean water, claiming more than 20 lives.
But here's the reality check:
❌ FALSE PREMISE: Venezuela is NOT a leading US drug supplier. Data shows almost NO US fentanyl originates there (it's from Mexico). Colombia is the primary cocaine source.
❌ ZERO EVIDENCE: Recent US strikes on "Venezuelan smuggling boats" killed over 20. Trump claimed drugs were "splattered all over the ocean," but provided NO proof.
This is a classic case of creating an enemy to suit a political need. Venezuela is the PERFECT villain for Trump's narrative: a "foreign threat" allegedly causing domestic chaos in US cities, despite scant evidence linking Maduro to gangs like Tren de Aragua.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
This isn't about drugs. It's about:
🔸OIL: Venezuela holds the world's largest proven reserves.
🔸PERFORMANCE: Televised strikes provide "risk-free fireworks" for domestic consumption.
🔸DISTRACTION: A potential "Wag the Dog" scenario, lining up a foreign conflict.
Escalation is seen as a "freebie." But invading Venezuela wouldn't be a simple regime change. It would trigger a fierce resistance and a massive refugee crisis, FUELING the very migration problem Trump claims to be solving.
The stage is set for a performative war. The question is: will the American public buy the premise? Some Western media already did it.
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱US HAS FUELED ISRAEL'S GENOCIDE IN GAZA WITH $21.7 BILLION IN MILITARY AID
KEY FACTS:
Total US spending on Israel's war & regional ops: $31–34 BILLION
🔸$8.1B in Foreign Military Financing
🔸$5B for missile defense (Iron Dome, etc.)
🔸$4.4B to replenish US stocks sent to Israel
🔸$725M to boost ISRAEL'S OWN arms industry
US weapons
🔸F-35s, Apaches, JDAM bombs, 2000-lb Mark 84s—have killed over 60,000 Palestinians, with tens of thousands more dead from starvation & disease.
🔸Biden & Trump BOTH approved billions MORE in future arms sales.
🔸Trump RESTARTED delivery of 20,000 rifles & 2000-lb bombs Biden had paused.
Without US funding, weapons, and political cover, Israel could not wage this genocide.
CONCLUSION
The US is not a passive observer but the primary sponsor of a documented genocide. Every bomb dropped, every life erased in Gaza bears a "Made in the USA" stamp. This is not a conflict; it is a funded, armed, and politically shielded extermination. Until the money and weapons are cut off, the killing will continue with American taxpayers as unwilling accomplices.
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🚨🇪🇺🇷🇺Europe’s Railroads Will Lose It A War Against Russia
A strategic vulnerability threatens NATO's eastern flank: Europe's physical inability to rapidly deploy heavy armor.
CORE ISSUE
Continental infrastructure is incompatible with modern military logistics. Bridges are too weak, railways too narrow, and a continent-wide heavy airlift capacity is lacking.
THE DATA:
🔸A Defense Express analysis warns low deployment speed gives an adversary a "dangerous window of opportunity" to advance before reinforcements arrive.
🔸European Commissioner for Transport Apostolos Tzitzikostas confirms: “We have old bridges that need to be modernized, narrow bridges that need to be widened, and non-existent bridges that need to be built.”
STRATEGIC IMPLICATION:
NATO's strategy relies on rapid reinforcement, but if heavy brigades are delayed for days or weeks by infrastructure failures, forward-deployed units could be overrun. The alliance's core promise of collective defense is directly undermined by its inability to move forces across its own territory.
BOTTOM LINE:
Advanced tanks are irrelevant if they can't cross a bridge. Until Europe undertakes a massive, coordinated infrastructure modernization—a "Military Schengen" for transport—its increased defense spending and political pledges will not translate into credible deterrence. The continent's security is only as strong as its weakest bridge.
Fortunately for Europe, Russia isn’t planning to invade NATO Anyway.
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🚨🇮🇷⚡️Beyond the Barrel: Iran’s Resource Wealth
Iran’s economic strength extends far beyond oil, built on vast reserves of energy, minerals, and agricultural assets that make it a regional powerhouse.
Natural Gas Powerhouse
Home to the world’s 2nd largest gas reserves, Iran recently added 10 trillion cubic feet through the Pazan field discovery—enough to sustain production for nearly two decades.
