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Focusing on news from the Russia-Ukraine war and other conflicts in the Middle East. If you want to help support my reporting: https://buymeacoffee.com/amk_mapping. All links to my interactive maps, twitter account, etc: https://linktr.ee/AMK_Mapping
It was bound to happen eventually. Too much freedom of speech here.
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This confirms the accuracy of my information I posted at the time, of there being a threat of 3 Iranian missile launches. /channel/AMK_Mapping/34715
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A few hours ago, an extremely unusual event occurred in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, where a Russian Su-34 aircraft flew within 7 km of the frontline to carry out simulated launch maneuvers of KAB glide-bombs.
The aircraft then looped back around and carried out a second simulated launch maneuver around 2 minutes after the first. No munitions were actually launched.
For reference, Su-34s typically launch glide-bombs from around 40-45 km behind the frontline to avoid being shot down by Patriot PAC-3 interceptors. It's possible that this aircraft was probing to see if there would be any air defence response by the Ukrainians.
Ukrainian drones struck another Russian "Wildberries" warehouse, this time in Vladimir Oblast, resulting in a large fire breaking out.
The regional governor reported that the fire has reached a size of 100,000 m², and that fire crews from Ivanovo and Moscow Oblast have been deployed to fight the blaze.
Aftermath of a Russian Geran-2/4 drone strike on a petrol station in the city of Kryvyi Rih, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
At least 3 civilians were killed in the attack.
Advisor to the president of Ukraine Mykhailo Podolyak -
“Zelenskyy proposes a ceasefire in the air, an energy truce, a freeze of the war along the front line, and the start of difficult negotiations. He is also ready to meet with Putin”
🇮🇷🇺🇦⚡️ — Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei on the Ukrainian drone strike on an Iranian commercial vessel in the Caspian Sea:
The Ukrainian authorities, in the communication they had both directly with the Foreign Minister and in the messages they conveyed to us, emphasized that this action was unintentional.Читать полностью…
The evidence and very clear clues—including the explicit statement made by the President of Ukraine—indicate that this attack was deliberate.
We are waiting to see in practice whether they take any action that supports their claim of the crime being unintentional.
We will certainly take any necessary action, both to hold Ukraine accountable and to ensure that such an error and crime is not repeated by the Ukrainian side again.
Another cargo ship has been struck by Russian Geran-4 jet-drone(s) off the coast of Odesa, in the western Black Sea.
A fire can be seen burning onboard.
A Ukrainian drone shot down by Russian air defence crashed into a crowded beach near the city of Gelendzhik, Krasnodar Krai, killing at least 3 civilians and injuring 13 others.
The governor of Krasnodar Krai confirmed that this was caused by falling debris, rather than a direct strike.
The Russian Ministry of Defence claims that it struck three more cargo ships in the western Black Sea using Geran-4 jet-drones overnight.
They also claimed to have struck a cargo ship at the Mykolaiv Port. Due to this port being shut since 2022, this was likely one of the ships which has been trapped there for the duration of the war.
The Russian MoD has not issued any statements regarding the Oniks supersonic cruise missile strikes on the city of Chornomorsk, Odesa Oblast, that occurred a little over an hour ago.
Today was the 23rd day of Russia's new massive strike campaign on Ukrainian port infrastructure.
The Iskander-M ballistic missile impacted near the town of Sribne, Chernihiv Oblast.
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The situation on the Dobropillya direction is likely even worse than what my map currently shows.
But I'm still clarifying certain details.
According to available information, over the last few months, Russia has accumulated a significant number of Kalibr and Iskander-K cruise missiles, which will likely be used in fairly large numbers as a part of upcoming combined missile and drone attacks on Ukraine.
Ukrainian reports suggest that Russia has at least 430 Kalibr cruise missiles and 130 Iskander-K cruise missiles available, which could replace other missiles that have been used in significant numbers recently, such as Kh-101s and Kh-59/69s.
Additionally, Russia has been accumulating large numbers of Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles for the last few months, and has at least 120 available for use. These will be used both as a part of large-scale attacks, and individual strikes on Ukrainian airbases (namely Starokostyantyniv, as well as possibly Ozerne).
As for Iskander-M ballistic missiles, due to exceptionally high usage over the last month, Russia has depleted their available stockpiles quite a lot. However, due to a very high production rate of 60-75 missiles per month, they still retain the ability to carry out repeated and fairly frequent attacks, despite the necessity to reserve a number of missiles for opportunistic and targeted strikes.
