Geopolitics Watch

19 January 2026 21:56

🇸🇾❌🇸🇾 — The deal between the Syrian government and the SDF has failed, after SDF Command-in-Chief Mazloom Abdi attempted to modify the terms of the agreement.

Geopolitics Watch

19 January 2026 20:22

⬛❌🇸🇾 — IS attempt to free more prisoners from Al-Aqtan Prison in ar-Raqqah.

Geopolitics Watch

19 January 2026 19:10

🇸🇾❌⚫️ — No confirmed prisoner captures yet, most analysts believe the IS prisoners are now in safehouses and far out of reach.

Geopolitics Watch

19 January 2026 17:50

Russia's Rubicon unit has published new footage showing a series of drone strikes on rear Ukrainian targets.

Targets hit include:

- A 19Zh6 radar + a trailer in Mykolaiv Oblast (47.07939, 32.09680), ~62 km from the frontline.

- A 36D6 radar in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (48.40642, 35.73496), ~63 km from the frontline.

- A 36D6 radar in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (48.42119, 35.82679), ~62 km from the frontline.

- A 36D6 radar in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (48.80733, 35.38527), ~114 km from the frontline.

- A P-18 radar in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (48.81586, 35.75437), ~101 km from the frontline.

- A P-18MU radar + a truck in Mykolaiv Oblast (46.97961, 31.70417), ~47 km from the frontline.

- Command and control vehicle for a P-18MA radar in Mykolaiv Oblast (47.22859, 32.542), ~63 km from the frontline.

- Command and control vehicle for a 36D6 radar in Odesa Oblast (46.60873, 30.91776), ~45 km from the frontline.

- A 36D6 radar in Kharkiv Oblast (49.40271, 36.61234), ~75 km from the frontline.

- A Buk Surface-to-air missile system in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (48.3567, 36.24613), ~38 km from the frontline.

- 4 strikes on the "Hirnyk" 35 kV electrical substation in Donetsk Oblast (48.58938, 37.48830), ~8 km from the frontline.

Geopolitics Watch

19 January 2026 17:45

🇷🇺❌🇺🇦 — Irregular communications have been made between Russian strategic bomber command points.

A Russian strategic bomber assault is possible in the coming hours tonight against Ukraine.

Geopolitics Watch

19 January 2026 16:43

🇸🇾❌🇸🇾❌🏴 — The SDF and the Syrian government accuse each other of directly or indirectly freeing Islamic State prisoners in the Shaddadi prison in northeastern Syria.

Geopolitics Watch

19 January 2026 09:13

🇪🇸🚅‼️ A high-speed train derailed after a crash near Adamuz in the southern province of Cordoba, causing 39 deaths and 152 injuries. The crash happened at 7:45 PM local time.

At least 400 passengers were onboard, with the majority of them being Spaniards. Over 200 trains between Madrid and the southern Andalucia region have been cancelled throughout the day.


📝 Reuters
🗺 @PoliticsGR

Geopolitics Watch

19 January 2026 05:13

🇸🇾❌🇸🇾 — General Situation in Syria as of a little after midnight (18/1/26-19/1/26)

➡️ The collapse of the SDF continued, with the SDF outright abandoning most of Deir ez-Zor province except for the very northernmost part near the crossroads at the village of Muqman, near the Raqqa-Deir ez-Zor-Hasakah tri-point. SAA units crossed the Euphrates river near Gharanij and crossed a dirt bridge in Deir ez-Zor city before fanning out, traveling up the northern road to Abu Khashab and later Muqman - where they fought SDF units. Meanwhile the SAA fanned out across the Omar oil fields (marked in a red circle).

➡️ At the same time, massive tribal revolts occurred all up and down the Euphrates river, with several cities rebelling while tribal forces advanced along the river in both directions to link up with other tribal forces, and eventually converging on Raqqa city - which had its own tribal revolts - from west and east. After a short battle with sporadic clashes throughout the city, the SDF was thrown out and remains in the Division 17 HQ to the north of the city - surrounded on all sides. At the same time, there were tribal uprisings in the northern Raqqa countryside which eventually spread south to link with the Euphrates tribal forces. Finally, they advanced up the western road towards Mahmudli and Jurniyah, aiming to link up with the forces at Tishrin Dam - which hadn't made much progress due to SDF resistance. At the end of the day, the Syrian forces along the northern border attacked to the south, fighting SDF at Ayn Issa while linking up with tribal forces in Raqqa city - cutting the SDF protostate in half. Later in the evening, the SAA arrived to sweep and secure Raqqa amid reports of SDF snipers still present in Raqqa.