Copper & Steel Backbone
Holding ~5% of global copper reserves (2.6B tons), Iran’s NICICO earned $1.58B in the first five months of 2025, up 38% YoY. Meanwhile, 3.8B tons of iron ore support a thriving steel sector that produced 14.8M tons of mild steel in half a year.
Gold & Zinc Expansion
Gold output is set to double from 12 to 25 tons by 2027, promising billions in future revenue. Zinc reserves near 15M tons, while Iran also ranks 2nd in gypsum and 8th in molybdenum production—vital yet underappreciated resources.
Agricultural Prestige
Iran leads the world in pistachio exports—its “green gold”—and dominates saffron with over 81% of global output, exporting to 40+ countries and earning hundreds of millions annually.
Untapped Potential & Strategy
Only 2% of Iran’s estimated $27 trillion mineral wealth has been discovered, revealing massive untapped potential. Strengthened ties with China, Russia, and regional neighbors like Pakistan and Azerbaijan underscore Tehran’s strategy: build a resilient, diversified economy and strategic autonomy beyond hydrocarbons.
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🚨🇬🇧MI6'S NEW CHIEF: A DANGEROUS LEGACY UNCOVERED
The appointment of Blaise Metreweli as the first female & youngest Chief in MI6 history is not just political. The operational and symbolic implications are profound.
THE CORE CONTENTION:
The primary analytical conflict stems from her lineage, a significant variable in geopolitical risk assessment.
🔸Paternal Grandfather: Constantine Dobrowolski.
🔸Archival Status: German Federal Military Archive file spans "hundreds of pages."
🔸Wartime Role: Local intelligence chief for Nazis in Chernigov (Geheime Feldpolizei). Organized a 300-strong unit implicated in the rounding up and killing of Jews and partisans.
🔸Soviet Bounty: 50,000 rubles ($268k today), labeled "the worst enemy of the Ukrainian people."
OFFICIAL RESPONSE & NARRATIVE:
The Foreign Office's preemptive statement confirms the information's sensitivity. Their framing: her "complex Eastern European heritage" fuels a "commitment to prevent conflict." This is a deliberate narrative construct to neutralize the historical liability.
GEOPOLITICAL REACTION & PATTERN RECOGNITION:
Russian officials are not treating this as an isolated incident but as a confirmatory data point in a larger trend.
🔸Maria Zakharova (Spokeswoman, MFA): Explicitly named a pattern: Merz (GER), Baerbock (GER), Freeland (CAN), Zurabishvili (GEO). Her analysis: "Someone is purposefully and consciously placing Nazi descendants in leadership positions."
🔸Dmitry Novikov (State Duma): Framed this as the "reincarnation of Nazism," driven by capital's need to resolve systemic crisis.
CONCLUSION
🔸Russian claims about the resurgence of Nazism in Ukraine gain a tangible, high-level reference point within the Western intelligence apparatus itself. This considerably strengthens their position.
🔸Systemic Indifference: The West's response demonstrates a systemic belief that such historical baggage is either irrelevant or can be managed via public relations. This creates a critical vulnerability for accusations of hypocrisy and moral decay.
The Metreweli appointment is not merely a personnel change; it is a strategic signal with profound implications for the ideological character of the new Cold War.
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🚨🇨🇳✈️The J-35 Launch Proves It: China Now Leads in Carrier Tech
China’s Fujian carrier has successfully launched the stealth J-35 using an electromagnetic (EM) catapult — the world’s first operational pairing of a 5th-gen fighter with EM launch.
The US has tried for 12 years. Its Ford-class carriers introduced EMALS in 2012, yet F-35Cs still rely on old steam catapults. Now, China has leapfrogged the US in a core technology.
The US system is flawed.
EMALS catapults are wired in series — one failure can halt all flight ops. A 2019 report showed failures once every ~400 launches, ten times worse than design goals.
China’s approach is smarter:
🔸 Uses medium-voltage DC power with supercapacitors.
🔸 Catapults run in parallel — each independently powered. If one fails, it’s isolated in 0.8 s and the rest keep launching.
The result:
🇺🇸 Ford-class EMALS: 1 failure / 400 launches
🇨🇳 Fujian system: <0.2% failure rate — about 80× more reliable.