Additionally, the usage of modified S-400 ballistic missiles allows Russia to partially supplement these attacks, providing additional room for stockpiles to be replenished while still achieving similar levels of damage. However, it should be noted that these missiles are generally easier to shoot down by patriot systems and have a much lower accuracy compared to the Iskander-M.
Kn-23 ballistic missiles can also be used for this purpose, as Russia likely received new missiles from North Korea recently. While the accuracy of these missiles has been significantly upgraded, some of the older missiles remain in Russia's stockpiles, as evidenced by the recent strike on a residential area near Kryvyi Rih.
As for Zircons, while Russia has been outpacing their production rate by several times over, they still retain at least 170 of these missiles in their stockpiles due to extensive accumulation over the last three years. Therefore, it is likely that Russia does not intend to majorly decrease the usage of these missiles any time soon.
🍏❌😀 — Telegram has been removed from Apple's App Store.
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—❗️🇮🇷/🇺🇦 Official military advisor to Iran’s Supreme Leader, IRGC Major General Mohsen Rezaee:
‘We had prepared to strike three different locations in Ukraine, but after they publicly apologized for striking our vessel, we decided not to escalate.’
@Middle_East_Spectator
The death toll from the Ukrainian drone crash on a crowded beach near the city of Gelendzhik, Krasnodar Krai, has risen to 6, including 3 children.
At least 40 others were injured.
Aftermath of today's two Russian Oniks supersonic cruise missile strikes on the city of Chornomorsk, Odesa Oblast. The missiles targeted a car assembly factory.
Notably, the accuracy of these missiles appears to be much higher compared to previous Oniks strikes on Odesa Oblast, which often saw the missiles impacting open areas or falling in rivers.
Coordinates: 46.31427, 30.63824
Aftermath of overnight Russian KAB glide-bomb strikes on Slovyansk and Kramatorsk, Donetsk Oblast.
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Kostyantynivka direction, interesting tactical information.
Around a week ago, two Russian groups of 4+4 total entered eastern Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka seemingly from an eastern direction and were eliminated.
Using this information, I drew the most likely route that was taken by those Russians.
It is unknown if one of those Russians was the one that waved to a Russian drone at the entrance of Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka.
This infiltration currently remains a one-time event, but the Russians are now infiltrating frequently, almost up to Izhevka itself, and more infiltrations replicating this event can't be ruled out.
Ukrainian units in Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka should remain attentive, especially in the center and southern part of the settlement.
❗️Ukraine has begun selling electricity to Romania - currently, the Romanians need to cover the deficit that arose due to a severe drought and a large-scale shutdown of nuclear power plants.
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Additional close-up footage of the mostly-destroyed bridge in eastern Slovyansk, Donetsk Oblast, which was struck by multiple Russian KAB glide-bombs last night.
Only one-third of the bridge remains standing and passable. A civilian vehicle driving across the bridge at the time of the strikes is seen lying in the river. The driver was not killed.
Clearer footage showing the aftermath of Russia's KAB glide-bomb strikes on the bridge in Slovyansk reveals that one side of the bridge remains standing, and is still passable for lighter vehicles. Civilians can be seen moving to and from the eastern suburbs using the bridge.
Because Ukraine almost exclusively uses ordinary cars for logistics nowadays, they will still be able to use the bridge for the time being. Although, Russia may repeatedly strike the bridge in the future. Additionally, a large section of the road's anti-drone net was destroyed in the strikes, providing an entrance for Russian FPV drones. The heavy damage to the bridge will make it impossible to repair the netting.
An explosion was heard from Pryluky, Chernihiv Oblast, indicating it impacted just east of the city.
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The IRGC claims to have shot down a U.S. MQ-9 "Reaper" drone operating over the Strait of Hormuz.
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If I have time, tomorrow I will post a full situational analysis on the situation on the Dobropillya direction.
In short - it's extremely bad for Ukraine, and has sharply deteriorated. Some of the strongest positions on the entire frontline are falling very quickly in an extremely unusual manner.
Due to Russian attacks, the entire city of Kramatorsk, Donetsk Oblast, is currently without power.
This has been happening more and more frequently recently, for both Slovyansk and Kramatorsk.