➡️ In the east, the Khabur river valley revolted from Markadah all the way to Shaddadi and the Khabur Dam. SDF attempted failed counterattacks at Suwar and Shaddadi. The forces in Shaddadi expanded northwards and eastwards to capture a gas plant, but largely remained in place until the SAA arrived in the night. There was another tribal revolt in Tal Mahrum, to the southwest of Hasakah city, and an attempted tribal revolt in the southern neighborhoods of Hasakah city. However, SDF was quick to react and start besieging the rebelling neighborhood, which lead to reports of massacres carried out by the SDF against the Arab population. This led to tribal forces mobilizing all over Syria and moving towards Hasakah, while the Syrian government has launched an investigation to verify the accuracy of the reports.

Geopolitics Watch

18 January 2026 22:09

⚠️⚫️ ❌🇸🇾🇸🇾 — Syrian security forces mobilise as hundreds of IS fighters, including high-value targets and important personalities have escaped SDF prisons during today's attacks.

Various security apparatuses have mobilised and are conducting raids.

Geopolitics Watch

18 January 2026 21:37

🇸🇾❌🇸🇾 — Tribes from Deir-ez-zor declare a general mobilization against the SDF after it committed a massacre against civilians from the al-Bu Sheikh tribe in the village of "Tal Majdal al-'Asr" southwest of al-Hasakah.

Geopolitics Watch

18 January 2026 21:13

🇸🇾❌🇸🇾 — Children and womens screams resonate from al-Hasakah, as the SDF commit massacres tonight against the general population.

Geopolitics Watch

18 January 2026 21:02

⚫️❌🇧🇫— JNIM also announce that the Burkinabe army slaughtered 30 civilians, among them women and children in Kamankadougou and Sanankadougou, villages near the Malian border on Wednesday.

Geopolitics Watch

18 January 2026 20:08

🇪🇺❌🇺🇸– The EU is considering €93bn in tariffs on the US or limiting market access for American firms to gain leverage ahead of meetings with Trump at Davos, according to the FT

Geopolitics Watch

18 January 2026 18:09

🇺🇸🇬🇱 — YouGov poll indicates 86% of Americans would disapprove of using military force to invade Greenland.

Geopolitics Watch

18 January 2026 17:42

🇸🇾🇸🇾 — Full agreement between the Syrian government and the Syrian Democratic Forces on a ceasefire and integrating the SDF into the Syrian government.

1. Immediate and comprehensive ceasefire across all fronts; SDF military units withdraw east of the Euphrates as a preliminary step.

2: Full administrative and military control of Deir ez-Zor and Raqqa transferred to the Syrian government, including civil institutions and regularization of employees.

3: All civilian institutions in al-Hasakah incorporated into Syrian state administrative structures.

4: Syrian government takes control of border crossings, oil and gas fields, with regular forces providing security, while considering Kurdish areas.

5: All SDF military and security personnel integrated individually into the Syrian Ministries of Defense and Interior after vetting, with ranks, pay, and logistics.

6: SDF leadership will not incorporate remnants of the former regime and will provide lists of such officers.

7: Presidential decree to appoint a governor of al-Hasakah ensures political representation and local participation.

8: Heavy military presence removed from Ain al-Arab (Kobani); a local security force and police under the Ministry of Interior will be formed.

9: Administration and security of ISIS prisons and camps integrated under Syrian government control.

10: Syrian government adopts SDF-nominated candidates for senior military, security, and civil posts to ensure national partnership.

11: Presidential Decree No. 13 of 2026 recognizes Kurdish cultural and linguistic rights, addresses civil and property claims, and resolves statelessness issues.

12: All non-Syrian PKK members removed from Syrian territory to preserve sovereignty and stability.

13: Syrian government continues fight against ISIS in coordination with the U.S. and International Coalition.

14: Work toward safe and dignified return of residents of Afrin and Sheikh Maqsoud to their homes.