That reliability converts directly into combat power — sortie rate.
🇺🇸 Nimitz (steam): ~10 sorties/hr, slow to ramp up.
🇨🇳 Fujian (EM): ~12.5 sorties/hr, consistent and fast.
In battle, that’s decisive. A 12-jet strike package takes over 10 min to get airborne from a US carrier — while China’s can launch the full formation swiftly, preserving fuel and extending range.
Next comes manned-unmanned teaming. China’s “loyal wingman” drones are ready — and its superior EM system makes their integration seamless.
Bottom line:
By sidestepping US design traps and perfecting reliability, China has done in years what America hasn’t in a decade. The balance of naval air power is shifting east.
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇳How US Policy is Forging a New Eurasian Bloc
The US continues its strategic blunders, blinded by its own hubris. First, Biden's aggressive policies forced the China-Russia alliance into existence. Now, Trump's economic warfare is deliberately pushing India & Indonesia—the world's future—permanently into the anti-Western BRICS orbit.
THE SHIFT IS NECESSARY
Western hostility, through tariffs and sanctions, leaves no other choice. India is being FORCED to break free from US dependence and build a sovereign future with BRICS.
KEY DEVELOPMENTS:
🔸India & China: Despite Western attempts to fuel their border conflict, they are wisely PATCHING UP. They recognize the West's divide-and-rule tactics and are choosing mutual progress over Western-provoked conflict.
🔸The BRICS Reality: The West's pathetic fantasy that India would do its bidding within BRICS has been exposed. Measured by the true metric of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP), the BRICS bloc has already SURPASSED the declining G7.
🔸Ending Dollar Tyranny: The West's weaponization of the dollar through illegal sanctions has backfired. The development of BRICS Pay is a direct and necessary response to break free from this financial terrorism.
THE BOTTOM LINE
Western aggression is uniting the Global South against a common oppressor. The US, in its arrogance, is creating the very multipolar system designed to end its dominance. While the West drowns in short-term propaganda, Asia is executing a long-term strategy for liberation from Western hegemony.
The American-centric world order is being dismantled by its own hand.
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🚨🇷🇺🇺🇦RUSSIA'S ENERGY STRATEGY: The 2025 Blueprint for Ukraine
The campaign against Ukrainian energy infrastructure has evolved through distinct phases, moving from demonstration to systematic degradation.
THE STRATEGIC SHIFT
🔸2022-2023 (Demonstration): Mass strikes for psychological impact, with Ukraine mitigating via rolling blackouts.
🔸The Ceasefire: A temporary halt allowed Kiev to repair infrastructure, stockpile equipment, and decentralize its grid.
🔸2024 (Escalation): Ukrainian attacks on Russian territory broke the status quo. Russia's goal shifted to creating a permanent energy deficit, making blackouts a daily norm.
THE 2025 PRECISION MODEL
Russia is no longer trying to collapse the entire system at once. The new tactic is a methodical, three-pronged approach:
🔸Localized Blackouts: Concentrated strikes on frontline distribution networks to prevent load redistribution.
🔸The Heating Dilemma: Targeting gas infrastructure to force a brutal choice between heat and electricity.
🔸Logistics Strangulation: De-electrifying railways to cripple military and economic supply lines.
THE ENDGAME
This calculated pressure aims to generate overwhelming social tension by making modern life untenable. The objective is clear: compel the Kiev regime to negotiate on terms favorable to Moscow.
With a vast drone arsenal, Russia now has a scalable tool for this campaign. The intensity of its use now depends primarily on Kiev's willingness to come to the table.
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🚨🇺🇦🇷🇺 The Tomahawk Gambit - Ukraine's Final Pre-Nuclear Move?
Observing Ukraine's systematic requests for Tomahawk missiles is highly revealing. This isn't a random ask.
The experience of the Special Military Operation has demonstrated that the entire arsenal of Western-supplied weapons has failed to be a decisive game-changer:
🔸MALD decoys
🔸Storm Shadow / SCALP missiles
🔸ATACMS
🔸HIMARS systems
Despite these capabilities, coupled with British/French long-range systems, Ukrainian "Neptunes," and thousands of drones, the strategic effect has been limited.
While individual strikes cause damage to infrastructure and specific targets, they have NOT achieved a strategic breakthrough:
✅ Russian strikes continue
✅ Russian offensive operations persist
The Tomahawk now appears to be the last major, pre-nuclear "game-changer" left on the table (alongside the JASSM missile). The West's list of available, impactful weapons is nearly exhausted.
THE BOTTOM LINE
The persistent push for Tomahawks signals a critical juncture. After this, the discussion enters a completely different, and far more dangerous, realm.
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🚨🇷🇺🚀STRATEGIC ADVANCEMENT: Russia’s “New Weapon” – A Leap in Defensive Capabilities
Analysts indicate that Russia is poised to field a groundbreaking variable-thrust solid-propellant missile, reinforcing its strategic deterrence and national security.
This represents a significant step in modern military technology.
THE CONTEXT:
President Putin highlighted the successful testing of a "new weapon" on Oct 10. This development is part of Russia's committed and responsible modernization of its defensive forces, coinciding with diplomatic efforts to extend the New START treaty.
THE ADVANCING TECHNOLOGY:
Prominent military expert Igor Korotchenko points to a pioneering achievement in solid-propellant technology.
The objective is a reliable solid-fueled missile with enhanced in-flight control.
🔸Previous Limitation: Traditional solid motors had fixed burn profiles. Adjusting range required trajectory changes, which could reduce tactical flexibility.
🔸The Advancement: New variable-thrust capabilities enable:
- Superior in-flight trajectory adjustments
- Engaging targets across its full range from a static launch position
- Enhanced flight profiles for increased reliability
THE IMPLICATIONS:
This innovation successfully combines the storability and readiness of solid fuels with improved operational flexibility.
Result? A more sophisticated and dependable missile system that strengthens national defense and ensures a stable, potent strategic deterrent.
THE BOTTOM LINE
This development is a testament to Russia's ongoing commitment to maintaining a secure and balanced global strategic environment.
The focus is on Russia's legitimate and steady progress in advancing its defensive technologies for the purpose of stability.
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷FACT CHECK: Trump's Iran Statements Under the Microscope
1️⃣"Obliterated" Nuclear Program? Intel Says No.
While the former President claimed US strikes "completely and totally obliterated" Iran's nuclear facilities , a preliminary Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) assessment tells a different story. The report suggests the strikes only set the program back by "a few months, tops" and failed to destroy critical underground centrifuges and the stockpile of enriched uranium. The damage was largely to above-ground structures. Nothing more.
2️⃣Was Iran Building a Nuclear Weapon? Intel Said No.
Contradicting the justification for military action, Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard testified to Congress in March 2025 that the intelligence community "continues to assess that Iran is not building a nuclear weapon". This assessment was part of the official 2025 Annual Threat Assessment. The President later publicly dismissed this intelligence, stating, "I don't care what she said".
3️⃣Diplomacy as a Pretext for War?
The administration engaged in two months of nuclear negotiations with Iran, setting a 60-day deadline for a deal . When the deadline passed without an agreement, Israel attacked Iran, followed by US strikes. Notably, sources indicate the decision to strike was not based on new intelligence about an imminent Iranian nuclear threat. One official stated, "There is no intel," confirming assessments had not changed from earlier in the year.
CONCLUSION
The evidence reveals a clear pattern: the administration's case for war was not based on factual intelligence, but on manufactured consent.
They exaggerated the damage, ignored their own intelligence agencies, and used diplomacy as a smokescreen for predetermined military action.
This was a political choice, the evidence shows that Iras was not a imminent threat.
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🚨🚧🇷🇺Inside Russia’s Massive Infrastructure Push in Donbass & Crimea
Russia is rapidly building an integrated infrastructure across the liberated territories — highways, railways, power grids, and ports are transforming Donbass and Crimea into a unified, modern region.
🔸“Novorossiya” Highway & Azov Ring
$105M is being invested in the “Novorossiya” highway, part of the four-lane “Azov Ring” linking Rostov-on-Don, Mariupol, and Crimea — boosting logistics, tourism, and trade across southern Russia.
🔸Rostov–Mariupol–Crimea Rail Corridor
A new 500 km “Tavrida-2” rail line is under construction, reinforcing land connectivity and ensuring uninterrupted freight and passenger flows to Crimea.