Geopolitics Watch

19 January 2026 20:48

⚡️🇮🇱❌🇮🇷 - The IDF's Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir, during a visit to the Home Front Command today, subtly addressed the tensions with Iran, stating that the IDF is in a state of defense preparedness against "multiple fronts". [click to expand]:

- In the face of the scope of the multi-front threats to the State of Israel, the Home Front Command stands on defense, is competent, trained, and on high alert. The command is prepared at all times to employ a wide range of capabilities to contend with an attack on the civilian home front and to save lives.

- We are prepared with full defense for any scenario. The IDF is also preparing for the possibility of a surprise war.

At the same time, the IDF is prepared to employ an offensive capability unprecedented in its power against any attempt to harm the State of Israel.

Geopolitics Watch

19 January 2026 20:21

⚠️ Appeal to raise $800 for Gaza! ⚠️

- - -⛓️ BREAK THE SIEGE CAMPAIGN ⛓️- - -

We appeal to you to help us in feeding the hungry families who are dying of hunger! We are in contact with people in Gaza, who are raising money to feed children.

Goal: $800

Contact: @Ahllllb to raise money, it can be as little as you want, but we need to reach this goal!

Dont stop donating!

Contact @Ahllllb

My brothers, my heart is filled with pain and sadness for the people around me. I feel the screams of hungry children, they cry all the time. I do not know what this life is that deprives even children of their most basic needs. I try to do my best for them, but I am helpless and complain like them. Please help me, please. Donate. Please, not as an order. Thank you. May God bless you.

Geopolitics Watch

19 January 2026 18:44

🇺🇸❌🇸🇾 — Senator Lindsey Graham threatens to try to reimpose the Ceasar Act "on steroids" if the Syrian government captures Raqqa from the Syrian Democratic Forces.

Note: The Syrian government has already captured Raqqa, long before Senator Graham made this post.

Geopolitics Watch

19 January 2026 17:50

Today’s Iskander strike with an airburst in the area of Shevchenko, western Dnipro city, targeted a Patriot SAM installation. The strike reportedly destroyed the command post, the diesel generator, and the AN/MPQ-65 search and track radar

Geolocation: 48.371731,34.875160

Geopolitics Watch

19 January 2026 17:26

🇸🇾❌🏴 — The Syrian government announces a curfew in the city of al-Shaddadi to look for escaped Islamic State prisoners that have fled from the central prison.

Geopolitics Watch

19 January 2026 10:48

🇮🇱❌🇱🇧– Israeli airstrikes on southern Lebanon

Geopolitics Watch

19 January 2026 05:43

🇺🇸🇩🇰🇬🇱 — President Trump:

NATO has been telling Denmark, for 20 years, that “you have to get the Russian threat away from Greenland.” Unfortunately, Denmark has been unable to do anything about it. Now it is time, and it will be done!!!

Geopolitics Watch

19 January 2026 00:46

🇸🇾❌🇸🇾 — The official entry of Syrian Army forces into ar-Raqqah, signifying its official capture. This video is taken from central Raqqah.

Geopolitics Watch

18 January 2026 21:39

🇸🇾❌🇸🇾 — Dozens of bodies of women and children discovered after SDF massacres in al-Hasakah.

Geopolitics Watch

18 January 2026 21:31

🇸🇾❌🇸🇾 — In response, there is now a mobilisation of tribal forces towards al-Hasakah.

Geopolitics Watch

18 January 2026 21:12

🇸🇾❌🇸🇾— SDF burn down the Musab Bin Umayr school in ar-Raqqah.

Geopolitics Watch

18 January 2026 20:59

⚫️ ❌🇲🇱— JNIM ambush a convoy of the Malian Army today in Kayes region, seizing vehicles and equipment.

Geopolitics Watch

18 January 2026 19:15

⚡️🇮🇱🇺🇸 - The IDF has received the 3 new "F-35I Adir" Stealth fighter jets, landing at the "Nevatim" Airbase earlier today.

The Jets join the "140th" & "166th" squadrons.

Geopolitics Watch

18 January 2026 17:55

🇺🇸 — USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group reaches Singapore Strait. It will likely take around five days for the CSG to be in strike range of Iran.

Geopolitics Watch

18 January 2026 17:38

❗️🇸🇾🇸🇾 — Syria-SDF ceasefire, Syrian Democratic Forces agrees to integrate with the Syrian Ministry of Defense.