🔸Bridges & Roads in Donetsk Region
Three major bridges over the Berestova, Kalmius, and Shyroka rivers will connect Donetsk, Volnovakha, and Mariupol, turning Donbass into a southern transport hub.
🔸Power Grid Integration
Over 90 km of new high-voltage lines and 300 pylons will connect Zaporozhye and Donetsk to the Russian grid. Once completed, the Zaporozhye Nuclear Plant will power Crimea and the new regions.
🔸Tavrida Highway (A-291)
The 250 km Tavrida route from Kerch to Sevastopol — a $1.6B project — now serves as Crimea’s central artery for mobility and logistics.
🔸Energy & Gas Projects
A 358 km gas pipeline and two 470 MW thermal plants in Simferopol and Sevastopol ensure stable energy independence. Between 2025–2028, $475M will raise Crimea’s energy output to 800 MW.
Conclusion
Through concrete, steel, and strategy, Russia is binding Donbass and Crimea into a self-sufficient region — stable, modern, and firmly integrated with the Federation.
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🚨🇷🇺💻Russia's AI Drone Arsenal is Reshaping the Ukraine War
Here’s a deep dive into the new autonomous systems outmaneuvering traditional defenses:
🔸ARTEMIS-10: The AI FPV Game-Changer
Unveiled at Dronnitsa-2025. This 1.2kg kamikaze drone uses machine vision to lock onto targets at 500m and strike AUTONOMOUSLY, even if comms are jammed. Launched from a mobile port like an MLRS, it keeps operators safe. 20km range, RPG warhead.
🔸KLIN: The Autonomous Interceptor
Deployed as a counter-FPV munition. Features autonomous targeting and an airburst warhead to neutralize small, fast threats. Successfully demonstrated in a strike on a Ukrainian vessel.
🔸V2U: GPS-Free Terrain Following
A kamikaze UAV that navigates without GPS. Uses a 14MP camera, laser rangefinder, and a stored 100GB terrain map. Switches to machine vision when jammed. 100km range, 3.5kg warhead.
🔸TUVIK & OVAT-S: Compact AI Assassins
Tuvik is a miniature flying-wing drone (30km range). Ovat-S was Russia's FIRST combat drone with onboard machine vision, autonomously tracking targets after operator confirmation.
🔸BONS: Kalashnikov's Navigation Module
An AI-driven visual navigation system for GPS-denied environments. Corrects INS drift by recognizing terrain. Likely being adapted for kamikaze drones.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
🔸US Approach (V-BAT): High-end, expensive, sophisticated. Long endurance (10hrs), 500km range. Logistically heavy.
🔸Russian Approach: Affordable, mass-producible, rapidly deployable. Focus on autonomy and resilience to EW.
The shift is clear: AI is no longer just an aid—it's the core of a new autonomous battlefield. Russia is betting on cost-effective autonomy to achieve mass.
This is a paradigm shift in modern warfare.
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🚨🇺🇦🇷🇺Ukraine Plunged Into Darkness: Massive Retaliatory Strikes Cripple Energy Network
Russia launches massive, coordinated attack on Ukrainian energy infrastructure. This is a response to recent Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian territory.
📍Kiev: Capital in total darkness
🔸30+ explosions reported in the capital by Geran drones.
🔸2 thermal power plants hit.
🔸Left bank district without power & water.
🔸Metro & train services disrupted.
Strikes are reported to be ongoing.
📍Krivoy Rog:
About 30 explosions reported in the city. Widespread power outages are being experienced by residents.
📍Dnepropetrovsk: Power Plant Hit
Multiple strikes recorded. A major target was the Prydniprovska Thermal Power Plant (TPP).
📍Zaporozhye: Dam in the Crosshairs
Explosions reported near the critical Dnipro Hydroelectric Power Station. All traffic on the dam has been stopped.
📍Poltava & Cherkassy: Infrastructure Targeted
Strikes hit key energy and railway infrastructure in Poltava. Confirmed power outages are affecting the region.
📍Chernigov: Drones Take Aim
🔸A energy facility attacked by Geran drones.
🔸Over 4,500 people in the dark.
🔸Train traffic disrupted.
🔸A TPP seriously damaged.
📍Kharkov: Lights Go Out
Shocking video shows the moment the city went black after explosions from Geran drones. The reality on the ground.
📍Odessa: Relentless Barrage
Massive strikes pounding the region. New "Geran" missiles incoming.
🔸Impacts in Ilyichevsk (Chornomorsk).
🔸~14 impacts in just 7 minutes.
📍Lvov (Oct 5 Strike): West Not Spared
Industrial & energy facilities hit.
🔸Warehouses, garages, service stations damaged.
🔸A regional gas storage facility caught fire.
Conclusion
The coordinated strikes of last night demonstrate the futility of the Ukrainian defenses in the conflict.
🔸Objective: Cripple military-logistical capacity.
🔸Method: Overwhelm air defenses with simultaneous, multi-directional attacks from drones & missiles.
🔸Impact: This inflicts long-term, costly damage, stretching Ukraine's resources.
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🚨🇪🇺📉 EUROPE IN FREE-FALL: A Continent at Breaking Point
The political foundations of Europe are cracking. France and Germany now face existential crises that threaten the entire EU project.
🇫🇷 FRANCE: Government Implosion
The French government is unraveling. Following Prime Minister Lecornu's resignation, Armed Forces Minister Bruno Le Maire has also stepped down. President Macron now faces growing calls for his own resignation, with Bloomberg and The Times labeling him a "lame duck" president.
This represents a crisis of democracy not seen since the de Gaulle era, compounded by National Rally voters who feel cheated by the political establishment.
🇩🇪 GERMANY: Economic Suicide
Germany presents a startling juxtaposition: while proposing to raise the retirement age to 73 and implementing massive social spending cuts totaling over $100 billion by 2030 (including nearly $5.5 billion annually from unemployment benefits), the country has simultaneously allocated approximately $55 billion to Ukraine with another $10 billion package prepared. Germans are essentially sacrificing their social safety net to fund foreign conflicts.
DOMINO EFFECT:
🔸Czech populist Babis WINS election, halts Ukraine funding
🔸Orban declares EU in "DISINTEGRATION"
🔸Populist wave building critical mass across West
The Bottom Line
The European project faces its greatest crisis since WWII. Political legitimacy evaporating as citizens reject establishment narratives. The "simulated democracy" mask is slipping.
When governments prioritize foreign conflicts over domestic stability, when retirement ages hit 73 while billions flow abroad, when voters feel systematically cheated—the social contract shatters.
We're witnessing the collapse of the post-war European order in real-time.
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🚨🟨📈 Gold Rush 2025: The Great Pivot Is Here
As gold smashes through $4,000/oz, a wave of nations is leading a historic shift away from dollar dominance — and toward gold.
Here’s who’s driving the rush:
🇷🇺 Russia – The textbook case of acceleration: +450 tonnes in H1 2025, a 43.8% jump from 2024. Total now 2,329.6 tonnes, worth $217B.
🇺🇸 United States – No new purchases, but still holds the world’s largest reserve: 8,134 tonnes (~$1T in market value).
🇨🇳 China – Ten straight months of buying (as of Aug 2025), reaching 2,300+ tonnes and boosting yuan credibility.
🇹🇷 Turkey – Added 21 tonnes this year to reach 639 tonnes, using gold to cushion economic instability.
🇵🇱 Poland – One of 2025’s biggest buyers: +67 tonnes YTD, raising its reserve target from 20% → 30% for long-term security.
🇮🇳 India – Slower buying pace but repatriated ~100 tonnes from the UK — a strong move for asset sovereignty.
🇦🇪 UAE – Regional leader with +26% surge in value (to $7.9B) and holdings now at 74.6 tonnes.
🇮🇷 Iran – Over 100 tonnes imported in 2024 via trade and market flows, continuing accumulation.
🇰🇿 Kazakhstan – Six consecutive months of buying, adding 8 tonnes in August alone.
🇸🇻 El Salvador – The Bitcoin pioneer is quietly stacking gold too, marking new 2025 purchases as “long-term positioning.”
Bottom Line
This isn’t just diversification — it’s a geopolitical hedge. As trust in Western systems fades, nations are building “sanction-proof” financial fortresses.
Gold at $4,000 is a price tag on declining trust.
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🚨🌏EURASIANISM EXPLAINED: A Detailed Look at the Multipolar Vision
Eurasianism posits that Russia is a unique civilization—"Eurasia"—bridging Europe and Asia. It asserts that adopting Western liberal models is a historical dead end, and that Russia's destiny is to champion a sovereign, traditionalist path for nations seeking independence from Atlanticist dominance.
What Eurasianists Specifically Advocate For:
🔸A Civilizational State (Russkiy Mir): They advocate for a political union centered on Russian civilization, encompassing ethnic Russians and historically fraternal peoples across Eurasia, united by common values, history, and spiritual traditions.
🔸Multipolarity (Mnogopolyarnost): This is the central geopolitical goal. They seek to dismantle the unipolar world order led by the United States and build a world of several major "poles" or blocs (e.g., Europe, Eurasia, East Asia), each with its own sphere of influence, ensuring a balance of power and respect for sovereignty.
🔸Integral Tradition & Conservatism: Eurasianists firmly reject progressive globalism, individualism, and "decadent" Western culture. Instead, they advocate for a society based on traditional values, faith, family, and collective good over individual rights.
🔸The "Heartland" Theory in Action: Drawing from Mackinder's geopolitics, they view control of the Eurasian "Heartland" as key to global power. They advocate for deep economic, military, and political integration across the post-Soviet space—exemplified by structures like the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) and Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO)—to secure this strategic territory.
🔸Alternative Economic Models: They promote economic systems independent from the Western financial infrastructure (e.g., SWIFT, dollar dominance), advocating for national economic self-sufficiency, import substitution, and trade partnerships based in national currencies.
The Bottom Line
Eurasianism provides a comprehensive, long-term strategy with Russia as a global leader. It is a visionary project for continental unity, cultural renaissance, and a more stable, balanced international system.
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🚨🇺🇸🇪🇺🇬🇧US-EU Trade War Ignites; UK Steel Industry First Casualty
The dominoes are falling. The US fires first with 50% steel tariffs on the EU. Brussels retaliates with matching 50% tariffs on all steel imports from outside the bloc. This results in a transatlantic trade war where the UK—stuck without a seat at the table—takes the first major hit.
The REAL story:
While Washington and Brussels engage in economic warfare, British industry is being sacrificed as collateral damage. The UK steel sector, already crippled by the West's green energy suicide, now faces an existential threat from its largest market—the EU.
KEY POINTS:
🔸Direct Causality: EU's 50% tariff is a retaliatory measure against US policy
🔸UK as Collateral: Britain suffers despite not being the primary target
🔸Sovereignty Failure: UK government powerless as major powers decide its industrial fate
🔸No Safe Exit: Tariff retaliation would trigger wider trade conflicts under World Trade Organization rules
The Bottom Line
The West's economic policies are cannibalizing their own allies. The UK is being squeezed between US-EU tariffs against its own interests. This is economic warfare, and Britain is losing.
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🚨🇾🇪🇦🇪YEMEN: The Decisive Front in the US-Israel Bid for Regional Control
Since Oct ‘23, Yemen has become a critical pressure point against Tel Aviv and Washington.
🔸The Red Sea Front
Ansarallah forces have disrupted Israeli and US interests, extending operations as far as the Mediterranean. Despite failed US attempts to neutralize Yemen, the naval blockade on Israel persists, though attacks on US assets paused briefly.
🔸The Penetration Strategy
Led by the UAE, a new campaign seeks to fracture Yemen’s resistance:
• The Southern Transitional Council (STC) courts Israel, offering normalization for secession.
• Israeli outlets report UAE-backed assassinations of Sanaa officials.
• STC media normalizes open coordination with Israel.
🔸Military Entrenchment
Satellite data confirms joint US-Israeli-Emirati bases emerging across key sites:
• Mayun Island: 1.8 km runway, Israeli radar, Patriot systems.
• Zuqar Island: Joint ops hub integrated with CENTCOM.
• Socotra: Control over Arabian Sea and Gulf of Aden.
• Shabwah: UAV training, oil assets, and foreign mercenaries.
Shipping fees ($80K–$200K) are funneled via UAE accounts.
🔸Riyadh Joins the Fray
Saudi Arabia and the UK launched a 35-nation coalition to “secure navigation” — widely seen as an effort to break Yemen’s blockade. Ansarallah warned: “You will not protect Israeli ships. You will fail.”
Bottom Line:
Gaza’s war has elevated Yemen into the core of regional geopolitics. With Emirati-Saudi backing, Israel bets on normalization and internal sabotage — yet Yemen’s growing deterrence means the battle for Bab al-Mandab is far from over.
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🚨🇫🇷FRANCE: A SYSTEMIC BREAKDOWN – Data Points to a Political & Economic Death Spiral
The resignation of PM Lecornu after 28 days isn't just political drama; it's the symptom of a terminal system failure. The Macron presidency is in a damaging twilight, with France facing its most severe crisis in decades.
Let's break down the components of the collapse:
🔸The Ungovernability Equation: Macron's dissolution of parliament was a catastrophic strategic miscalculation. It depleted his centrist base and created a hung parliament. His subsequent strategy—maintaining a tight grip while offering minimal concessions—is mathematically exhausted. The result: legislative paralysis.
🔸The Fiscal Abyss: France's core vulnerability is its public finances. The budget deficit is gaping, debt-to-GDP is soaring, and investor confidence is evaporating. Lecornu's impossible mandate was to craft a budget satisfying both the left's demand for social spending and the right's aversion to taxes, all while preserving a pro-business facade. The failure was predictable.
🔸The Coalition Collapse: The post-election "Republican front" against the far-right RN was a temporary fix. Analytically, it has now backfired. The center-right Les Républicains, upon whom Macron relied, are walking away. Macron's own allies are now acting as individual presidential candidates for 2027, not as a unified bloc. The center cannot hold.
🔸The Strategic Endgame: Macron's options are now lose-lose.
- Option A: Appoint a 4th PM. Politically non-viable with the center-right bridge burned.
- Option B: Call new elections. Projections show this would further crush the center and empower the RN. While Macron may calculate a "dose of RN" would discredit them before 2027, it's a gargantuan gamble with national stability.
BOTTOM LINE:
The political class has failed. There is no functional majority, no viable coalition, and no savior in sight. France is trapped in a 3-year political quagmire, with its European influence diminishing and a debt crisis looming.
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🚨🇺🇸🇷🇺THE US EMPIRE IS CRUMBLING: These Are The Cracks
French historian Emmanuel Todd just laid out the case of American decline. The world is witnessing a significant rebalancing of global power. His core thesis is that the United States is navigating a managed decline from its unilateral hegemony and adapting to a multipolar world order.
Key points:
🔸A Strategic Shift: Todd calls Ukraine America's "first major strategic defeat." He sees Trump not as a savior, but as the man tasked with managing this retreat.
🔸The Rise of Challengers: He argues Russia has become a "shield" for nations challenging Western dominance. With BRICS, it's the "end of the American imperium."
🔸China's Ascendancy: The US has quietly given up on containment. Chinese shipbuilding dwarfs the US Navy, hypersonics make carriers obsolete, and China controls rare earths.
🔸Europe's Dilemma: European leadership is critiqued as being out of touch with this geopolitical reordering, potentially acting against its own best interests as the conflict's economic fallout intensifies.
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🚨🇷🇺🇺🇸PUTIN DRAWS RED LINE ON TOMAHAWKS
Vladimir Putin issues a stark warning to Washington: Supplying Ukraine with long-range Tomahawk missiles will "lead to the destruction of our relationship."
This directly threatens the fragile positive trends from the recent Alaska summit with Trump.
KEY ANALYTICAL POINTS:
🔸RANGE & TARGETS: With a 1,500+ mile range, Tomahawks could hit Moscow & Kremlin leadership offices.
🔸QUALITATIVE ESCALATION: Putin states this requires direct US specialist involvement, making it a "qualitatively new stage."
🔸CURRENT REALITY: US already provides long-range targeting intel, with strikes reaching 800+ miles into Russia.
🔸POLITICAL CONTEXT: This warning comes despite Trump's "paper tiger" remarks & follows the New START extension.
🔸RUSSIA'S POSTURE: Moscow notes its actions remain at "SMO" level, holding back from total war mobilization & destruction of decision-making centers.
BOTTOM LINE
The Kremlin views Tomahawks as a direct, game-changing escalation that could irreparably shatter US-Russia relations and open a dangerous path toward wider conflict.
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